Thursday 3/16/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony George
Mar 16 '17, 12:40 PM
NCAA-B | North Carolina Wilmington vs Virginia
Play on: Virginia -7 -108 at 5Dimes

Thursday Free Madness Play – Las Vegas Style

Courtesy of Tony George Sports

UNC Wilmington vs Virginia

Thursday March 16, 12:40 EST

I love fading all the ESPN Bracketology guys because they do not know jack crap about the Las Vegas Line and they tend to direct the average Joe sports bettor this time of year with their opinions. They all love the upset special here and made the Seahawks a public darling and the ol boring Cavs who have no offense. Remember it is Entertainment and hype for the tourney that drives ratings boys, not free winners against the Las Vegas line over the airwaves. You can leave that up to Brent Musbuger and Jimmy Vacarro now on Sirius Radio since they have anointed them suddenly betting experts (seriously up for debate BIG TIME), who are throwing out parlays like candy at a main street parade in a small town on July 4th.

That said Virginia is the top defensive in the country and if you doubt their prowess, please refer to exhibit A: They held North Carolina in their last meeting to half of their season offense average and beat them silly. The Cavs come from the mighty ACC conference who may have 2 teams in the Final 4, and this is a battle tested team who does struggle on offense at times, but when you hold opponent’s to 53 ppg for the season, you can afford to struggle on offense and still win. Did I mention they played in the ACC?

NC Wilmington is not without merit at 29-5 on the year, and they won the Colonial Conference Crown and beat all teams in that tourney by 9 or more points. The CAA conference is like a soap scrimmage compared to the ACC and this is where strength of schedule and opponents RPI ratings prove their worth. The size and strength and depth of Virginia shines here.

Bonus Play on Virginia in Round 1 Thursday- The Las Vegas Line is -7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sean Murphy
Mar 16 '17, 2:45 PM
NCAA-B | Bucknell vs West Virginia
Play on: Bucknell +14 -110 at BMaker

Thursday CBB Bonus Play. My selection is on Bucknell plus the points over West Virginia at 2:45 pm et on Thursday.

I’ll grab the points with Bucknell in this NCAA Tournament Round of 64 matchup on Thursday afternoon.

We’re already hearing the Mountaineers talk about not looking ahead to a potential matchup against Notre Dame in the next round. Just the fact that it has been a talking point leading up to the tournament leads me to believe they very well could be caught peering into the future.

That would be a mistake against a game Bucknell squad that is appearing in the Big Dance for the first time since 2003. Some will discredit the Bison’s Patriot League title as they secured it by winning on their home floor. Bucknell is certainly mindful of West Virginia’s frenetic press style of defense and will need to take care of the basketball in order to have any shot at pulling the upset here.

I simply feel that the Mountaineers are being asked to lay too many points in this one. Take Bucknell (10*).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Covers
Mar 16 '17, 12:15 PM
NCAA-B | Princeton vs Notre Dame
Play on: Notre Dame -6½ -108 at 5Dimes

Take Notre Dame (#718)

Pointspreads tend to be very accurate by this time of the year. Both the oddsmakers and the broader betting markets have a full seasons worth of data to punch into their computers. The end result is that the numbers -- both sides and total -- are consistently right where they are supposed to be.

So when bettors are looking for an edge at this time of the year, they’re going to have to dig for information that is not factored into the numbers. Given the full season results and stats for Princeton and Notre Dame, this pointspread is as accurate as it gets. But when it comes to key tidbits of info? Well, that’s where we can find an edge.

Princeton was forced to leave New Jersey on Monday due to the East Coast blizzard; more than 24 hours ahead of schedule. That wouldn’t necessarily be a big deal, except for the fact that the Tigers played in the first ever Ivy League Championship Game on Sunday, creating a mad scramble for a team from a conference that has never had a conference tourney before.

Here are the pertinent quotes from Tigers Director of Basketball Operations Chris Mongilia, in his first year on the job at Princeton: “We've been booking buses and hotels. It's been putting a lot of pressure on us to get everything done and organized. But yeah, it's been crazy."

More from Mongilia, talking about how his players have to deal with midterm exams this week: “A lot of our guys are going to have to take exams proctored by a professor who is going to have to travel with us. They are going to have to take them in a conference room up at the hotel in Buffalo. The storm has definitely put a few bumps in our travel plans."

Princeton is an Ivy League school, and midterm exams are no joke. There’s a huge difference mentally between cramming and taking the tests before leaving town for the tourney versus bringing all their study materials with them and dealing with intense, high pressure exams in a hotel conference room in between practice time in the 48 hours leading up to tip-off. The fact that this is an early start game only exacerbates the problem for the Tigers. Plan and simple, I’m not expecting Princeton’s ‘A’ game here!

The broader betting markets pay no attention to intangible factors like this one – it’s all about the algorithms that generate pointspreads. Hence the early $$ for Princeton, driving this line down to -6.5 as I write this, with the potential for this line to get driven down even further. That puts Notre Dame into the ‘bargain’ price range, worthy of a wager here. Take the Fighting Irish.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASA
Mar 16 '17, 12:15 PM
NCAA-B | Princeton vs Notre Dame
Play on: Notre Dame -6½ -110 at BMaker

ASA is on a SIZZLING RUN heading into the Big Dance! They have CASHED on 9 of their last 12 CBB Top Plays (75%) and 14 of their last 19 premium picks overall! Don't miss their NIT & NCAA picks for Wednesday Night and Thursday!

ASA PLAY ON Notre Dame -6.5 over Princeton, Thursday at 12:15 PM ET

Despite playing in the ACC Championship game, the Irish actually have the advantage of an extra day off here. That’s because they played that game on Saturday while Princeton played in the Ivy League Championship game on Sunday. The Tigers have won 19 straight games but the fact is they’ve only played one top 100 team during that entire stretch and that ended in just a 2 point win vs Bucknell and that was way back on Dec 22. Bucknell is one of just two NCAA tourney teams that Princeton faced this year. The other was VCU who beat the Tigers by 11. Speaking of top 100 teams, Princeton played only 5 of those this year and Bucknell was their only win. Compare that to Notre Dame who was playing top 10 & 20 teams on a regular basis. The Irish played 23 top 100 teams this year. They played 3 top 20 teams in the ACC tourney alone beating UVA, FSU, before blowing a lead and losing to Duke. They are a great shooting team that makes FT’s (#1 in the country at 80%), and almost never turns the ball over (#1 in lowest turnover %). Princeton is a very slow paced team and we felt if they matched up against a team they could slow down and frustrate, they might be able to hang. Not here. Notre Dame is fine playing fast or slow. This is a bad match up for Princeton. The number is quite low as ND is the much better team. We’ll lay it.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc's Sports
Mar 16 '17, 2:00 PM
NCAA-B | South Dakota State vs Gonzaga
Play on: Gonzaga -22 -110 at betonline

Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports. #738 Take Gonzaga over South Dakota State (Thursday 2 pm TBS) This is not as strong of Jackrabbit team as in past tournament teams and thus the Bulldogs will make short work of them on Thursday. Not many people are giving Gonzaga a chance to reach the Final Four but I am one who feels they can go all the way. They are not a finesse by any means with strength in the post and great guard play. They have lost just one game this season and beat the No. 2 seed handily during nonconference play. SDSU was extremely lucky to win their last two games of the Summit Conference Tournament and they are just happy to be here. Gonzaga has not only been winning games this year they have been covering the spread as well going 35-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 51 games overall. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports March Madness packages giving you action all the way through the Final Four in Glendale, AZ.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 16

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VIRGINIA TECH (22 - 10) vs. WISCONSIN (25 - 9) - 3/16/2017, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
VIRGINIA TECH is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PRINCETON (23 - 6) vs. NOTRE DAME (25 - 9) - 3/16/2017, 12:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PRINCETON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUCKNELL (26 - 8) vs. W VIRGINIA (26 - 8) - 3/16/2017, 2:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
BUCKNELL is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
BUCKNELL is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
W VIRGINIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UNC-WILMINGTON (29 - 5) vs. VIRGINIA (22 - 10) - 3/16/2017, 12:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 42-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 163-126 ATS (+24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 100-68 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E TENN ST (27 - 7) vs. FLORIDA (24 - 8) - 3/16/2017, 3:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
FLORIDA is 124-93 ATS (+21.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 73-47 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLA GULF COAST (26 - 7) vs. FLORIDA ST (25 - 8) - 3/16/2017, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA GULF COAST is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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XAVIER (21 - 13) vs. MARYLAND (24 - 8) - 3/16/2017, 6:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
XAVIER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
XAVIER is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
XAVIER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
XAVIER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
XAVIER is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
XAVIER is 223-176 ATS (+29.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEVADA (28 - 6) vs. IOWA ST (23 - 10) - 3/16/2017, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IOWA ST is 153-117 ATS (+24.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NEVADA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
NEVADA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEVADA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEVADA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEVADA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VERMONT (29 - 5) vs. PURDUE (25 - 7) - 3/16/2017, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
PURDUE is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against VERMONT over the last 3 seasons

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MIDDLE TENN ST (30 - 4) vs. MINNESOTA (24 - 9) - 3/16/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 87-116 ATS (-40.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WINTHROP (26 - 6) vs. BUTLER (23 - 8) - 3/16/2017, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 70-34 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
BUTLER is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
BUTLER is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
BUTLER is 70-34 ATS (+32.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
BUTLER is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
BUTLER is 74-42 ATS (+27.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
BUTLER is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
BUTLER is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
BUTLER is 210-163 ATS (+30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S DAKOTA ST (18 - 16) vs. GONZAGA (32 - 1) - 3/16/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S DAKOTA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
GONZAGA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
GONZAGA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
GONZAGA is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
GONZAGA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GONZAGA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
GONZAGA is 34-12 ATS (+20.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
S DAKOTA ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VANDERBILT (19 - 15) vs. NORTHWESTERN (23 - 11) - 3/16/2017, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANDERBILT is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
VANDERBILT is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
VANDERBILT is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
VANDERBILT is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANDERBILT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N DAKOTA (22 - 9) vs. ARIZONA (30 - 4) - 3/16/2017, 9:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
ARIZONA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.
N DAKOTA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
N DAKOTA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
N DAKOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
N DAKOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
N DAKOTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
ARIZONA is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VA COMMONWEALTH (26 - 8) vs. ST MARYS-CA (28 - 4) - 3/16/2017, 7:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST PETERS (19 - 13) at ALBANY (21 - 13) - 3/16/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FURMAN (21 - 11) at USC UPSTATE (17 - 15) - 3/16/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UNC-ASHEVILLE (23 - 9) at TENN-MARTIN (21 - 12) - 3/16/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LAMAR (19 - 14) at TEXAS ST (20 - 13) - 3/16/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-0 straight up against LAMAR over the last 3 seasons

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WEBER ST (18 - 13) at CS-FULLERTON (17 - 14) - 3/16/2017, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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STONY BROOK (18 - 13) at IL-CHICAGO (15 - 18) - 3/16/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 119-88 ATS (+22.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB

Trend Report

Thursday, March 16

12:15 PM
PRINCETON vs. NOTRE DAME
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame's last 7 games
Notre Dame is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

12:40 PM
UNC WILMINGTON vs. VIRGINIA
No trends available
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia's last 8 games

1:30 PM
WINTHROP vs. BUTLER
No trends available
Butler is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 6 games

2:00 PM
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. GONZAGA
No trends available
Gonzaga is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
Gonzaga is 19-5-1 ATS in its last 25 games

2:45 PM
BUCKNELL vs. WEST VIRGINIA
No trends available
West Virginia is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
West Virginia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

3:10 PM
EAST TENNESSEE STATE vs. FLORIDA
No trends available
Florida is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games

TBA
LAMAR vs. TEXAS STATE
No trends available
Texas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Lamar
Texas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

4:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. MINNESOTA
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

4:30 PM
VANDERBILT vs. NORTHWESTERN
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games

6:50 PM
XAVIER vs. MARYLAND
No trends available
Maryland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Maryland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

7:00 PM
SAINT PETER'S vs. ALBANY
Saint Peter's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
FURMAN vs. USC UPSTATE
Furman is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Furman's last 6 games on the road
No trends available

7:20 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. ST. MARY'S
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary's last 6 games
St. Mary's is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

7:27 PM
VERMONT vs. PURDUE
No trends available
Purdue is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Purdue is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

8:00 PM
STONY BROOK vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois-Chicago's last 6 games
Illinois-Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
UNC ASHEVILLE vs. TENNESSEE-MARTIN
No trends available
Tennessee-Martin is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Tennessee-Martin is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

9:20 PM
FLORIDA GULF COAST vs. FLORIDA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

9:40 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. WISCONSIN
No trends available
Wisconsin is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Wisconsin is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

9:50 PM
NORTH DAKOTA vs. ARIZONA
No trends available
Arizona is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games

9:57 PM
NEVADA vs. IOWA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games
Iowa State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

10:00 PM
WEBER STATE vs. CS FULLERTON
Weber State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State's last 5 games on the road
CS Fullerton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
CS Fullerton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB

Thursday’s NCAA games

Day games
Notre Dame lost in regional finals the last two years; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine first round games, winning last two years by 4-7 points. Princeton won its last 19 games; their last loss was 96-90 to Monmouth Dec 19. Tigers are 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 9-11-11-6 points and a 72-70 win at Bucknell- they’re in NCAA’s for first time since 2011, when they lost 59-57 (+13) as a 13-seed vs Kentucky; Ivy League teams are 5-2 vs spread in first round last seven years (4-3 SU). Princeton played Sunday, now has early game Thursday; not best scenario.

Virginia went 9-7 down stretch after starting season 16-3; they won four of last five games, with all four wins by 10+ points. Cavaliers play slowest-tempo games in country, are #16 team in country at protecting ball. NC-Wilmington won its last seven games; they’re 11-2 outside CAA, with one of losses by 14 at Clemson of ACC. Seahawks are #57 experience team, starting three seniors, two sophomores; they force turnovers 20.4% of time. Virginia won their last three first round games, by 11-12-36 points. Since ’09, CAA teams are 8-2 vs spread in first round games. Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 vs spread in 5-12 first round games.

Winthrop is in NCAA’s for first time since 2010; they’re #31 experience team, starting three seniors and a junior. Eagles lost by 14 at Florida St, 16 at Dayton- they won at Illinois in their games vs “bigtime” teams. Winthrop makes 38% of its 3-pointers, accounting for 36.7% of their points. Butler lost its last two games, split their last ten games; they’re 5-1 vs teams outside top 100, with three wins by 16+ points. Bulldogs won first round games the last two years, by 8-10 points. Since ’08, Big South teams are 2-5 vs spread in first round games.

Gonzaga hammered South Dakota 102-65 Dec 21; Coyotes finished four games ahead of rival South Dakota State in Summit standings- does that make Zags overconfident here? Over last seven years, Gonzaga is 5-2 vs spread in first round games; last time they were a 1-seed (’13) they won their first round game 64-58. Jackrabbits lost first six D-I games this season; they lost by 29 at Cal, 12 to East Tennessee St, 28 at Northern Iowa, 22 to Wichita State in non-league games vs good teams. Since ’03, Summit League teams are 4-8-2 vs spread in first round, 4-4 last eight years.

Bucknell won 18 of its last 21 games, winning last six; they lost by 20 at Wake Forest, by 26 at Butler, but also won at Vanderbilt. Patriot League teams are 0-4 vs spread in this round the last four years, losing by 12-40-41-39 points; Bucknell is in tourney for first time since 68-56 (+3) loss to Butler four years ago. West Virginia lost in first round LY to SF Austin; Mountaineers force turnovers 28.1% of time, #1 in country- they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight first round games. Last three years, underdogs are 7-5 vs spread in 4-13 first round games.

Florida lost three of last four games, all to Vandy/Kentucky; Gators are 19-0 this season vs teams ranked outside top 50- this is coach White’s first NCAA tourney in his sixth year as a head coach. East Tennessee State won 13 of its last 15 games; they’re #7 experience team in country, starting a junior, four seniors. Buccaneers played two SEC teams this year, losing to Tennessee by 4 at home, winning by 2 at Miss State- ETSU coach Forbes was an assistant at Tennessee for six years. Last three years, dogs are 7-5 vs spread in 4-13 first round games.

5-seed Minnesota is a 1-point favorite over 12-seed Middle Tennessee? Gophers are in NCAA tourney for first time since ’13; they’ve won nine of last 11 games, but lost senior G Springs over weekend- they played only six guys in last game (three played 39:00+). Blue Raiders beat Michigan St in first round LY; they’re 20-1 in last 21 games, 5-1 vs top 100 teams, with wins over UNCW, Ole Miss, Vandy, Belmont. Last three years, Big 14 teams are 8-14 vs spread (12-8 SU) in first round games. Last six years, C-USA teams are 4-2 vs spread in this round.

Northwestern is in NCAA’s for first time, despite going 5-7 in its last 12 games; Wildcats are 4-6 vs top 40 teams this season, with best win at Wisconsin- they start two juniors, two seniors, are healthier now with Lindsey (mono) back in lineup. Vanderbilt won seven of its last nine games; they were only 6-6 in pre-conference games, going 0-5 vs top 50 teams- they’re 6-9 overall vs top 50 teams this season. Drew was in NCAA’s twice as Valpo’s coach, losing first round games by 3-11 points. Commodores are 1-5 in last six NCAA tournament games.

Night games
Maryland is #317 experience team, playing three frosh around star PG Trimble; Terps are 4-6 in their last ten games after a 20-2 start when they won eight games by 6 or less points- they beat Georgetown by point in only game vs Big East foe. Xavier lost seven of last ten games; two of three wins were over doormat DePaul; Musketeers are 6-7 since Somner got hurt, but Bluiett is back, playing 38:00+ in seven games since he returned. Xavier played three starters 38:00+ in last game, a 4th kid 34:00- they’re 9-3 in last 12 first round games. Underdogs are 5-3 SU in 6-11 games the last two years.

VCU split its last six games after a 23-5 start; Rams are 4-2 in last six first round games- they’re #40 experience team, forcing turnovers 21% of time (#36)- they start four seniors. St Mary’s is in NCAA’s for first time since ’13; 2-3 vs top 60 teams, with three losses to Gonzaga, wins over Dayton, Nevada back in November (VCU split pair with Dayton). Gaels are #84 experience team, playing 2nd-slowest tempo in country; they start three juniors, two seniors- they’ve got #4 eFG% in country. Last six years, underdogs are 14-9-1 vs spread in 7-10 games.

Purdue lost in first round LY as a 5-seed; their last tourney win was in ’12. Boilers won eight of last ten games with both losses to Michigan- they’re #23 experience team- no seniors start. Vermont won its last 21 games, is in its first NCAA since 2012; Catamounts lost to Providence by 22, Butler by 12, So Carolina by 18; their best win was over #111 Harvard. Vermont is #93 experience team, but start only one senior. America East teams are 6-6 vs spread in last 12 tourney games, but Albany was 5-1, rest of league is 1-5 vs spread. Last three years, underdog is 7-5 vs spread in 4-13 games— since ’13, single digit underdogs are 5-4 in 4-13 games.

Florida State is in NCAA’s for first time since 2012; they split last four first round games (1-3 vs spread). Seminoles split their last eight games- they’re #306 experience team, starting frosh and two sophs- their bench plays #23 minutes in country. FSU is 11-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with ten wins by 14+ points- the only loss was to Temple. Florida Gulf Coast won 19 of last 21 games; they’re 0-3 vs top 50 teams, losing by 21 to Florida, 1 at Michigan St, 9 at Baylor- they lost by 16 to UNC in this round LY. Last four years, double digit favorites are 4-3 vs spread in 4-13 games.

Virginia Tech is in NCAA’s for first time since ’07; Hokies are 2-0 vs Big 14 teams, winning by 3 at Michigan, by 13 over Nebraska on neutral floor. Tech starts two juniors, two seniors; they’re #103 experience team- they make 40.3% of their 3’s (#9 in country). Wisconsin beat Syracuse by 17, lost by 15 to UNC; Badgers are 4-6 in last 10 games (3-1 in last four)- they start four seniors, but are #306 at defending arc (37.7%). Last three years, favorites are 6-4 vs spread in 8-9 games; last five years, favorites of 4+ points are 6-2 vs spread in 8-9 games.

Arizona won five of its last six first round games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight first round games, 4-6 in last 10 first round games when laying double digits. When Wildcats won Pac-12 tourney two years ago, they won first round game by 21. Arizona is #323 experience team, with two frosh and a soph starting. North Dakota is here for first time; Hawks went 2-5 vs D-I teams in pre-conference. UND plays #34 tempo in country. Big Sky teams lost last ten NCAA 1st round games (2-8 vs spread); last SU winner was Montana in ’06.

Since ’08, Mountain West teams other than San Diego State are 5-22 vs spread in NCAA tournament, 4-16 in the first round. Nevada is in NCAA’s for first time since ’07; they’ve got a former NBA coach, start three sophs- their bench plays 2nd-least minutes in country. Since ’94, underdogs in 5-12 game in this region are 18-5 vs spread, 15-8 SU. Over last four years, dogs are 11-5 vs spread in 5-12 games. Iowa State is #6 experience team in country, starting four seniors; they’re 4-1 in last five first round games, with all four wins by 13+ points.

 

[superbeets]

Europa League TODAY 20:05

Man Utd

v

R. Rostov

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT2		2/9	11/2	18	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT MAN UTD	RECENT FORM
AWAWNWHDADAL​ Most recent​	Unknown	ADHWADAWHDHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Manchester United are unbeaten in 22 home games

EXPERT VERDICT: Manchester United were hampered by Rostov’s poor surface in last week’s 1-1 draw but should put on a much-improved display back at Old Trafford. The Red Devils still managed to grab a valuable away goal in the first leg and should romp to victory at their Manchester fortress with Zlatan Ibrahimovic returning from a domestic ban.

RECOMMENDATION: Man Utd-Man Utd double result
3


REFEREE: Gediminas Mazeika STADIUM:

 

[Dialer]

Prediction Machine Teams and Over/Unders?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Martin
Mar 16 '17, 7:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Jazz vs Cavs
Play on: Cavs -7 -105 at 5Dimes

1 Unit Bonus Play on Cleveland Cavaliers -7

I like the spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers, who are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall and coming off a 128-96 blowout over Detroit on Tuesday. The Cavs will be out for revenge from a 92-100 road loss at Utah earlier this year, but they never win in Salt Lake City. They are 27-7 at home this season and rarely will you find them as this small of a favorite at home. Utah will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and its 3rd game in 4 days after a trip to Detroit last night. And the Jazz could be short-handed with Derrick Favors out, Rodney Hood doubtful and Shelvin Mack questionable. Utah is 1-8 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Cleveland is 9-1 ATS in home games off a win over a division rival over the last two years.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lee
Mar 16 '17, 4:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Vanderbilt vs Northwestern
Play on: Northwestern +2½ -105 at 5Dimes

10* Free NCAAB Pick (Northwestern +2.5)

Northwestern is worth a look here as a dog against the Commodores. This is the first time Northwestern has been in the NCAA Tournament and most just assume they aren't going to be able to handle the spotlight. I know this team struggled a bit down the stretch, but injures played a big part in that. They got back on track in their final few games and let's not forget this is a team that had non-conference wins over Wake Forest and Dayton, plus had a 2-point loss in a true road game at Butler and a 4-point loss on a neutral court against Notre Dame. On the flip side of this, Vanderbilt lost by 10 to Butler on a neutral court and at Dayton. They also had a 14 point loss to Marquette. I'm just not buying the SEC outside of Kentucky. Give me Northwestern +2.5!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer
Mar 16 '17, 1:30 PM in 13m
NCAA-B | Winthrop vs Butler
Play on: Winthrop +11½ -110 at BMaker

I'm grabbing the points with Winthrop on Thursday. Winthrop is all about hard-nosed defensive play and they're one of the best in college basketball in possessions per game on average. One preview mentioned the only team Butler played this season with possession numbers like Winthrop was Creighton and the Bulldogs lost both of those games. Winthrop is 30th in the nation in FG percentage allowed and they're 20th defending the 3-pointer. Keon Johnson (22 ppg) should enjoy facing a Butler squad that ranks 207th in FG percentage defense. And if the Eagles take care of the ball, they could make this one very close. Butler is on a 2-6 ATS slide as chalk, while Winthrop is 8-1 ATS on a neutral court under HC Pat Kelsey. We'll take the points with Winthrop, our Shocker on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ray Monohan
Mar 16 '17, 9:40 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | Virginia Tech vs Wisconsin
Play on: Virginia Tech +5½ -110 at 5Dimes

Virginia Tech +5.5

The Hokies catch 5.5 points here on Thursday and have some value at this number. Wisconsin really hasn't found much consistency this season. They aren't overwhelming on offense which is a strong edge here for Virginia Tech.

The Hokies put in nearly 80 points per game, while the Badgers are nearly 10 points less than that. This isn't an ideal matchup for the Badgers, as they have to be very careful not to let the Hokies run on them.

Some trends to note. Hokies are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hokies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.

Grab the points here. This is too many in this given situation. Back Virginia Tech ATS.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns
Mar 16 '17, 7:20 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | VCU vs St. Mary's
Play on: St. Mary's -4½ -110 at GTBets

Wednesday's PERFECT card brought Ben Burns to a SWEET 6-1 on the week. Going back a couple weeks finds Ben at a SENSATIONAL 61-36, good for more than $16K in profits. "Top rated" plays are on a SICK 38-19 RUN. Top CBB plays are 8-1 the L9. HUGE Thursday starts BRIGHT AND EARLY with Burns' latest BREAKFAST CLUB. You in?

The Gaels were an impressive 28-1 this season against teams not named Gonzaga. They were 25-1 SU in games in which they were favored, covering at a 15-8-3 ATS clip. In fact, while they did have a couple of games land right on the number, its been more than a month since they failed to cover, when laying points. Going back further finds the Gaels at a lucrative 45-25 ATS the past few seasons, when laying points.

While the Gaels thrived as favorites, the Rams were 0-4 SU/ATS this season, when getting points.

While the Rams want to push the pace, the Gaels, who allow a mere 56.5 ppg, do an excellent job at controlling and slowing down the tempo. Speaking of "tempo," as of this writing, most shops have an O/U line of 130. Thats noteworthy as the Rams are a money-burning 1-10-1 ATS the last 12 times that they played a game with an O/U line in the -130 to -139.5 range. Consider St. Mary's.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brad Diamond
Mar 16 '17, 7:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Furman vs South Carolina Upstate
Play on: South Carolina Upstate +4½ -110 at 5Dimes

Brad Diamond Sports is a PERFECT 7-0 ATS in CBB March Madness

South Carolina Upstate Spartans+ (752) over Furman

Here we have two units in the CIT coming off conference tourney losses, but the more challenged unit today will be the stronger contingent Furman (21-11). Granted Furman has the more talented unit averaging 74 points a game, with a splendid defense (66.0). However, they are on a 1-3 SU after losing to Samford 67-63 in the conference tourney. Furman had defeated Samford twice earlier in the campaign. This is a clear issue for the emotional level of the favorite who will expect to handle a unit from a softer conference. No doubt Furman the more solid floor unit but would suggest charting their first-half turnovers and time of possession, as SC (17-15) will try and run up and down the floor. Furman could frustrate the opposition by controlling the pace. Overall I don't trust Furman's mental stability knowing they could just play an average and win. I expect the line to move more to Furman as the day (7:31 AM Eastern) progresses, so if you're playing the underdog, BUY LATE! South Carolina is 5-2-2 ATS as an underdog. Good Luck.

SPECIAL NOTE:

Play this game late as we expect Furman money to be enhanced by their reputation.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dustin Hawkins
Mar 16 '17, 7:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Thunder vs Raptors
Play on: Raptors -2½ -105 at BMaker

Bonus Play on Raptors -2½ -105

The Thunder are only 2-12 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Coach Billy Donovan is only 2-12 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of Oklahoma City.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals Guru
Mar 16 '17, 7:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Thunder vs Raptors
Play on: UNDER 207 -103

Thunder vs Raptors under 207 -103

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Price
Mar 16 '17, 9:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Clippers vs Nuggets
Play on: Nuggets -4 -105 at 5Dimes

Dave's Thursday Bonus Play:

1* on Denver Nuggets -4

The Key: This is a very difficult situation for the Los Angeles Clippers. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here and their 3rd game in 4 days. Now they have to go into the altitude and face a surging Denver Nuggets squad that is playing tremendous basketball right now. The Nuggets are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, winning their last three games by 20 over Boston, by 13 at Sacramento and by 28 over the Lakers. Now they've had two days off having last played on Monday. The Clippers are expected to be without Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan due to rest tonight. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 when playing on 0 days rest. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Nuggets are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Take Denver.