Thursday Service Play Thread 07/23/2020

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Just for jokes ok
Does anyone have VIP Sports (aka con artist Steve Stevens) Action Play/Horse Racing Best Bet or VIP PLAY?

I know he is a con but it will be funny to see if anyone bought his picks for today/tonight
 

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Bobby Conn

Jul 23 '20, 1:20 PM in 7h
PGA | Sepp Straka vs Luke List
Play on: Luke List -130 at 1BetVegas

1* Bonus Play on Luke List -130

Steve Janus :):)

Jul 23 '20, 8:00 PM in 14h
Soccer | Houston Dynamo vs LA Galaxy
Play on: LA Galaxy +161 at betonline

1* Free Sharp Play on LA Galaxy +161

[h=2]Rob V: Thursday Comp Play[/h]
MLB Opening day is finally here and we have a game 1 specific system that is 9-0 since 2004, we also have Soccer and a NASCAR Head 2 Head Driver Play. Serie A League Comp Play below

On Thursday the Italian League Soccer comp is on Juventus at 1:30 eastern. The 8 time champs come in off a nice win over Lazio and should have no problems on the road against a Udinese team that has to be demoralized off the extra time loss against Napoli last out. Udinese has lost 14 of 18 and have no home wins since February. Juventus has 37 of the 44 wins in this series, has beaten them 6 straight times including a 4-0 blowout in last match. Look for Jueventus to get the win. On Opening Day we have a rare system pertaining to game 1 of the season that has cashed the only 9 times it has applied since 2004. MLB ended last season on a 55-22 run. There is also more top Soccer plays and a NASCAR head to head diver Play. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Thursday Bonus Play. Go with Juventus. Rob Vinciletti- Golden Contender Sports

Cappers Access

MLB (Thur) Nationals
MLB (Thur) Dodgers -1-(-136) RL

Adam Goodwyn

THE MONEYLINE GUY

YESTERDAY 5:02 PM

After graduating Vanderbilt in economics, Adam built a sports betting model that specializes in money-line plays. His model returned $1,742 for $100 players last MLB season, and was up $5,725 in the current NBA season when play halted in March. Adam primarily bets on underdogs, as his model more frequently finds value there. Thus, he is able to generate big profits despite a win-loss record below 50 percent.

WASHINGTON +120
N.Y. YANKEES @ WASHINGTON | 7/23 | 7:08 PM EDT
I'm taking the Nationals. My model has the champs winning 49.1 percent of the time. The spread (+120) currently translates to a 45.5 winning percentage, thus, my model sees an edge of 3.6 percent. Take the value in the first game back.

Tony George

Action Bet

3 Units - (#901) NY Yankees (-130) over Washington *7:05 EST

John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
11:59 AM

OVER 7.5 N.Y. YANKEES @ WASHINGTON | 7/23 | 7:08 PM EDT

The Yankees scored the most runs per game last season at 5.77 runs per game, while the Nationals ranked sixth with 5.31 runs per game. The Yankees benefit from this layoff because they are now fully healthy. The Nats lost Anthony Rendon but added Carter Kieboom and Starlin Castro, look for this game to hit the over.


John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
11:56 AM

WASHINGTON +119

N.Y. YANKEES @ WASHINGTON | 7/23 | 7:08 PM EDT
This is a World Series matchup possibility to open the season with the defending Champion Nationals at home. The Nats were 14-6 with 6.0 runs per game in interleague games last season, and Max Scherzer is 1-2 with a 1.27 ERA in four career opening day starts. Howie Kendrick will get in the lineup with a DH and the Nats have a much-improved bullpen with Will Harris. This game should be closer to 50-50, take the dog at home.

11-2 IN LAST 13 WAS ML PICKS | +1100


Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
10:32 AM

WASHINGTON +119

N.Y. YANKEES @ WASHINGTON | 7/23 | 7:08 PM EDT
We have no idea what kind of impact not having fans in the ballpark will have on home-field advantage in 2020, but I don't care. How often do you get a chance to take Max Scherzer at home as an underdog? This is a principle play, plain and simple.


Kenny White
WIZARD OF ODDS
YESTERDAY 6:00 PM

UNDER 7.5 N.Y. YANKEES @ WASHINGTON | 7/23 | 7:08 PM EDT

Every year pitchers are ahead of hitters to start the season. This year there will be an even bigger difference for at least two weeks since hitters have only had a handful of at-bats this summer. Gerrit Cole, who makes his debut for the Yankees, and his mound opponent, Max Scherzer, both rank among the top five pitchers in baseball. Cole also has the help of the best bullpen in baseball. Meanwhile I think Scherzer's bullpen is going to be one of the best in the NL this year. If everyone was in midseason form I would make this total 7 Under -130, but with the hitters behind the pitchers I'm making the total 6.5 Under -130. Take the Under.

4-0-1 IN LAST 5 WAS O/U PICKS | +402


Mike McClure
MONEY
YESTERDAY 5:21 PM

WASHINGTON +119

N.Y. YANKEES @ WASHINGTON | 7/23 | 7:08 PM EDT
Are the Yankees the best team in baseball? Maybe. Is Max Scherzer the best pitcher in baseball? Perhaps! Home field advantage clearly takes a hit this season, but Max shouldn't be +119 at home, even against Gerrit Cole. I have Washington winning 50.2 percent of simulations thanks to very strong ratings on Max Scherzer, largely due to his slider that has a ridiculous 28 percent swinging strike rate. I'm happy to invest in Max Scherzer maybe the only time he's a home dog all season.

17-11 IN LAST 28 WAS ML PICKS | +425

13-10 IN LAST 23 NYY ML PICKS | +346


Adam Goodwyn
THE MONEYLINE GUY
YESTERDAY 5:02 PM

WASHINGTON +120

N.Y. YANKEES @ WASHINGTON | 7/23 | 7:08 PM EDT
I'm taking the Nationals. My model has the champs winning 49.1 percent of the time. The spread (+120) currently translates to a 45.5 winning percentage, thus, my model sees an edge of 3.6 percent. Take the value in the first game back.


Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
MON 7/20

N.Y. YANKEES -138

N.Y. YANKEES @ WASHINGTON | 7/23 | 7:08 PM EDT
The rich get richer as the Yankees added perhaps the best pitcher in baseball in Garrit Cole. They have the best lineup and top bench in baseball. Max Scherzer is always tough, but the Nats lost one of the best hitters in Anthony Rendon, who will be impossible to replace. Take the Yanks on the moneyline.


Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
TUE 7/14

OVER 7.5 N.Y. YANKEES @ WASHINGTON | 7/23 | 7:08 PM EDT

The model has the total going Over 7.5 runs in 70 percent of simulations for the 2020 season opener. Yes, it's two of the best starting pitchers in the majors in the Yankees' Gerrit Cole and Nationals' Max Scherzer, but neither will be going more than 3-4 innings in their first start of the year out of the pandemic shutdown. Plus, these are two of the most loaded lineups in MLB.

8-3-1 IN LAST 12 NYY O/U PICKS | +465

Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
SAT 7/18

OVER 7.5 SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 7/23 | 10:08 PM EDT

Clayton Kershaw has stayed Under in 31 of his 45 starts against the Giants, but I cannot see how the opener stays Under only because Johnny Cueto is going to have a rough time, and it’s not only because his final start of 2019 saw him last only two innings and give up five runs. He had a horrible spring in March, allowing nine runs in 6.1 innings over three starts. The Dodgers lineup should send him out early again. I'm taking the Over.

21-12-2 IN LAST 35 SF O/U PICKS | +827


John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
12:00 PM

OVER 8 SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 7/23 | 10:08 PM EDT

The second matchup on Opening Day is a feature between veterans Johnny Cueto and Clayton Kershaw. Johnny Cueto only made four starts at the end of last season after missing the whole year. He was 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and gave up 9 runs in 6.1 IP in Spring Training. The Dodgers are absolutely stacked this season after adding superstar Mookie Betts. I wouldn’t be surprised if they get close to the run total themselves.


Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
10:36 AM

OVER 8 SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 7/23 | 10:08 PM EDT

Have you seen San Francisco's projected pitching staff for 2020? We can sum it up best by pointing out that Johnny Cueto is the team's Opening Day starter. Cueto's had a great career, but the great part of it has been over for a while now. The bullpen behind him won't be much better. Throw that up against this Dodgers offense, and we might reach the Over without any help from the Giants.

10-3 IN LAST 13 LAD O/U PICKS | +701


SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
10:09 AM

OVER 8 SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 7/23 | 10:08 PM EDT

The last time Clayton Kershaw faced the Giants, the Dodgers lost 5-4. We expect good run support for Kershaw here, as LA is 7-0 to the Over with Kershaw when they lost the last time he faced the opponent, scoring an average of 8.57 runs by themselves. In addition, LA is 8-0 to the Over with Kershaw in a series opener, going over by an average of 4.94 runs per game. As for the Giants, we see that they are 6-0 to the Over when Johnny Cueto starts in July, going over by an average of 3.33 runs per game.


Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
MON 7/20

L.A. DODGERS -1.5

SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 7/23 | 10:08 PM EDT
The Dodgers are stacked. Clayton Kershaw has owned the Giants in his career, going 23-11 with six complete games and five shutouts. The Dodgers added Mookie Betts in the offseason; this lineup is going to score a ton of runs. The Dodgers' pen is loaded, which will be key early on in this shortened season. The Giants are going to struggle offensively, and missing clubhouse leader Buster Posey is only going to make matters worse. Johnny Cueto has filthy stuff but hasn't been 100 percent healthy and started just four games last year. The Dodgers should jump on him early and often. Play LA on the run line at -139.​

 

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