Thursday 5/29/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 28, 2014

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Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 28, 2014

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superbeets · May 28, 2014

International Fr 30May 20:00

England

v

Peru

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ITV1		2/7	9/2	9	More markets

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN ENGLAND	RECENT FORM
ADHWHWHLHLHW Most recent	Unknown	ALADHLALALHD Most recent

KEY STAT: Peru have kept clean sheets in six of their last seven friendlies

EXPERT VERDICT: Chile’s slick victory at Wembley in November illustrated the dangers of underestimating South American opposition, and Peru are another solid unit with the potential to frustrate. England have scored more than two goals in a home friendly just once since 2010, and the value bet could be on another low-scoring encounter

RECOMMENDATION: England 2-0
1

superbeets · May 28, 2014

International Fr 30May 01:00

Honduras

v

Turkey

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
PMSK					More markets

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
HDHWADNLHDHW Most recent	0 - 2	HLHWHWHWAWAW Most recent

KEY STAT: Turkey have won five friendlies in a row

EXPERT VERDICT: Turkey are an improved outfit since reappointing Fatih Terim as manager, winning eight of their last nine matches, and should have too much for World Cup rank outsiders Honduras. The Central Americans lack quality, while the Turks were impressive in their 2-1 victory over Ireland on Sunday.

RECOMMENDATION: Turkey
2

superbeets · May 28, 2014

International Fr 30May 19:30

Austria

v

Iceland

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT2		4/6	5/2	9/2	More markets

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN AUSTRIA	RECENT FORM
ALHWALAWHWHD Most recent	Unknown	HWADHDALNLAL Most recent

KEY STAT: Iceland have lost nine of their last 12 friendlies

EXPERT VERDICT: Iceland did well to reach a World Cup play-off but may struggle against Austria, who conceded just ten goals during their qualifying campaign. The hosts have more strength in depth and have beaten USA and drawn with Uruguay in their last two friendlies.

RECOMMENDATION: Austria
2

superbeets · May 28, 2014

International Fr 30May 21:00

Spain

v

Bolivia

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
PMSK		1/7	13/2	16	More markets

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN SPAIN	RECENT FORM
NDNWNWAWALHW Most recent	Unknown	HDALADALHDAD Most recent

KEY STAT: Bolivia haven’t won an away match since 2007

EXPERT VERDICT: The 13-2 about Spain winning the World Cup is unlikely to last much longer and the champions can warm up in style against Bolivia. The South Americans have a dismal away record and whichever team Vicente Del Bosque puts out should pass them off the park in a one-sided contest.

RECOMMENDATION: Spain 3-0
1

superbeets · May 28, 2014

International Sa 31May 00:30

Uruguay

v

N Ireland

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
TBC					More markets

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN URUGUAY	RECENT FORM
HWALHWAWHDAD Most recent	Unknown	HLALALADALAD Most recent

KEY STAT: Northern Ireland have only won one of their last 20 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Northern Ireland are a poor side and even accounting for the injury to Uruguay’s main main Luis Suarez, Oscar Tabarez’s men should take them apart. Plenty of chances should fall the way of Edinson Cavani, who looks a good bet to open the scoring for the 2010 World Cup semi-finalists.

RECOMMENDATION: E Cavani first goalscorer
1

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Thursday Horse Racing Spot Picks

SPOT PLAYS

For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington Park (2nd) Berry Knoll, 9-2
(8th) Reality Star, 6-1

Belmont Park (4th) King Gettigan, 3-1
(8th) Sky Skier, 7-2

Belterra Park (1st) Lady Sasha, 10-1
(6th) Regal Sun, 6-1

Charles Town (2nd) Better Terms, 10-1
(4th) Decide Why, 3-1

Evangeline Downs (4th) Special Dixie, 4-1
(5th) Imprecision, 7-2

Louisiana Downs (6th) Sherman's Cookie, 4-1
(8th) Tenpins Cutie, 4-1

Penn National (1st) Silent Spin, 3-1
(5th) Mercury Head, 4-1

Prairie Meadows (5th) Lady Panther, 4-1
(7th) My Fair Ashton, 4-1

Presque Isle Downs (7th) Thatboathassailed, 4-1
(8th) Brushfirefairytale, 4-1

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Belmont Race 1 for Thursday, May 29, 2014
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Belmont - Race #1 - Post: 1:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 60

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 PARIS SUNSHINE (ML=5/1)
#6 FANCY 'N FLIGHT (ML=9/5)

PARIS SUNSHINE - If this filly gets out of the gate cleanly, she'll be tough to catch. Rounding her way back into form. Each of her finish positions is getting better in her recent starts. I like that last race on May 18th at Monmouth where she ran third. FANCY 'N FLIGHT - The return on investment when Franco and Brown hook up is outstanding. It looks like Franco had to 'know' this filly on May 11th when riding her for the first time. Back atop again today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 KEVIN'S KOOL KAT (ML=8/5), #3 BALLERENA BLISS (ML=8/1),

KEVIN'S KOOL KAT - This entrant likes to finish in the money, but doesn't usually finish first. Keep out of the top spot. BALLERENA BLISS - When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to notch a better speed rating than last out to battle in this dirt route.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - FANCY 'N FLIGHT - Equibase class rating today of 60. Taking a significant drop in the level of competition and should wake up against an easier spot. Worth a bet.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 PARIS SUNSHINE to win at post-time odds of 8/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $36000 Class Rating: 76

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 117 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1A SUNSET GLOW 9/5

# 7 CONFERENCE 5/1

# 4 POMEROYS UPRISING 12/1

I favor SUNSET GLOW here. Must be given consideration given the sire numbers TrackMaster shows on this juvenile. Decent try today with second time Lasix. Should best this group here, showing very strong numbers of late. CONFERENCE - Should be given a shot as Vashchenko has been among the best trainers with two-year olds. Vashchenko has garnered very strong profits (+361 return on investment ) with first asking starters. POMEROYS UPRISING - In a baby affair if you see the name Pomeroy in the sire line you know you have a solid contender. The Lasix change (on Lasix) may spark a major improvement for this filly.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Belterra Park - Race #7 - Post: 4:24pm - Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,600 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 OBSESSIONSOPTIMIST (ML=5/2)
#5 DAVES KIND EYES (ML=7/2)

OBSESSIONSOPTIMIST - I like when a race sets up this way. This gelding has the lone speed to crush this field. It looks like Creed had to 'know' this gelding on May 8th when riding him for the initial time. Back aboard again today. I have to like this gelding's chances at the shorter trip. Have to like the way Cline has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today. DAVES KIND EYES - Atop this mount on May 11th and Prescott is back again in the irons this time around. You'll be making money left and right by turning your bankroll onto this jock/trainer combination. A repeat of that most recent race on May 11th where he notched a fig of 49 looks lofty enough to triumph in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SIR SUNNYBOY (ML=3/1), #4 JUDGE GRAY (ML=4/1), #3 ACT THREE (ML=8/1),

SIR SUNNYBOY - Didn't finish in the money on Apr 26th at Mountaineer. Followed it up with another lackluster outing. Substandard speed figure last time out at Belterra Park at 6 furlongs. Don't think this runner will improve too much today. JUDGE GRAY - This animal doesn't have a champion's nature. Repeatedly finishes second or third. Finished fifth in his most recent race with a pedestrian speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #1 OBSESSIONSOPTIMIST to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/5 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 83

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 29 ALLOWED 4 LBS. W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY)

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 MARGARET HIGH 3/1

# 1A SPA CREEK 6/1

# 11 THRILL SHOW 15/1

MARGARET HIGH is my choice. Has very good Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run lately. Has performed well lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 80 avg Equibase speed fig. SPA CREEK - With a respectable 84 speed rating last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this contest. Should be considered here on the basis of the figures in the speed section alone. THRILL SHOW - Strong jockey with conditioner figures make this horse a very strong selection.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #5 - BELMONT PARK - 3:24 PM EASTERN POST
8½ FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $20,000.00 CLAIMING $30,000.00 PURSE

#1 TWO BLUE HENS
#2 BOUNTY PINK
#4 EGOTIST
#5 VINHDICATION SPOT

#1 TWO BLUE HENS takes a class drop (-16), and is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field this afternoon racing at, or about, 8½ furlongs on the dirt, and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" facing much better company in each of her last five outings, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 4th race back. The morning line favorite is #2 BOUNTY PINK who has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her last three starts, winning twice in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Cornelio Velasquez and Trainer Linda Rice send her to the post ... they've "whacked the tote board" with 55% of more than 200 entries saddled as a team to date.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS
RACE 10
1 1 CIVIL CAUSE 2/1 Devaux, Jim - 18 459.39
7 7 SOMOLLI CROWN 7/2 Taggart, Jim Jr - 14 435.20
5 5 EAST CREEK HUCK 20/1 Forte, Michael - 6 432.79
8 8 ER CANDY 15/1 Parker, William Jr - 14 421.67
4 4 BIG Z FORTUNE 7/2 Merton, Michael - 11 419.64
2 2 SCOTTISH BLUE 9/1 Dibenedetto, Kyle - 8 405.14
6 6 MAJESTIC'S JOY 12/1 Poynton, Charles - 6 403.73
3 3 MOTOWN RAILING 6/1 Beeler, Patrick - 7 391.65

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #8 - Post: 4:42pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,000 Class Rating: 47

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 DAWN'S DESTINY (ML=4/1)
#7 TENPINS CUTIE (ML=4/1)
#11 TUNNELFORMONEY (ML=15/1)

DAWN'S DESTINY - Dill rode this entrant for the first time last time out and comes right back today. Maiden is going over to the dirt, and may not have liked the turf last out. Has a good chance to win for the 1st time. TENPINS CUTIE - This mare is in nice physical condition. Finished second on May 15th. The 46 latest race speed figure looks mighty good on paper. The improved speed figures over the last 3 races is great. Delahoussaye drops her in this event ready to win. TUNNELFORMONEY - Rode this racer on May 17th and Fry is yet again in the irons in today's contest. I really like that recent race on May 17th at Louisiana Downs where she ended up third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ELLEN MARIA (ML=7/2), #6 FLIRTY BIRDIE (ML=6/1), #1A WIN FOR PLEASURE (ML=8/1),

ELLEN MARIA - I don't normally play a probable favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last 3 weeks. FLIRTY BIRDIE - Quite unimpressive speed rating in the last race at Fair Grounds at 1 mile 70 yards. Don't feel this less than sharp equine will improve too much today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #8 DAWN'S DESTINY to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
8 with [7,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [7,8,11] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Harrah's Philadelphia

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS
RACE 12
6 6 RISE N SHINE 6/1 Napolitano, Geo. Jr - 20 516.21
5 5 KEYSTONE WYATT 4/1 Gingras, Yannick - 27 512.57
3 3 SWEET BEN 3/1 Tetrick, Tim - 21 509.05
2 2 ROCKET MASTER 5/1 Morgan, Anthony - 11 482.22
1 1 WATCH THE RHYTHM 4/1 Miller, Marcus - 10 462.74
7 7 BELIEVABLE 10/1 Miller, Brett - 14 452.54
4 4 MARKZ MOOSE 12/1 Zeron, Scott - 5 443.72
8 8 RAILEE KWIK 10/1 Pierce, Ron - 14 396.33

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at The Meadows

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 05/29 THE MEADOWS
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 1- - PACE 05/29 THE MEADOWS
4 Limelight Beach 5/2 713.63 100 101.7 95.9 1:51.4 Miller, David 18
6 Somesizesomestyle 7/2 677.09 80 60.0 86.0 1:52.8 Palone, Dave 29
5 Ponderosito 6/1 656.48 90 31.7 86.0 1:52.8 Porfilio, Luis 12
2 Tsm Crusin Usa 4/1 641.03 90 56.7 85.0 1:53.2 Stillings, Richard 16
1 Zippity Doodah Deo 5/1 631.90 90 61.7 85.0 1:53.1 Rawlings, Dan 15

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Post: 7:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$10000 - CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $12,500 3 YO 50%, 4 YO 25%, F& M 20%

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 BIG TIME ROCKS 3/1

# 4 FOREVER WILD 10/1

# 2 PASS THE DECK 8/1

BIG TIME ROCKS very likely looks like the horse to beat in here. Could very well provide us a trip to the winner's circle based on nice recent speed ratings - earning an avg of 87. A formidable class horse cannot be glossed over. With an average class rating of 89 all signs look good for this one. Many horse players favor this gelding on the driver-trainer statistics alone. FOREVER WILD - Appears that this nice horse's running style fits well in this outing. Unquestionably will be there at the finish. Talk about a dynamic duo, Goodell and Vallee have some of the best driver-trainer ratings at the track. PASS THE DECK - That 82 speed rating clocked in the last race puts this interesting entrant in the mix for this race.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, May 29

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs, 9:00 ET
Oklahoma City: 53-34 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games
San Antonio: 28-17 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 29, 2014

NHL
Short Sheet

Thursday, May 29

Montreal Canadiens at NY Rangers, 8:05 ET
Montreal: 15-12 SU as a road underdog
New York: 3-8 SU in home games after allowing 4 goals or more