three tonight w/analysis

Search

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,203
Tokens

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-2.00 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">32</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">35</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">3</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+17.60 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since October 2008)


</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">91</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">115</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">3</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+3.88 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games include OT unless stated otherwise


Toronto +1.75 over CAROLINA (REG)
It’s not easy to make a case for the Leafs here but this is more about the take-back against the Canes then it is about playing on the Leafs. Carolina should never be favored by this much over anyone because they’re really not better then anyone including the Leafs. They do have a decent record and how they got it baffles me but make no mistake, this edition of the Canes is a fraction of the team they iced the past couple of years. Eric Staal is on pace for about a 60-point season and he has very little support. As bad as the Leafs are going, the Canes, too, are suffering from the same ailments. Carolina has been outscored 14-4 in dropping its last three games. Only three times over its past 24 games have they scored more then three goals in a game and they’re usually held to two or less. When a team is having trouble scoring, like the Canes have been all year, laying –1.90 with said team is just so risky and it’s bad strategy, period. If the Leafs can get some goaltending for a change, they really have a damn good chance of snapping out of its current funk, as these Canes are so beatable. Definite overlay. Play: Toronto +1.75 (Risking 2 units).
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
Nashville +1.84 over MONTREAL (REG)
The Habs have really been playing great hockey the past few games and even in their loss at Boston on Tuesday night they probably deserved a better fate. When this team gets healthy they’re going to be extremely dangerous and you can double that as soon as Carey Price gets back into action. However, they’re not healthy at all, as Tanguay, Koivu, Price and Higgins remain on the rack and that’s four key players that could crack any line-up in the business. Furthermore, the Habs have been playing so intense the past few games and it’s just not possible to keep that intensity level up that high for long stretches and this game looks like the one the Habs could take a breather in. You see, this game is sandwiched between the Bruins and Sens and Montreal has seen the Preds just twice in the past five years. In addition, the Predators are playing much better these days with three wins in four games and they’re an extremely frustrating team to play against because they give you nothing. The Preds may not win here but I’m suggesting that they’ll be the more intense of the two and this one just looks like a vulnerable spot for the hosts. Play: Nashville +1.84 (Risking 2 units).
<o:p></o:p>
DALLAS -½ +1.26 over Buffalo (REG)
The Sabres were 0-5 in the second game of back-to-backs before they recently beat the Islanders and Leafs in that situation. Thing is, this isn’t the Islanders or Leafs. The Sabres lost 4-1 in Chicago last night and now they’ll play the rested Stars, who have been off the past two days. Furthermore, the Sabres offense is in a funk recently with just four goals in its last three games. In its last game the Stars out-shot Detroit 48-30 and won 5-4 in OT. Dallas is becoming a factor and a very dangerous team indeed. They’ve picked up points in 11 of its last 15 games and are now just four points out of a playoff spot. This team is capable of going on a big run and that comeback win vs the Red Wings could trigger just that. Play: Dallas -½ +1.26 (Risking 2 units).
 

New member
Joined
Dec 27, 2004
Messages
2,220
Tokens
like those games as well. did you consider taking the big odds with the Flames tonight as well considering the Sharks have a big look ahead to Detroit on Saturday?? or just go by the rule of not betting against the Sharkies at home..lol.. goodluck
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,203
Tokens
I definitely looked at the Flames tonight. You're probably right Vancouver, especially after the 6-1 pasting in Detroit last time. Flames at +1.80 or 1.90 or whatever it is should always be a play.

I think I'll step into that one too.
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
Your first pair line up exactly with my own in-house reasoning when I capped out the card early this morning.

I'm not using TOR as I don't lack backing crappy teams on the road, almost regardless of price. That noted, Carolina is indeed very overpriced in what should be more fairly lined at about CAR -135

Best to us all for a profitable night
 

Member
Joined
Dec 9, 2005
Messages
1,219
Tokens
Hi Sherwood. I tried to send this in private so I didn't look like I was calling anybody out but you're profile is not set up for PM's.

Is your posted record here just hockey picks? If so, I think it's a little off. You went from 82-104 +1.42 on the 5th, lose -4.08 units on the 6th and then your record disappeared, you came back and won +0.18 units on the 13th after you took a week off but show 91-115 +3.88 units coming into the 15th. You should have been 85-110 -3.90, no? If I missed something I apologize.

Love your stuff and respect your detailed work. Good luck.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,802
Messages
13,573,285
Members
100,871
Latest member
Legend813
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com