Thursday 6/5/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday Horse Racing Spot Picks

SPOT PLAYS

For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington (2nd) Geneva Lake, 5-1
(6th) Chatfield Road, 9-2

Belmont Park (4th) Cajun Wedding, 3-1
(9th) Josie's Prospect, 3-1

Belterra Park (2nd) Elusive Vidar, 8-1
(6th) Stroll With Me, 9-2

Canterbury (4th) Dorn, 7-2
(8th) Malibu Deputy, 4-1

Charles Town (1st) Bluegrass Angel, 6-1
(6th) Crafty Punch, 6-1

Churchill Downs (1st) Trade, 10-1
(3rd) Circle the World, 3-1

Delaware Park (3rd) Regal Nurse, 6-1
(5th) Over and Back, 7-2

Evangeline Downs (3rd) Count On Carr, 10-1
(8th) Magical Season, 6-1

Finger Lakes (3rd) Powhatan County, 9-2
(4th) Bet U Cant Find Me, 3-1

Golden Gate Fields (3rd) My T Quick, 9-2
(7th) Elegant in Silk, 4-1

Lone Star Park (1st) First Touch, 3-1
(8th) Witt's Charm, 6-1

Louisiana Downs (6th) Kissin Silk, 7-2
(7th) My Gal Charlene, 9-2

Penn National (2nd) Reach for the Sky, 8-1
(5th) Kiss for Barbican, 6-1

Prairie Meadows (1st) Valid A. J., 3-1
(9th) Lonely Lover, 6-1

Presque Isle Downs (4th) Genuine Flare, 7-2
(5th) Farmington, 3-1

Santa Anita (3rd) Soul Crusader, 8-1
(6th) My Monet, 4-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Thursday 6/5 Analysis
By Greg Gangle
DRF HARNESS

Race 4: $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: GOLDIES MACH (9th)

Spot Play: THE MUSCLER (5th)



Race 1

(10) APHRODITY was terrific at first asking in her first start of the season for Zeron. She closed very well from an outside post and provided a very encouraging final quarter which sets her up very well for this start. (9) THISGIRLSONFIRE made a miscue in her latest, but faces an easier bunch and has excellent gate speed. (4) SUEGRABBITNRUN has been racing consistently and raced very well in the debut of trainer Macdonald last week. She’s versatile, gets Waples in the bike and drops in class

Race 2

(4) SVADILFARI might offer a price in this maiden level as he’s been racing very strong at Flamboro and closed very well from a post eight start in his latest. He got the experience he needed and looks like he’s ready to battle on this circuit and draws a favorable post. (8) ARRIVED LATE will have to overcome post eight as he makes just his second start of the season. Last week he had the outside post 10 and was a non-factor. (7) MACHS BOY gets MacDonell back in the bike, which is a plus for this youngster. He raced well last week after being put in the race and posted a good final frame.

Race 3

(6) MIDAS TOUCH trotted a credible mile in his latest given that it was his first start of the season. (1) K D BELLA gets the rail to work with and made a very uncharacteristic break last start. Prior to that effort she finished second in each of her last four starts. (2) FASHION GODDESS has been racing much better since being hard-used in the early going in each of her last two starts.

Race 4

(3) DOCS HOSS has been a cause of concern at this level for many weeks and will be one of the favorites when the gate unfolds. (9) LENNON BLUE CHIP was put on the front last week and faded to fifth. He has all kinds of back class in his favor, but hasn’t been on his game this season. (8) LOST IN PANSLATION has improved in each of his four starts this season and that resulted in a victory in this class last week.

Race 5

(10) THE MUSCLER moves up in class, but this field doesn’t appear much deeper than he’s accustomed to. He has excellent gate speed, which likely will be provided from the outside, and he comes from a top barn. (4) BIG PACKAGE has been racing at his best this season with a terrific record. He’s been racing very consistently in this class, is versatile and continues to offer a high price. (2) RANDOM MARGIN looks to be in a decent spot.

Race 6

(7) PALM BEACH HANOVER raced very well last week considering it was her first start of the season. She’s versatile, has the speed and gets Jamieson in the bike this week. (6) GRACEFUL MELODY raced much better for team Moore last week. She’s hit the board in two of her last three starts. (3) WINDSONG KHLOE comes out of the Jamieson barn and put in a subpar effort in her latest. She’s a versatile filly that is due to enjoy her first career win sooner rather than later.

Race 7

(3) CAN ART gets major post relief which was the deciding factor in my selection process. McNair also returns to the bike for his father, Gregg. The pair won with this filly two starts back from a good post and an aggressive steer. (8) SAM didn’t disappoint as the favorite last week with a patented late kick to seal the win. That’s the second start in a row the daughter of Dragon Again paced home in sub-:27 fashion. (5) BET YA disappointed the public last week with her fifth-place effort, but was only beaten less than two lengths for the win. With another week of experience under her belt maybe she’s ready to rise to the occasion.

Race 8

(9) HIE BENNY was put on the front last week and never looked back en route to victory. Trainer Hie will once again do the driving and proved that the son of Kadabra is very capable of overcoming the outside with his quick speed off the gate shown last week. (1) FLEXIBLE WOMAN has been given the rail and has terrific gate speed when called upon. She comes from a top conditioner in Bax and should enjoy this easier field. (6) NOT SO COOL wasn’t on his game last week with a miscue behind the gate, but terrific the week prior when he won in 1:58 3/5 over a sloppy track.

Race 9

(6) GOLDIES MACH enters the Menary barn, gets Jamieson in the bike and just missed last week at this level. (7) SUES YOUR DADDY put forth a good effort last start, but had to settle for third at this maiden class as the favorite. She hasn’t missed the board in both starts this season and continues to drop seconds in each start. (8) HIT IT BIG continues to improve with each start and put forth his best performance last week.

Race 10

(3) VILLAGE JESSICA has raced ultra-consistently in each of her last four starts. She’s finished second in three of them, but only beaten by half a length at the max for the win. (4) MADEMOISELLE PARIS put forth a terrific effort last week to finish third at 22-1 for Charlton & Zeron. The addition of Lasix three starts ago has proven to be a difference maker in her performances. (6) MARY MICHELLE is a lightly-raced daughter of Artistic Fella that was an impressive winner in her most recent start. Prior to that outing she has been prone to make breaks in her miles and the results were not positive.

 

[superbeets]

International Fr 6Jun 15:00

Russia

v

Morocco

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
PMSK		4/9	3	7	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN RUSSIA	RECENT FORM
ADNDNWHWHWAD​ Most recent​	Unknown	ADHWND*HDNWNL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Russia have conceded in four of their last six matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Russia are unbeaten in their last nine outings and are warming up nicely for the World Cup. However, Fabio Capello’s well-organised side have drawn three of their last six matches and Morocco will be no pushovers, having recorded stalemates in seven of their last 11 games.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lone Star Race 7 for Thursday, June 05, 2014
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Lone Star - Race #7 - Post: 9:23pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 66

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 WARREN'S CLYDE (ML=8/1)
#3 TIO (ML=10/1)
#1 BOOK OF RULES (ML=3/1)


WARREN'S CLYDE - Utilizing this rider/conditioner combination is a good decision. Last race at Oaklawn on March 1st was a big class drop for this equine. Facing similar foes right here. He should do well in today's event. This equine is number one in earnings per start. He looks sharp in today's contest. TIO - Looking at today's class figure, this horse is encountering an easier group than in the last race at Lone Star. This horse didn't run well on a sloppy track in his last race around the track at Lone Star. You should disregard that performance. BOOK OF RULES - Looking at today's class rating, this racer is up against an easier bunch than in the last race at Lone Star. Have to make this gelding a contender; he comes off a strong race on May 17th. Three consecutive improved speed figures (41-58-69) make this horse a solid contender. That 69 fig this gelding earned in his last event tells me he's a main player in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MARGARITA BIBB (ML=8/5), #7 MR. RANDI (ML=5/1), #4 WILDER DAYS (ML=6/1),

MARGARITA BIBB - This horse hasn't been in the mix in either of his last two races. MR. RANDI - Don't believe this racer will make an impact in today's event. That last speed figure was pedestrian when compared with today's Equibase class figure. WILDER DAYS - No success for this entrant in a short distance race over the last sixty days tells me that this gelding is in a formidable spot Hasn't been coming close at all lately.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #6 WARREN'S CLYDE on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #7 - BELMONT PARK - 4:26 PM EASTERN POST
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $62,000.00 PURSE

#1 DOCTOR DEMPSEY
#8 G W'S HAMMER
#10 OGERMEISTER
#4 SIDEARM

#1 DOCTOR DEMPSEY has excellent early speed abilities to compliment for this 6.0 furlong sprint, is the pace profile leader, and comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his "first asking," 47 days ago at Santa Anita Park. Jockey Victor Espinoza was in his irons for that win, which a produced a +290% return on investment in the process, and is here at Belmont Park this afternoon gunning for back-to-back wins ... on both coasts! #8 G W'S HAMMER, a 30-1 BOMB, has hit the board in three straight starts, with his last two efforts, including a win in his 2nd race back, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 61

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 KATHY'S LIMIT 2/1

# 4 PASSION FOR MONEY 5/1

# 6 YES MY LOVE 6/1

I back KATHY'S LIMIT here. Earning some good dough in dirt sprint events. Expect a solid attempt with the class drop. PASSION FOR MONEY - Has performed admirably recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 52 avg speed figure. Could beat this group given the 56 Equibase speed fig recorded in her last outing. YES MY LOVE - The average Equibase class figure alone makes this horse a key contender. Looks strong against this group of animals and will most likely be one of the front-runners.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Santa Anita Park

RACE #2 - SANTA ANITA PARK - 1:30 PM PACIFIC POST
6½ DOWNHILL TURF COURSE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $32,000.00 PURSE

#3 THERMAL NERMAL
#2 JOEANDBETTY'SBABY
#6 BURNS TURN
#1 LE FASCINATOR

#3 THERMAL NERMAL is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field sprinting at, or about, this afternoon's distance of 6½ furlongs on the turf, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight starts, hitting the board in four of those "adventures," including a "POWER RUN WIN" facing slightly better company (+1) in her last start. Jockey Martin Garcia was in her irons for that win, 25 days ago here at Santa Anita, which produced a +480% return on investment in the process, and is back today for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." #2 JOEANDBETTY'SBABY has also turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 5th race back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #7 - Post: 4:13pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 53

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 CASSIENGRACIE (ML=7/2)


CASSIENGRACIE - Got to appreciate a good work horse. This filly's last workout was second fastest of the day for the distance. Gibson drops this one in today for only her second race. Should do better than last out. It is my opinion that fillys run better the 2nd time they get Lasix. Gibson puts this filly on it for the 2nd time today, so give this one a look.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DON'T EXPECT MUCH (ML=8/5), #2 MY GAL CHARLENE (ML=9/2), #5 PRIVACY OVERDUE (ML=6/1),

DON'T EXPECT MUCH - The probable favorite is shaky here with the lack of morning drills. MY GAL CHARLENE - This filly hasn't had any strong efforts in short distance affairs in the last 60 days. On a downward cycle. Equibase speed figures keep declining. This pony ran a most unsatisfactory speed fig last race out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely get beat in today's event running that number. PRIVACY OVERDUE - Hard to play any first time starter when the sire has a win percentage of only 1 pct.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 CASSIENGRACIE to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Lone Star - Race #7 - Post: 9:23pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 66

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 WARREN'S CLYDE (ML=8/1)
#3 TIO (ML=10/1)
#1 BOOK OF RULES (ML=3/1)


WARREN'S CLYDE - Utilizing this rider/conditioner combination is a good decision. Last race at Oaklawn on March 1st was a big class drop for this equine. Facing similar foes right here. He should do well in today's event. This equine is number one in earnings per start. He looks sharp in today's contest. TIO - Looking at today's class figure, this horse is encountering an easier group than in the last race at Lone Star. This horse didn't run well on a sloppy track in his last race around the track at Lone Star. You should disregard that performance. BOOK OF RULES - Looking at today's class rating, this racer is up against an easier bunch than in the last race at Lone Star. Have to make this gelding a contender; he comes off a strong race on May 17th. Three consecutive improved speed figures (41-58-69) make this horse a solid contender. That 69 fig this gelding earned in his last event tells me he's a main player in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MARGARITA BIBB (ML=8/5), #7 MR. RANDI (ML=5/1), #4 WILDER DAYS (ML=6/1),

MARGARITA BIBB - This horse hasn't been in the mix in either of his last two races. MR. RANDI - Don't believe this racer will make an impact in today's event. That last speed figure was pedestrian when compared with today's Equibase class figure. WILDER DAYS - No success for this entrant in a short distance race over the last sixty days tells me that this gelding is in a formidable spot Hasn't been coming close at all lately.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #6 WARREN'S CLYDE on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - SO - 5.5f on the Turf. Purse: $27500 Class Rating: 102

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS SINCE JUNE 1, 2012 OR CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 5, 2014 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000 LANE 5. 18FT OUT. (IF THE MANAGEMENT CONSIDERS IT INADVISABLE TO


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 ROJO VERDE 3/1

# 8 EXPECTING CASH 7/2

# 7 LUCK WITH A KISS 10/1

I favor ROJO VERDE here. With a formidable 96 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. With Russell getting the mount, watch out for this horse. Russell has an excellent ROI over the past month (+15) which should probably help wagerers with this choice. EXPECTING CASH - Displays reliable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this field. Recent figures for the rider - 22 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group. LUCK WITH A KISS - This gelding has some longshot handicapping angles I like to play. No strangers to the winner's circle, Reavis and Thornton will most likely have this gelding breaking away from the field.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Free Selection MLB

(901) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (902) CINCINNATI REDS

Take: (901) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS -125

It’s an even numbered year, and just like clockwork the Giants are back in the mix as a major player. The Giants own the best record in baseball right now and they’re putting some real distance between themselves and the rest of the NL West pack, including the perplexing Dodgers.

One of the strengths for the Giants will be on display today as they wrap up their series with the Reds. That would be lefty Madison Bumgarner. He doesn’t get the big pub of several of his peers, but MadBum has established himself as a true top of the rotation hurler. Bumgarner comes into today’s game red hot. He’s 5-0 in his last six starts, and in his last two outings, Bumgarner has surrendered only six hits and one run while posting a scintillating 1/20 BB/K split. In fact, over the last six starts, Bumgarner has walked only five while whiffing 48. That’s about as All-Star as it gets.

I don’t put a great deal of stock into pitcher vs. hitter history as it’s small sample and simply not that reliable. But the Reds Bumgarner will see today have done virtually nothing against him, and it looks as though those Cincy batters are running into the Giants ace at his best. I’ll be surprised if the Reds put up big numbers here.

Bumgarner has a tough opponent today, as gritty Mike Leake throws for the home team. Leake might not have top shelf stuff, but he’s the ultimate battler and is a very smart pitcher. Leake has a spotless career ledger against the Giants as far as W/L is concerned. But it should be noted that the individual pitcher vs. hitter stats aren’t nearly so attractive.

I’m giving Bumgarner the edge on the mound. I’ll call the bullpens close to even, but whatever advantage there is belongs to the Giants. The offensive data strongly indicates the Giants, and I think it’s worth mentioning that San Francisco has the best day game record in the bigs this season at a sensational 16-6. The Giants played what might well have been their worst game of the season Tuesday. That was swept away with last night’s 3-2 victory as San Francisco made their one productive inning count, overcoming a 2-0 deficit in the process.

There are not going to be any bargains to be had on the Giants. That means you’ll have to pay the freight any time you want to back this team, at least as long as they’re maintaing the present form. So if you’re just looking for value, this can’t qualify as a great option. But the price is certainly not unfair, and I like the idea of riding the hot hand the sizzling pitcher. I’ll side with Bumgarner and the Giants to wrap up this series with yet one more win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports

Thursday's free selection:

Los Angeles Angels - 135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals4U

Thursday's Free Selection:

St Louis Cardinals/Kansas City Royals under 7 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Free Selection MLB

(901) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (902) CINCINNATI REDS

Take: (901) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS -125

It’s an even numbered year, and just like clockwork the Giants are back in the mix as a major player. The Giants own the best record in baseball right now and they’re putting some real distance between themselves and the rest of the NL West pack, including the perplexing Dodgers.

One of the strengths for the Giants will be on display today as they wrap up their series with the Reds. That would be lefty Madison Bumgarner. He doesn’t get the big pub of several of his peers, but MadBum has established himself as a true top of the rotation hurler. Bumgarner comes into today’s game red hot. He’s 5-0 in his last six starts, and in his last two outings, Bumgarner has surrendered only six hits and one run while posting a scintillating 1/20 BB/K split. In fact, over the last six starts, Bumgarner has walked only five while whiffing 48. That’s about as All-Star as it gets.

I don’t put a great deal of stock into pitcher vs. hitter history as it’s small sample and simply not that reliable. But the Reds Bumgarner will see today have done virtually nothing against him, and it looks as though those Cincy batters are running into the Giants ace at his best. I’ll be surprised if the Reds put up big numbers here.

Bumgarner has a tough opponent today, as gritty Mike Leake throws for the home team. Leake might not have top shelf stuff, but he’s the ultimate battler and is a very smart pitcher. Leake has a spotless career ledger against the Giants as far as W/L is concerned. But it should be noted that the individual pitcher vs. hitter stats aren’t nearly so attractive.

I’m giving Bumgarner the edge on the mound. I’ll call the bullpens close to even, but whatever advantage there is belongs to the Giants. The offensive data strongly indicates the Giants, and I think it’s worth mentioning that San Francisco has the best day game record in the bigs this season at a sensational 16-6. The Giants played what might well have been their worst game of the season Tuesday. That was swept away with last night’s 3-2 victory as San Francisco made their one productive inning count, overcoming a 2-0 deficit in the process.

There are not going to be any bargains to be had on the Giants. That means you’ll have to pay the freight any time you want to back this team, at least as long as they’re maintaing the present form. So if you’re just looking for value, this can’t qualify as a great option. But the price is certainly not unfair, and I like the idea of riding the hot hand the sizzling pitcher. I’ll side with Bumgarner and the Giants to wrap up this series with yet one more win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Razor Sharp

FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY:

ARIZONA (Arroyo) +130 over Colorado

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Computer Sports

Free Selection MLB:

Tampa Bay -142

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Atlantic Sports

Thursday's Free Selection:

Philadelphia Phillies + 170

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dr. Vegas

Free Selection MLB

Washington -173