Thursday 8/27/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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[superbeets]

Europa League TODAY 19:45

Midtjylland

v

Southampton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		11/4	12/5	Evs	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT MIDTJYLLAND	RECENT FORM
HWAWAWHDADAD​ Most recent​	Unknown	HWAWADHLHDAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Midtjylland have lost four of their last five Europa League matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Last week’s 1-1 draw leaves Southampton with work to do in Denmark, but Midtjylland were beaten at home by Panathinaikos at this stage last season. Saints have already beaten Vitesse in Holland and have conceded only once in three Europa League outings.

RECOMMENDATION: Southampton
2

 

[superbeets]

Spanish La Liga Fr 28Aug 19:30

Villarreal

v

Espanyol

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS3		8/15	11/4	13/2	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT VILLARREAL	RECENT FORM
HLADHWHWALAD​ Most recent​	0 - 3 2 - 1 0 - 0 4 - 0	AWHDAWHLALHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: 12 of Villarreal's 16 league wins last season came at home

EXPERT VERDICT: Villarreal's sixth-placed finish in La Liga last season was largely thanks to their solid home form but they look short enough for the clash with Espanyol at El Madrigal. The visitors won this fixture 3-0 last term – also holding Villarreal to a 1-1 draw at home – and they are worth backing to claim a point on Friday.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[superbeets]

French Ligue 1 Fr 28Aug 19:30

Guingamp

v

Marseille

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT S		11/4	23/10	11/10	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT GUINGAMP	RECENT FORM
ALHWALALHLAL​ Most recent​	0 - 1 1 - 3 0 - 1 0 - 1	HWAWHWHLALHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Abdel Barrada has averaged 3.5 shots per game, more than any other Marseille player

EXPERT VERDICT: Boss Michel couldn’t have wished for a much better start in charge of Marseille than their 6-0 hammering of Troyes but that victory shouldn’t be allowed to gloss over the club’s issues. However, three straight defeats have left hosts Guingamp low on confidence, so the best wager could be on attacking midfielder Abdel Barrada scoring first.

RECOMMENDATION: A Barrada to score first
1

 

[superbeets]

German Bundesliga Fr 28Aug 19:30

Wolfsburg

v

Schalke

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BTEU		19/20	11/4	11/4	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT WOLFSBURG	RECENT FORM
ADNWND*AWHWAD​ Most recent​	1 - 1 4 - 0 1 - 4 2 - 1	ALHWALAWAWHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Wolfsburg have not lost any of their last 25 domestic home games

EXPERT VERDICT: Wolfsburg have been adversely affected by the constant talk about Kevin de Bruyne’s future but they rarely put a foot wrong on home turf and should outfire Schalke in an entertaining match. The visitors are still getting used to the high-intensity style favoured by new coach Andre Breitenreiter.

RECOMMENDATION: Wolfsburg
2

 

[superbeets]

Scottish Championship Fr 28Aug 19:45

Falkirk

v

Dumbarton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ALBA		8/13	3	4	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT FALKIRK	RECENT FORM
NWADHWHLAWAW​ Most recent​	3 - 3 1 - 1 2 - 0 1 - 2	AWAD*HWAWAD*HL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Dumbarton have lost one of their last six trips to Falkirk

EXPERT VERDICT: Both of these in-form teams should contribute to an entertaining encounter. Falkirk remain unbeaten while Dumbarton only lost their 100 per cent record on Saturday to joint-leaders Queen of the South. These two have had some lively tussles, including a 3-3 draw in January, and another could follow.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
3


REFEREE: Barry Cook STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Championship Fr 28Aug 19:45

Blackburn

v

Bolton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		Evs	13/5	3	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BLACKBURN	RECENT FORM
HWHLHLADHDAL​ Most recent​	1 - 0 4 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 2	HLHDHLALALHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Blackburn have lost one of their last six home games

EXPERT VERDICT: Neither of these north-west outfits has enjoyed the start to their Championship season, so both will be hoping to ease their fears with victory. Hosts Blackburn have been creating plenty of chances but have been slightly unfortunate, so should exacerbate their rivals’ relegation worries.

RECOMMENDATION: Blackburn
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By BEN BURNS

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you're betting. Whether it's a team looking past this week's opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Ben Burns points out his favorites:

Lookahead spot

When you’re a member of the SEC, the first thing you do when the schedule is released is find out if and when you play Alabama. Well, unless, of course, you are the Crimson Tide, then you can’t care less about who’s lining up across from you – you’re just going to beat their ass. But for the rest of the Southeastern Conference, a game against Alabama is circled on the calendar months in advance, which means Arkansas is ripe for a possible letdown spot in Week 5 of the upcoming college football season.

The Razorbacks are in Knoxville that weekend for a showdown with the Volunteers, who enter that game fueled by an embarrassing 49-7 smashing at the hands of the Hogs back in 2011. Sure, the Vols players don’t recall that thumping but the Big Orange faithful do. And with Arkansas looking past Tennessee and to Week 6’s trip to Tuscaloosa, this game could move off its current stand of pick’em before kickoff on October 3.

Letdown spot

The Green Bay Packers are currently battling a letdown of different proportions following a season-ending knee injury to star WR Jordy Nelson during preseason action last week, but could be ripe for our select version of the letdown spot in Week 4 of the NFL season. The Cheeseheads have an interesting home stand against the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football in Week 3, set as 6.5-point favorites at Lambeau Field, then face a tough hike to the West Coast on short rest the following week.

Green Bay travels to San Francisco for a game against the 49ers on October 4, with books dealing the Packers as early 6-point road chalk. San Francisco will be eager for a strong showing with this game being the lone stop at Levi’s Stadium between Weeks 2 and 5. The Niners may have been the punchline of the NFL offseason but six points is a lot to give a home team facing an opponent traveling a long distance on short rest. And we have no clue if the Packers will have figured out how to play without Nelson by then.

Schedule spot

The WNBA season is a mix of extended hiatuses from the hardwood and frantic travel schedules, like the one the Phoenix Mercury face this week. The Mercury, currently second in the Western Conference, open play in Connecticut Thursday night taking on the Sun. From there, Phoenix hikes to the nation’s capital for a matchup with the Mystics Friday.

The Mercury get a day off Saturday to travel west to Minnesota for a huge showdown between the top two teams in the conference Sunday, forcing Phoenix to play three games in four days with the most important – and arguably toughest – coming at the end. The Mercury have won three of their four meetings with the Lynx this season, most recently a 79-67 victory at home as 1-point underdogs last Sunday. Not only is the schedule working against them but Minny willl be out for revenge this weekend.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Betting Recap - 8/17-8/23
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (from Monday, Aug. 17 through Sunday, Aug. 23)

-- Favorites went 9-6 straight up
-- Underdogs went 8-7 against the spread (ATS)
-- Road teams posted a 8-7 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 10-5 ATS record
-- The 'under' went 9-6

Team Betting Notes

-- Tulsa (13-14) is on the comeback trail after some injury issues, capping off a perfect 2-0 week with a win Saturday over Connecticut (12-14), a team on a slide. The Shock have won and covered three straight heading into their game Friday against L.A.

-- Speaking of the Sun, Connecticut dropped their fourth straight, and they're now 5-13 in their past 18 games after starting out 7-1. One thing that is a sure thing with the Sun - the over. The total has gone over in six in a row for the Sun.

-- Atlanta (10-16) has alternated wins and losses in each of their past six games. More importantly, they're 4-1 ATS over their past five games, and the 'over' has hit in nine of their past 11 outings. They have a rematch with Connecticut Tuesday at home after winning 102-92 on the road Sunday in the first end of the home-and-home.

-- Chicago (17-11) completed a home-and-home sweep of Washington (15-11), and it is their first back-to-back victories since Aug. 2-4 against Washington and Indiana.

-- Indiana (17-9) inched by New York (18-8) by an 80-79 count, as the Fever has now won six in a row and 14 of the past 17. The Fever also have covered five of their past six while the 'under' is 4-1 in the past five.

-- Los Angeles (10-17) had a winning week, going 2-1 SU/ATS, with both victories and covers coming on the road. Next up is a trip to red-hot Indiana Wednesday. The two sides just met Aug. 18 with the Fever blasting the Sparks 79-68 in L.A.

-- Phoenix (17-10) restored order Sunday against Minnesota (19-9), snapping an uncharacteristic three-game slide for the Mercury. The Merc also snapped an 0-3 ATS skid. Despite the cover they are still just 4-11 ATS over the past 15 games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 9
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 9
-- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 9
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 9
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 9
-- The 'over' went 3-1 in Week 9

Team Betting Notes

-- Montreal (3-5) picked up a much-needed and unexpected road win at BC Lions (3-5) Thursday, their first road win in four tries. The Alouettes are a respectable 2-1-1 ATS on the road, however. The 'under' also hit for the Alous, and is now 7-1.

-- BC started out 2-1, but they have dropped four of the past five games. They have an identical 1-4 ATS mark during the span, too.

-- Toronto (6-2) maintained their grasp on the lead in the East with a 30-24 win over Ottawa (4-4) in Sunday's matinee action. The Argos failed to cover for the third time in four games after opening 4-0 ATS in the first four.

-- After a solid 4-2 start, the RedBlacks have dropped back-to-back games on the road. The 'over' hit in Sunday's loss in Toronto, and has now cashed in four straight for the RedBlacks after the 'under' hit in three of their first four games. Next up is a date at home with winless Saskatchewan (0-8) next Sunday.

-- Speaking of the Roughriders, they fell 34-31 against Calgary (6-2). Saskatchewan has covered each of the past two after opening 0-5-1 ATS in the first six outings. While the Riders have failed to win a game, six of their losses have come by four or fewer points.

-- For the Stampeders, they are winning games but they continue to cover the number. Through eight games they are just 1-7 ATS. The Stamps will travel to Winnipeg (3-5) next Saturday.

-- Edmonton (5-3) was embarrassed at home against Hamilton (6-2) by a 49-20 score, as the TiCats won and covered for the fifth consecutive game. In fact, Hamilton is an impressive 7-1 ATS in eight games this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
By David Schwab

Week 10 marks the halfway point of the 2015 CFL regular season and so far the two teams that met in last season’s Grey Cup have set the pace with Hamilton tied for the lead in the East Division and Calgary back on top in the West.

Last week’s results started with Montreal upending British Columbia, 23-13 as a four-point road underdog last Thursday night. Hamilton rolled over Edmonton 49-20 as a two-point road favorite in a huge inter-division clash last Friday and Calgary snuck past Saskatchewan, 34-31 as a 6 ½-point favorite on the road. Toronto closed-out Week 9’s slate with a come-from-behind 30-24 victory over Ottawa as an 8 ½-point home favorite.

Thursday, Aug. 27

Montreal Alouettes (3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -10
Total: 53 ½

Game Overview

Montreal snapped a straight-up three-game skid with last week’s win and the total has now stayed UNDER in seven of its first eight games. The Alouettes are averaging just 20.6 points a game, but their defense is ranked first in the CFL in points allowed (18.5). Tyrell Sutton had big day running the ball against BC last Thursday with 111 yards on 14 carries and Montreal as a team rushed for 251 yards in that game.

The Tiger-Cats have established themselves as favorites to win the East Division this season behind an offensive machine that is cranking-out an average of 36.5 points a game. This is far and away the best scoring average in the CFL. Last weekend against the Eskimos, Zach Collaros completed 17-of-29 attempts for 300 yards and three touchdown throws. He leads the CFL in passing yards with 2,314.

Betting Trends

Montreal has covered against the spread in six of the last eight meetings including a SU 17-13 victory over the Tiger-Cats on July 16 as a three-point home underdog. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven games.

Friday, Aug. 28

Toronto Argonauts (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -3
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

Toronto’s win on Sunday kept it tied with Hamilton atop the East Division at 6-2 SU, but it is just 1-3 ATS in its last four games. Trevor Harris continues to be one of the biggest surprises this season at quarterback with 2,253 total passing yards and a league-high 19 touchdown throws. Against the RedBlacks in that come-from-behind victory, he completed 21-of-31 attempts for 266 yards and three scores.

The Eskimos’ loss to Hamilton dropped them a game off the pace against Calgary in the West Division race. Making matters worse was a rib injury to quarterback James Franklin. He remains questionable for this Friday, so if he cannot go it will be up to Matt Nichols to shake off the rust that has plagued him in his last few starts at quarterback for Edmonton.

Betting Trends

The Argonauts won the first meeting this season 26-11 as 7 ½-point home underdogs with the total staying UNDER the closing 47 ½-point line. Edmonton is still 6-3 ATS over the last nine meetings and the total had gone OVER in the previous five games.

Saturday, Aug. 29

Calgary Stampeders (6-2 SU, 1-7 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -7
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

The defending champs continue to set the pace in the West, but they are 0-3 ATS in three road games this year. The total went OVER 50 ½ against Saskatchewan last week and it has now gone OVER in three of Calgary’s last four outings. The Stampeders have gotten some solid play out of Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback and in last week’s game he threw for 303 yards and three touchdowns.

The Blue Bombers come off a bye in desperate need of a win to stay in the playoff race in the West after dropping four of five games SU (2-3 ATS) before the break. Winnipeg is averaging just 20 points a game, while on defense it has allowed an average of 29.7 points a game. Quarterback Drew Willy is out until late September with a knee injury, so look for Brian Brohm or possibly Robert Marve to get the start against Calgary.

Betting Trends

Calgary got past Winnipeg 26-25 on July 18 as a 7 ½-point home favorite and it has now failed to cover in the last three meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last four meetings.

Sunday, Aug. 30

Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 52

Game Overview

It has been a forgettable first half of football for the Roughriders, who have been plagued with major injuries at the quarterback position. They should be encouraged by the play of Brett Smith in relief. Against Calgary, he threw for 178 yards and three touchdowns while adding another 54 yards on the ground. Saskatchewan is still averaging 25.6 points a game.

The RedBlacks have now lost their last two games SU (1-1 ATS) after a posting a solid 4-2 start both SU and ATS. The total went OVER the closing 50-point line on Sunday and it has now gone OVER in their last four games. Veteran CFL signal-caller Henry Burris lit-up Toronto’s secondary in the losing effort with 426 yards passing while completing 32-of-36 attempts.

Betting Trends

Saskatchewan won both meetings last season SU with the series tied 1-1 ATS. The total went OVER in both contests with the Roughriders posting a total of 73 points in the two victories.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Underdogs up north just keep cashing
Andrew Caley

Underdogs in the Canadian Football League just keep cashing and their backers are laughing all the way to the bank.

With another week where dogs went 3-1 against the spread, CFL pups are now a crazy 24-10-1 through nine weeks of the season. That is a success rate of 70.59 percent.

What's even crazier is that if you take away the Edmonton Eskimos and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, who are a combined 8-3 as favorites, dogs are an unfathomable 21-2-1 ATS.

The lines for Week 10 are currently off the board.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Alouettes at Tiger-Cats

Montreal Alouettes at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-9.5, 53)

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look to earn their CFL-leading seventh victory when they host the Montreal Alouettes on Thursday. The Tiger-Cats have won five straight games following a comprehensive 49-20 victory over the Edmonton Eskimos, and return home to Tim Hortons Field where they are a formidable 9-0 during the regular season.

Hamilton's offense continues to put up points at a remarkable rate scoring at least 49 in back-to-back games while its defense recorded its eighth defensive touchdown, which is three off the single-season record set by the BC Lions in 1987. The Alouettes snapped a three-game losing streak with a 23-13 road victory over the Lions but it wasn't enough to save Tom Higgins' job as the second-year coach was unceremoniously relieved of his duties a day after the victory. "We have made this change as we believe it is in the best interest of our team," Montreal owner Bob Wetenhall told reporters. "We all wish to express to Tom our affection and respect, as well as our appreciation for the contributions he has made to the franchise." General manager Jim Popp will assume the coaching duties as he looks to lead the Alouettes to their second win over Hamilton this year after a 17-13 victory in Week 4.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: The Ti-Cats opened as 9.5-point home favorites and the total opened at 53.

INJURY REPORT: Tiger-Cats - WR Andy Fantuz (Six-Game IR, elbow)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Despite beating the B.C. Lions in Vancouver last week, they fired head Coach Tom Higgins, who will be replaced by GM Jim Popp. The Als will be double-digit dogs on the road in Hamilton Thursday, where the Ti-Cats are still undefeated. Montreal held Hamilton to a season low 13 points in Week 4, picking off Zach Collaros three times. Montreal leads the CFL in scoring defense, but Hamilton owns the league's top air attack, averaging over 300 passing yards per game." Will Rogers.

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (3-5 SU, 5-3 ATS, 1-7 O/U): Rakeem Cato had one of his most accurate performances of the year as he completed 16-of-19 passes for 154 yards and a touchdown against BC. Tyrell Sutton ran for a game-high 111 yards and added another 43 receiving while Nik Lewis had four receptions for 52 yards and a touchdown in Week 9. Anthony Calvillo, who is the CFL's all-time passing leader, was named Montreal's new quarterbacks coach as part of the staff shakeup after spending the first seven games working with the wide receivers.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS, 3-5 O/U): Zach Collaros continued his recent tear as he threw for 300 yards and three touchdowns to go along with a rushing score against the Eskimos, and leads the CFL with 2,314 passing yards. Defensive end Eric Norwood has scored a defensive touchdown in each of his last two games, including a team-record 106-yard fumble return TD, which was the third longest in CFL history. Hamilton is set to retire the number of legendary offensive lineman Angelo Mosca, who played 158 games for the team, in a halftime ceremony Thursday.

TRENDS:

* Under is 19-7 in Tiger-Cats last 26 home games.
* Alouettes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Tiger-Cats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
* Under is 6-1 in Alouettes last seven games in August.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-three percent are backing the Tiger-Cats.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | MONTREAL at HAMILTON
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 off 1 or more straight overs, good offensive team - scoring 29 or more points/game
88-43 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 40.7 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at OTTAWA
Play On - Any team vs the money line (SASKATCHEWAN) after 6 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15
20-11 since 1997. ( 64.5% | 0.0 units )

CFL | MONTREAL at HAMILTON
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (HAMILTON) after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
36-9 since 1997. ( 80.0% | 26.1 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Mohawk Racetrack

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 10 - Post: 10:25 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$14000 - 2 & 3 YEAR OLDS, NW 1 RACE OR $7,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 MAJESTIC SUNSET 8/1


# 7 ONTHEROAD DE VIE 5/2


# 10 AMITYVILLE LINDY 5/1


We've got a vibe MAJESTIC SUNSET is going to get the top prize especially at such a decent 8/1. Looks like this colt is first time hoppled. Might see a different horse here with the change. He has really good class figures, averaging 71. Worth considering for a bet here. He looks respectable in this gathering and should find a way to take advantage of favorable pace statistics. ONTHEROAD DE VIE - He's racing in fine form, recording clear-cut TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent contender. If performance in the last competition is representative, this horse will have a very nice shot in this race. High last race speed rating. AMITYVILLE LINDY - The handicapping group saw this horse's name on a billboard. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small bet. Competing admirably, recorded a strong speed fig in his last race (69).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 12 - Post: 4:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$2900 - $4000 CLAIMING/ALLOWANCES


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 DEXTER JIG 7/2


# 4 CLIVE HANOVER 4/1


# 1 ROYAL TODD 5/2


DEXTER JIG is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the consortium. Has great speed figures and definitely has to be thought of for a play for this one. Has a huge shot in here, if he can race to his back class. That 78 speed figure clocked in the last race puts this solid standardbred in the mix here. CLIVE HANOVER - Hands down the best hole at Monticello Raceway is the 4. The win clip is great. ROYAL TODD - With a solid driver, who has won at a really strong 19 percent rate this last month, this has to be one of the top choices. Is a very promising win contender given the 80 speed rating from his most recent race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 64

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 8 HOLY TREASURE 5/1


# 5 AMELIASWILDKITTY 9/5


# 9 AROMA BLUE 6/1


HOLY TREASURE has a quite good shot to take this race. She should be considered given the competitive speed figures. This equine is prominent in this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Dorochenko has this filly racing well and is a formidable selection based on the respectable speed figures garnered in sprint races recently. AMELIASWILDKITTY - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look very strong in this contest. Trainer has strong win rate (28 percent) at this distance and surface. AROMA BLUE - Has very strong early speed and ought to fare quite well versus this group.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 88

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2015. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 DUBLIN DA'BET 3/1


# 4 ONE TRUE SUN 4/1


# 5 FREDDIE ONE BITE 5/2


DUBLIN DA'BET is the strongest wager in this race. Displays solid speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group. Has a solid record at the distance and surface, which makes me have to consider this gelding. Garnered a solid speed rating last time out. ONE TRUE SUN - Ought to be considered - I like the figs from the last competition. Has been running in the most competitive company of the group lately. FREDDIE ONE BITE - The drastic drop in company can only help out this entrant today. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the most favorable class figs of this field.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Arlington - Race #1 - Post: 1:15pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,200 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 GRAND PROCESSION (ML=2/1)
#4 SPOILS OF WAR (ML=4/5)


GRAND PROCESSION - He'll be laying in perfect stalking position, right behind the early pace. SPOILS OF WAR - When Esquivel and DiVito team up on animals the winning percentage has been fantastic at 30. The Aug 6th event at Arlington was at a class level of (88). Dropping down in class considerably, so he should be in a good spot to win. This horse is at the top in EPS (earnings per start). Take a long look at this one in the saddling enclosure.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DARGLE (ML=9/2),

DARGLE - This gelding showed very little last time.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 GRAND PROCESSION to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #5 - Post: 8:56pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 86

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 AWESOME ARCENO (ML=6/1)
#1 REVERE (ML=4/1)


AWESOME ARCENO - I do like the fact this gelding is back in a race so quickly. This gelding should be in fine condition, this far into his form cycle. This jock/trainer duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +999. That 79 fig this gelding registered in his last race tells me he's a main player this time out. REVERE - That recent bullet 47.8 work shows that this gelding is ready for a top race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 TOP THE PODIUM (ML=5/2), #3 MR. PRANKSTER (ML=3/1), #2 AJI (ML=8/1),

TOP THE PODIUM - You should normally bet against low-odds horses that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. This gelding hasn't had any positive efforts in sprint affairs in the last 60 days. MR. PRANKSTER - The finish of fifth in the last affair shows me that this animal may be tailing off. Don't think this less than sharp equine will do much running in today's event. That last rating was pedestrian when compared with today's class rating. AJI - Difficult to wager on at 8/1 odds after the last two efforts.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 AWESOME ARCENO to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip