ejthetiger+
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TIGER SPORTS RELEASE RANKINGS <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
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THE LOWER THE NUMBER, THE STRONGER THE PLAY
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4=SOLID<o></o>
5=TECHNICAL EDGES<o></o>
6=Leaner
7=Opinion
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THE LOWER THE NUMBER, THE STRONGER THE PLAY
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2=SAN DIEGO STATE –14 at home over San Jose State
San Diego State is off to a tough 0-3 start but those three losses are against the fourth toughest schedule in the nation thus far. In their opening loss to UCLA the Aztecs actually outgained the talented Bruins. This is a great set up for coach Tom Craft’s club. After those successive losses to UCLA, Air Force and Ohio State the Aztecs are ready to take their frustrations out on one of college football’s worst programs in the San Jose State. Reports out of San Diego are VERY positive for this game as both Craft and the athletic director are talking about a strong run the rest of the way for the Aztecs and that they intend to contend for the Mountain West Conference title and a bowl. Further, there are already 50,000 tickets out for this game as there is an air show afterwards, so the stands will be far from empty. San Jose State is fortunate to have Dick Tomey as coach and he is charged with the task of building this program almost from the ground up. Craft and this club need to take advantage of their talent edge and break in schedule with a maximum effort and I say that they will do so. ATS San Diego State is 5-2 as a home chalk and 5-2 in non-conference action while San Jose State is 3-9 as road pups and 0-4 in this head to head series. Talent and Situation.
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3=VIRGINIA TECH –11 at home over Georgia Tech
This selection has nothing to do with the status of Tech QB Reggie Ball, who has been ill all week and in and out of practice, though likely to start. I like coach Frank Beamer’s Hokies as a bona fide national championship contender and the more complete team. Ball’s status hasn’t helped Tech, but regardless of that the Hokies are superior to the Jackets on offense, defense and those fantastic Beamer kicking teams. ATS Virginia Tech is a solid long term 26-16 as a home chalk with 9 covers in their last 12 in that role. The Hokies have gotten the cash in 12 of their last 15 games and are 7-3 in ACC play. Georgia Tech is a most revealing 2-5 ATS following a straight up win. Power Play.
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4=MARYLAND +2.5 at Wake Forest
Nobody has been tougher on Terp coach Ron Friedgen than me. But the Phat Fridge’s two losses this season were close calls against quality opponents, (Clemson and West Virginia), and Wake Forest has done NOTHING to inspire confidence. I have seen both teams play twice and believe Maryland has the better team. The hungry Terps may feel less pressure with their first out of state game in 2005 and I expect a maximum effort against a team that they should still be favored against. ATS Maryland is 15-8 off a straight up loss and Wake Forest is a confidence shattering 1-11 as home chalks as well as 0-6 in this head to head series. Value.
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4=NEW MEXICO +2.5 at UTEP
I have seen the Lobos once against UNLV and listened to their game at Mizzou on audio. I have seen both of UTEP’s games and this is either even or a slight talent/skill/speed edge to the Lobos. New Mexico’s win at Mizzou was both a quality win and no accident and they will certainly be able to move the ball on UTEP. ATS the Lobos are 10-4 as road pups, 10-5 off a straight up win and the visitor has gotten the cash in three of the last four head to head meetings. UTEP is 6-15 ATS in non-conference action.
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5=PENN STATE –7.5 at Northwestern
A double revenge set up for coach Joe Paterno’s improved team. Northwestern doesn’t seem to have a defense, and the two games I have seen have betrayed utter hopelessness at stopping anyone. They are ranked 97<SUP>th</SUP> in the nation on defense. PSU QB Michael Robinson has been solid and the Nittany Lion defense has been like a rock. While bothered that a lot of tip sheets have this it isn’t enough to get me off the game. There are really no trends to support this pick but I like the direction of the two teams and the revenge angle.
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5=GEORGIA –15 at Mississippi State
I think there is a clear talent edge to the Bulldogs here and like the fact that they are away from home, where they aren’t all that reliable. UGA’s Last two sloppy efforts, (and ATS failures), give us value in fact. ATS Bulldogs 15-7 as road chalks and 5-1 in this head to head series. ATS the Bulldogs are 3-9 against the SEC East, 7-18 overall in SEC play and 3-9 as home pups. Talent.
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5=FLORIDA –23 at Kentucky
I saw the “Basketball Bowl” last week and UK looked downright sick against Indiana. That hardly inspires confidence against the Gators who may feel free and ready to roll after taking back the Swamp last week over Tennessee. Lexington papers are correctly calling for Wildcat coach Rich Brooks’ head as their effort at Indiana was a disgrace. They may play with more energy and fire this week and home but so what? Meyer clearly outclasses Brooks as does his material. UK 8-15 ATS as home pups with 5 failures in their last 8 in that role. Gators 6-2 ATS off straight up win.
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5=WASHINGTON +13 at home over Notre Dame
There is little to support this pick in trends or talent evaluation. Yet I cannot underestimate the intangibles of Ty Willingham going against his former team and bosses that gave him the gas last year. There will be close to a full house and if ever Washington was to bring its maximum game it would be in this one. Dame has a super offense, sure, but their defense is leaky and may leave the backdoor open, if Willingham doesn’t win this game outright. I love these type of situations, the human revenge angle, but can only rate it a “5” due to all other factors pointing to the Irish. Notre Dame is 9-17 ATS off a straight up loss.
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5=CENTRAL FLORIDA +3.5 at home over Marshall
I lost last week with coach George O’Leary’s Knights at South Florida but will come right back with them this week at home against a team that is a mere shell of its former self. I saw Marshall’s game against Kansas State and now understand why coach Bob Pruett unexpectedly retired last spring as this is not a typical Marshall team at all. The talent level and speed has dropped significantly. I still think O’Leary is close to getting things going at UCF and like has chances in this spot. Marshall is just 6-12 ATS as a road chalk with 8 failures in their last 11 tries in that role.
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“6” rated leaners
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Ohio State=Revenge against an Iowa team that looks down a notch but Buckeye offense not dependable yet.
Kansas State=North Texas was exposed last week but KSU not covering big numbers like they used too.
Louisville=Got it going last week for sure but South Florida is improved.
“7” rated opinions
Troy=South Carolina has not shown me the capability of covering a 20-point spread. Troy moved ball on Mizzou.
Oregon=Hostile environment and a ton of points.
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fficeffice" /><o></o><o
></o>THE LOWER THE NUMBER, THE STRONGER THE PLAY
<o
></o>00=ULTIMATE<o
></o>0=SUPREME<o
></o>1=SUPERIOR<o
></o>2=EXCELLENT<o
></o>3=GOOD<o
></o>4=SOLID<o
></o>5=TECHNICAL EDGES<o
></o>6=Leaner
7=Opinion
<o
></o>THE LOWER THE NUMBER, THE STRONGER THE PLAY
<o
></o>2=SAN DIEGO STATE –14 at home over San Jose State
San Diego State is off to a tough 0-3 start but those three losses are against the fourth toughest schedule in the nation thus far. In their opening loss to UCLA the Aztecs actually outgained the talented Bruins. This is a great set up for coach Tom Craft’s club. After those successive losses to UCLA, Air Force and Ohio State the Aztecs are ready to take their frustrations out on one of college football’s worst programs in the San Jose State. Reports out of San Diego are VERY positive for this game as both Craft and the athletic director are talking about a strong run the rest of the way for the Aztecs and that they intend to contend for the Mountain West Conference title and a bowl. Further, there are already 50,000 tickets out for this game as there is an air show afterwards, so the stands will be far from empty. San Jose State is fortunate to have Dick Tomey as coach and he is charged with the task of building this program almost from the ground up. Craft and this club need to take advantage of their talent edge and break in schedule with a maximum effort and I say that they will do so. ATS San Diego State is 5-2 as a home chalk and 5-2 in non-conference action while San Jose State is 3-9 as road pups and 0-4 in this head to head series. Talent and Situation.
<o
></o>3=VIRGINIA TECH –11 at home over Georgia Tech
This selection has nothing to do with the status of Tech QB Reggie Ball, who has been ill all week and in and out of practice, though likely to start. I like coach Frank Beamer’s Hokies as a bona fide national championship contender and the more complete team. Ball’s status hasn’t helped Tech, but regardless of that the Hokies are superior to the Jackets on offense, defense and those fantastic Beamer kicking teams. ATS Virginia Tech is a solid long term 26-16 as a home chalk with 9 covers in their last 12 in that role. The Hokies have gotten the cash in 12 of their last 15 games and are 7-3 in ACC play. Georgia Tech is a most revealing 2-5 ATS following a straight up win. Power Play.
<o
></o>4=MARYLAND +2.5 at Wake Forest
Nobody has been tougher on Terp coach Ron Friedgen than me. But the Phat Fridge’s two losses this season were close calls against quality opponents, (Clemson and West Virginia), and Wake Forest has done NOTHING to inspire confidence. I have seen both teams play twice and believe Maryland has the better team. The hungry Terps may feel less pressure with their first out of state game in 2005 and I expect a maximum effort against a team that they should still be favored against. ATS Maryland is 15-8 off a straight up loss and Wake Forest is a confidence shattering 1-11 as home chalks as well as 0-6 in this head to head series. Value.
<o
></o>4=NEW MEXICO +2.5 at UTEP
I have seen the Lobos once against UNLV and listened to their game at Mizzou on audio. I have seen both of UTEP’s games and this is either even or a slight talent/skill/speed edge to the Lobos. New Mexico’s win at Mizzou was both a quality win and no accident and they will certainly be able to move the ball on UTEP. ATS the Lobos are 10-4 as road pups, 10-5 off a straight up win and the visitor has gotten the cash in three of the last four head to head meetings. UTEP is 6-15 ATS in non-conference action.
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></o>5=PENN STATE –7.5 at Northwestern
A double revenge set up for coach Joe Paterno’s improved team. Northwestern doesn’t seem to have a defense, and the two games I have seen have betrayed utter hopelessness at stopping anyone. They are ranked 97<SUP>th</SUP> in the nation on defense. PSU QB Michael Robinson has been solid and the Nittany Lion defense has been like a rock. While bothered that a lot of tip sheets have this it isn’t enough to get me off the game. There are really no trends to support this pick but I like the direction of the two teams and the revenge angle.
<o
></o>5=GEORGIA –15 at Mississippi State
I think there is a clear talent edge to the Bulldogs here and like the fact that they are away from home, where they aren’t all that reliable. UGA’s Last two sloppy efforts, (and ATS failures), give us value in fact. ATS Bulldogs 15-7 as road chalks and 5-1 in this head to head series. ATS the Bulldogs are 3-9 against the SEC East, 7-18 overall in SEC play and 3-9 as home pups. Talent.
<o
></o>5=FLORIDA –23 at Kentucky
I saw the “Basketball Bowl” last week and UK looked downright sick against Indiana. That hardly inspires confidence against the Gators who may feel free and ready to roll after taking back the Swamp last week over Tennessee. Lexington papers are correctly calling for Wildcat coach Rich Brooks’ head as their effort at Indiana was a disgrace. They may play with more energy and fire this week and home but so what? Meyer clearly outclasses Brooks as does his material. UK 8-15 ATS as home pups with 5 failures in their last 8 in that role. Gators 6-2 ATS off straight up win.
<o
></o>5=WASHINGTON +13 at home over Notre Dame
There is little to support this pick in trends or talent evaluation. Yet I cannot underestimate the intangibles of Ty Willingham going against his former team and bosses that gave him the gas last year. There will be close to a full house and if ever Washington was to bring its maximum game it would be in this one. Dame has a super offense, sure, but their defense is leaky and may leave the backdoor open, if Willingham doesn’t win this game outright. I love these type of situations, the human revenge angle, but can only rate it a “5” due to all other factors pointing to the Irish. Notre Dame is 9-17 ATS off a straight up loss.
<o
></o>5=CENTRAL FLORIDA +3.5 at home over Marshall
I lost last week with coach George O’Leary’s Knights at South Florida but will come right back with them this week at home against a team that is a mere shell of its former self. I saw Marshall’s game against Kansas State and now understand why coach Bob Pruett unexpectedly retired last spring as this is not a typical Marshall team at all. The talent level and speed has dropped significantly. I still think O’Leary is close to getting things going at UCF and like has chances in this spot. Marshall is just 6-12 ATS as a road chalk with 8 failures in their last 11 tries in that role.
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></o>“6” rated leaners
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></o>Ohio State=Revenge against an Iowa team that looks down a notch but Buckeye offense not dependable yet.
Kansas State=North Texas was exposed last week but KSU not covering big numbers like they used too.
Louisville=Got it going last week for sure but South Florida is improved.
“7” rated opinions
Troy=South Carolina has not shown me the capability of covering a 20-point spread. Troy moved ball on Mizzou.
Oregon=Hostile environment and a ton of points.
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