Three Games Wk 12 Advice and Thoughts.

[Broncos625]

Three games stand out to me. I changed my betting to where I only play one game per week and make it a very large bet. Here are those three that stand out. I'd appreciate any thoughts about this. This is with just looking at the line and no capping or research yet.

Carolina +1 over Atl.
Denver +10 over Oak.
Miami -1 over NE.

 

[ZJP6050]

denver is not +10

carolina may be the safest one there IMO...but atlanta could turn it around. otherwise, denver may be a safe bet also since oakland can't score and denver can

 

[Broncos625]

hno: You're right, my bad.

Denver -10

 

[ZJP6050]

it all depends which denver team shows up. of course, they score a lot of points...but oakland can also put up around 20 points on that atrocious denver D. i like carolina...that's just me

 

[M.O.B.]

I don't like any of those three games, there are many more safer bets out there. Thats just my opinion.

 

[Broncos625]

I don't like any of those three games, there are many more safer bets out there. Thats just my opinion.

That's why I am asking about them. Which game(s) do you like?

 

[Sea-Urchin]

Take SD -3 over Colts.

 

[ZJP6050]

Take SD -3 over Colts.

i wouldn't do this one, that's for sure

 

[Sea-Urchin]

Dont you wonder why SD is favored in this game instead of the Colts? The way SD has been playing lately, they will be crushed by Manning, but yet SD is favored by 3. Yes, SD owns the Colts in SD, but that was yesteryear. The way SD is playing, even Alabama can beat the crap out of them.

 

[M.O.B.]

That's why I am asking about them. Which game(s) do you like?

As of right now, its still early in the week but i like Cinn + 10 as of now.
And I am the hottest undocumented capper on here. jk but I am on the hottest streak of my life right now.

 

[Ketch]

No clue why Mia is favored, Mia barely beat Sea and Oak last 2 games, 2 SHIT teams. Belichick has had 4 extra days to prepare for this game, and that usually is a large factor. Also Cassell is playing with confidence now. I like NE BIG!

 

[ZJP6050]

Dont you wonder why SD is favored in this game instead of the Colts? The way SD has been playing lately, they will be crushed by Manning, but yet SD is favored by 3. Yes, SD owns the Colts in SD, but that was yesteryear. The way SD is playing, even Alabama can beat the crap out of them.

why was tenn only favored by 3 over jax? why was arizona only favored by 3 over seattle? don't think too much into it...colts win the game straight up

 

[Aloha_4_Da_Winna]

yo

I'd stick with Atlanta, but thats just my opinion. BOL

 

[Ketch]

As of right now, its still early in the week but i like Cinn + 10 as of now.
And I am the hottest undocumented capper on here. jk but I am on the hottest streak of my life right now.

Double Digit Dogs are like 14-1 this year.

 

[A2Gator]

No clue why Mia is favored, Mia barely beat Sea and Oak last 2 games, 2 SHIT teams. Belichick has had 4 extra days to prepare for this game, and that usually is a large factor. Also Cassell is playing with confidence now. I like NE BIG!

Agreed. Having watched the last two games by both of these teams pretty attentively, I'm all over NE +2.

 

[McCrazy]

Personally if I had to pick one game right now, I'd take Wash -3.5 over Seattle. Washington has lost 2 straight games and are on the road, but they really need a win here and Seattle is the perfect team for them to use to get back on track. I can see them winning by at least a TD.

 

[YourAllAmerican]

Dont you wonder why SD is favored in this game instead of the Colts? The way SD has been playing lately, they will be crushed by Manning, but yet SD is favored by 3. Yes, SD owns the Colts in SD, but that was yesteryear. The way SD is playing, even Alabama can beat the crap out of them.

San Diego has been getting shaded lines all season because of the talent they have on the team. By all rights they should be much better than they are, but the fact is right now they're not a very good NFL team at all. Below the league average, I'd say. Some of that is because of players not performing at the level that's typical for them (Tomlinson), some because of players regressing in their performance (Rivers), some because of a coach that doesn't inspire, but mostly because they simply play like a bunch of individuals and not as a team.

If they lose to Indianapolis they'd probably be a very good fade for the rest of the season. In this particular game, though, I'm much more inclined to just watch and see what happens.

If you're in San Diego, a trip to Tijuana to bet the Colts might be worthwhile. The lines down there on the Chargers are usually inflated, so you might could find Indy +4 or +5.

 

[dngf]

Ketch is correct, year to date double digit underdogs are 13-2 ATS, with four outright wins. One double digit favorite that won was the Giants vs 49ers, and they covered by 2, I do not recall the other. Another interesting trend or angle, is favorites of 8 to 9.5 are 14-6 ATS this year, in part because that is how many points the 49ers, Rams, Bengals, Detroit, KC were/have been getting on those games.

I would be interested to know how this works out for you, a smaller number of units spread over several games or a large number of units on your best pick of the week.

Good luck.

 

[HonestRob]

Three games stand out to me. I changed my betting to where I only play one game per week and make it a very large bet. Here are those three that stand out. I'd appreciate any thoughts about this. This is with just looking at the line and no capping or research yet.

Carolina +1 over Atl.
Denver +10 over Oak.
Miami -1 over NE.

I don't particularly like any of those picks. Car/ATL is too close to call imo and I'm leaning toward ATL. The spread is too large in the Den/Oak game. I like Miami against NE but it's close. The two games I'm liking this week are:

NY Giants -3 over Arizona
NY Jets +6 over Tennessee

 

[DaKaty]

i'd stick with atlanta, but thats just my opinion. Bol

righto , .... Take atlanta !!!