Thursday, 05.24.07 - Picks by the Numbers - [123-85]

[Ramonskee]

Record:
123-85, +39.34 units

A couple of early total plays...

Pirates/Cardinals u8.5 (-115)
Mariners/Devil Rays u10.5 (-105)*

...* = this line will only improve and we may even be able to get a total of 11 before the first pitch. I'd wait on it until later on today and see if we can get a better price or total. If you see the money going on the under, place your bet.

Be back later this afternoon w/ the full card.

Let's get these wins!

 

[gmanea]

tell me where you get the pirates total at 8.5 ???
It is 7.5 everywhere except for some shops that have it at 8.0

 

[Ramonskee]

tell me where you get the pirates total at 8.5 ???
It is 7.5 everywhere except for some shops that have it at 8.0

Sportsbook had it at 8.5. I just checked and it's changed. Since no other book has or will have 8.5, I'll change my play to match the widely available totals and I'm using Sportsbooks' current total. Updated early plays...

Pirates/Cardinals u8 (-115)
Mariners/Devil Rays u10.5 (-105)

 

[Ramonskee]

Here is what will most likely be the final card for Thursday w/ the updated price on the Tampa/Seattle game...

Marlins ML (-115) *HEAVY PLAY*
Indians ML (-125) *SEMI-HEAVY PLAY*
Pirates/Cardinals u8 (-115)
Mariners/Devil Rays u10.5 (+100)
Astros/D'Bax o9 (-115)

...the only other game I'm currently considering is the Cubs ML as a "it ain't so easy to sweep a team" play. That's the main reason I have the Indians as a semi-heavy play for tonight, they're too good of a team to get swept, especially by the Royals. We are due for a very, very good day. I'm talking about at least 4-1 and hopefully the only loss is a 1 unit play. (Heavy Play = 3 units, Semi-Heavy = 2)

Let's get these wins!

 

[silver7]

Like The Marlins

Also even tho TB/Sea. not the best hitting AL tms, actually TB not that bad. About equal in R, HR, & avg., w/Mn & Tor. These 2 pitchers are god awful combined ERA of almost 14. If I can get 10- I`m on the over. BOL to you on all your plays. Good season so far. A KC sweep does seem unlikely but IMO they do have the pitching edge tonite.

 

[Gravy]

Ramonskee,Carefull on your Indians play tonight as Sowers has stuggled big time in his last couple of starts and the Royals always seem to play them tough.Best of Luck on your picks.Gravy

 

[Feri]

BOL Ram! :toast:

 

[finite]

Just curious what the difference has been this season in winning percentage between heavy, semi heavy and standard? GL

 

[KingofCapping]

GL Ramonskee

 

[HITMAN87]

Ramonskee what's your thought about phillies/marlins game?

 

[Ramonskee]

Just curious what the difference has been this season in winning percentage between heavy, semi heavy and standard? GL

I've been meaning to do this for a while and today you inspired me to lol, here is the breakdown...

Standard (1 unit) Plays: 107-71
Semi-Heavy (2 units) Plays: 9-6
Heavy (3 units) Plays: 7-6
1/2 Unit Plays: 0-2

...I didn't have time to count units and my dumbass forgot to separate my RL bets from the ML bets.

 

[Ramonskee]

Ramonskee what's your thought about phillies/marlins game?

I'm expecting Lieber, who's been solid so far this season, to pitch pretty poor tonight. Throughout his career he's been bad at Pro Player Stadium (5-5, 5.86) and when he faces a very good pitcher like Dontrelle who's been very good vs. the Phillies (8-5, 3.78) and at Pro Player (31-24, 3.69), I doubt he'll be able to outduel him. The Marlins bats have been solid all season (3rd in runs scored in NL, 8th in majors) and it's been their pitching that has been bad.
Most of the numbers I have favor Dontrelle in this spot and the Marlins have to be happy after the first two games of the series. They win game 1 outright and last night, even though they lost in extras, their 4-run 9th that forced extras had to be uplifting and that game should have been labeled an "acceptable loss".

Should be a good one, but I'd rather it be a Marlins blowout of the Phils :thumbsup:

 

[Ramonskee]

Ramonskee,Carefull on your Indians play tonight as Sowers has stuggled big time in his last couple of starts and the Royals always seem to play them tough.Best of Luck on your picks.Gravy

Thanks for looking out man, you may very well be right. I've bet Sowers twice this season and he's came up a winner. I just can't imagine the Royals sweeping the Indians. No matter how bad Sowers pitches, I don't expect the Cleveland lineup to be quiet tonight especially not against De La Rosa (14.1 IP, 13 H, 12 ER, 5 HR, 7 BB, 10 K in career vs. Cle).

 

[Ramonskee]

Marlins ML (-115) *HEAVY PLAY* W
Indians ML (-125) *SEMI-HEAVY PLAY* W
Pirates/Cardinals u8 (-115) W
Mariners/Devil Rays u10.5 (+100) L
Astros/D'Bax o9 (-115) W

4-1, +6.00 units on the day
127-86, +45.34 units on the year

Great day. Screw the D-Rays and M's for messing up our perfect day, but a GREAT day nonetheless, as anticipated :thumbsup:

Be back in a bit w/ tomorrow's plays.

 

[Gravy]

Ramonskee,Congrats on your winning day on Thursday and glad you won your Indians bet.Sowers finally look half way decient last night but still not sold on him yet.Keep up the good work ! Gravy

 

[rza]

another excellent night. congrads

 

[edmac164]

Great job Buddy, always look for your posts!:money8:

 

[gabbana]

congrats buddy.

 

[sawastea]

Great job Buddy, always look for your posts!:money8:

^^^^^^^^



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