Thursday picks, 14-4 YTD, +8.03 units

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Philly +5

Take a look at Philly's schedule so far this year and you'll notice one thing: one bad loss followed by one impressive win. What happened last night? Blown out by the feeble Heat. I'm expecting the 76ers to get their act together tonight and play alot better than last night.

As far as the matchup itself goes, I like how Philly fares against the Magic. Dalembert and Brand are monsters down low, and they effectively mitigate Dwight Howard's impact. Andre Miller and Andre Iguodala clearly form a better backcourt duo than Jameer Nelson and Michael Pietrus, and even though Turkoglu is a better player than Thaddeus Young, I love Young's ability to bang inside and outside and create things for his team.

Orlando loves to shoot the 3 ball but I like Philly's perimeter defence, so I'm not expecting the Magic to go buck wild and hit like 12 triples tonight. I also give the nod to Philly's bench over Orlando's, which will be key in a back-to-back game for the 76ers where their starters might need a few more minutes to rest at certain points in the 2nd and 3rd quarters.



Houston -5

I normally hate betting against the Blazers when they are at home. But Houston matchups up extremely well so I feel comfortable laying chalk here.

Who can guard Yao? Nobody. TMac cancels out BRoy IMO. Then you look at Portland's athletic swingmen and off guards like Outlaw, Fernandez and Batum....they have to go up against Artest and Battier. That doesn't bode well considering Artest and Battier are 2 of the premier lock down defenders.

Houston can knock down the 3 ball almost as well as Portland if not just as well, and they have a good bench to match up with the Blazers. As we all know, the Blazers' depth is one of its strengths and Houston has that aplenty.

Furthermore, Houston's killer instinct was unleashed vs. Boston, as they put up a pretty decent effort against the defending champs. It's hard to imagine them following up a gritty effort by playing down to the level of the Blazers.

Essentially, Houston has everything that Portland has and then some, and are just a quality team to boot. Call me a square for taking this line if you must, but I really like the Rockets here.


Both plays are 1 unit, gonna try to grind my way up the profit ladder after going 2-2 the last couple days.

GL to everybody tonight :toast:
 

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GL tonite Chief. Let us hope that Artest and Co. shut them down and the final is like 89-75 or something to that effect.
 

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Yeah man. At first I was gonna fade these games but I went into the tank and thought them through, and I feel OK about them.

Tomorrow will be a big night though. I was looking at the schedule and man do I see some potential. Just waiting for the lines to come out tonight then we'll drop some bombs on these bookies tomorrow night, believe that.:103631605
 

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Yeah man. At first I was gonna fade these games but I went into the tank and thought them through, and I feel OK about them.

Tomorrow will be a big night though. I was looking at the schedule and man do I see some potential. Just waiting for the lines to come out tonight then we'll drop some bombs on these bookies tomorrow night, believe that.:103631605

Hope so. I have been having a poor week. Partly my own fault, part bad luck. I should have been smart enough to realize the value on a team like Detroit that is so seldom offered and jumped on it. You think someone who works in banking woulda been smart enough to recognize that value. Acutally I think I did but the homer blinders took over. Long season though, gotta keep workin.
 

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Hope so. I have been having a poor week. Partly my own fault, part bad luck. I should have been smart enough to realize the value on a team like Detroit that is so seldom offered and jumped on it. You think someone who works in banking woulda been smart enough to recognize that value. Acutally I think I did but the homer blinders took over. Long season though, gotta keep workin.


Well luckily for you, I'm a professional day trader so risk/reward is the name of the game for me. I gamble day and night essentially haha.

Last night I was so sick to my stomach when the Hornets shat the bed against Atlanta in the 4th quarter. New Orleans is usually so money at home, and they are by far the strongest 2nd half team of any that I follow regularly. But the season is a marathon, not a sprint. Grind it out for the first 2 phases, and then after the all-star break when teams kick it in playoff mode, start betting larger units because teams actually play up to their potential more regularly.

and by 2 phases i mean the beginning when everybody comes clammering out of the starting gate, and the middle stretch where alot of teams play mediocre basketball because they pace themselves.
 

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Well luckily for you, I'm a professional day trader so risk/reward is the name of the game for me. I gamble day and night essentially haha.

Last night I was so sick to my stomach when the Hornets shat the bed against Atlanta in the 4th quarter. New Orleans is usually so money at home, and they are by far the strongest 2nd half team of any that I follow regularly. But the season is a marathon, not a sprint. Grind it out for the first 2 phases, and then after the all-star break when teams kick it in playoff mode, start betting larger units because teams actually play up to their potential more regularly.

Thats what I like to hear ;-).. haha. Good luck with the day trading. With the maket beeing down so much there is potential for some good spikes within certain industries. Of course there are always defense stocks that are a little bit more sure in the long run.
 

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Thats what I like to hear ;-).. haha. Good luck with the day trading. With the maket beeing down so much there is potential for some good spikes within certain industries. Of course there are always defense stocks that are a little bit more sure in the long run.

im always liquid by the end of the day though, so im only concerned with the immediate potential. if the market goes up or down it doesnt matter, always potential to get rich or go bust. and in between trades i do gambling analysis. life is great haha:toast:
 

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im always liquid by the end of the day though, so im only concerned with the immediate potential. if the market goes up or down it doesnt matter, always potential to get rich or go bust. and in between trades i do gambling analysis. life is great haha:toast:

Sounds like a good deal to me. I recently graduated with a B Comm majoring in Marketing but of course had to take the required finance courses. It is certainly an area I am interested in learning about strategies (especially for day trading) because of course being younger and more willing to put higher risk for higher reward ;-). If you have any tips or would care to share a little bit about your strategy/"operation" (for lack of a better word) I would be all eyes, if not for actual use but at least for my own knowledge building, if you have the time to e-mail or msg my profile.
 

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You the man chief im just a college kid makin 10-20 dollar bets but your picks are buyin my groceries, keep it up.
 

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You the man chief im just a college kid makin 10-20 dollar bets but your picks are buyin my groceries, keep it up.

haha i feel ya bro. i'm only 22, been through the lean times but if you dedicate yourself to the craft you can keep yourself going through the school year no problem. any questions about anything feel free to ask, hopefully i will steer you in the right way more often than not.:toast:
 

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Good luck 2nite chief. Hopefully orlando wins but philly covers and we both hit. Take a look at the over in that game, I think it has some good value
 

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Good luck 2nite chief. Hopefully orlando wins but philly covers and we both hit. Take a look at the over in that game, I think it has some good value

I've been thinking about it all day, not sure about it. It's at 193.5 right now and I don't understand why it's like that, it could easily be 198. I don't like to pick something if I can't understand it from the bookie's perspective. But I am definitely tempted to pull the trigger.

GL to you tonight
 

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Actually check this out:

In the magic's 1st 4 games, the totals were 184, 170, 224 and 189 respectively.

for philly's 1st 5 games, totals were 179, 203, 183, 214 and 189

so out of 9 games these teams have gone under tonight's available total 6/9 times. philly is on a back-to-back. it will be hard to score inside against philly tonight too. neither team is amazing at the free throw line. and if orlando's not knocking down 3s it will be hard to cover.

i'll wish you guys who are on the over BOL but i'll just sit back and make note of how these teams perform for future reference.
 

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