Thoughts on this wager, Cavs to win series in 5 or 6 games..

[gynecologist]

Cavs in 5 games +205
Cavs in 6 games +405




Anyone considering doing something like this?

 

[RDTrains]

No.

 

[gynecologist]

why not?

 

[gynecologist]

Now what would be the right way to bet this to make the same amount either way?

Lets say $50 total risk..

$31.17 @ +205 ($63.92) $95.09
$18.83 @ +405 ($76.26) $95.09


Is this the right way to do this..

 

[dnkbro]

One thing to consider, gyno, is that the Magic are 2-1 against the Cavs this year. Each team has won at home (Magic won twice at home) and I've been told the Magic cause matchup problems for the Cavaliers. Still, LeBron has been beasting in the playoffs this year. Either way, if you put that kind of money on either closing by Game 5 or Game 6, you still profit.

I still don't get why Game 6 has a bigger payout than Game 5. Vegas expects the chances of Cavaliers winning in 5 is greater than in 6? Hmmm.

 

[yanni_gogolak]

Now what would be the right way to bet this to make the same amount either way?

Lets say $50 total risk..

$31.17 @ +205 ($63.92) $95.09
$18.83 @ +405 ($76.26) $95.09


Is this the right way to do this..

i did this for the DEN / DAL series, basically it came out like this

DEN in 5- 1 unit to win 3
DEN is 6- 1 unit to win 3.5

i bet the same amount on each b/c there is a lot of risk involved.

 

[TuArmedMan]

One thing to consider, gyno, is that the Magic are 2-1 against the Cavs this year. Each team has won at home (Magic won twice at home) and I've been told the Magic cause matchup problems for the Cavaliers. Still, LeBron has been beasting in the playoffs this year. Either way, if you put that kind of money on either closing by Game 5 or Game 6, you still profit.

I still don't get why Game 6 has a bigger payout than Game 5. Vegas expects the chances of Cavaliers winning in 5 is greater than in 6? Hmmm.

Probably because Game 6 would be at Orlando while Game 5 would be at home.

 

[gynecologist]

The way i have it is like betting them at -190 instead of -600. There is more risk involved no doubt but saving all that juice is worth it imo. . So if i wanted to risk 50 on this, this would be the way to do it, right?

 

[Snookslayer]

Orlando win 4-3 at +1600.




As a Magic fan I love those crazy odds. Let's go Magic!!!!

 

[HacheMan]

I like it & believe it will indeed end in 5 or 6.

Magic will get at least 1 and 2 at the most.....That's 5 or 6

And if Orlando pulls of the upset & wins the series, then we know who the REAL MVP is.....

 

[HacheMan]

Better value at 5Dimes

Cavs in 5 games +223
Cavs in 6 games +480

 

[HonestRob]

And if Orlando pulls of the upset & wins the series, then we know who the REAL MVP is.....

D Wade?

 

[gynecologist]

Better value at 5Dimes

Cavs in 5 games +223
Cavs in 6 games +480

I figured another book would have better odds, The Greek is a solid book but they hardly ever offer the best odds..

THANKs

 

[gynecologist]

$32.12 @ +223 ($71.63) $103.75
$17.89 @ +480 ($85.87) $103.76

 

[Betfair.com]

Nick Shiambouros' opinion

Hey guys,

Just to let you know, Nick Shiambouros over at Betfair reckons this series could go to seven games but Cleveland will advance to the finals.

The current NBA odds, which put Magic at 6.2 to win the Eastern Conference with the Cavs trading at 1.17, can be found over at the Betfair NBA market, so take a look.

Do you think this represents good value?

 

[handspanked]

Mvp

I like it & believe it will indeed end in 5 or 6.

Magic will get at least 1 and 2 at the most.....That's 5 or 6

And if Orlando pulls of the upset & wins the series, then we know who the REAL MVP is.....

if u really think Dwight Howard is a legit MVP canidate ur crazy. he cant touch the ball in a tight game because he cant shoot a FT. the only shots he makes are dunks. hes not a team leader. The magic win when they hit the outside shot, which has nothing to do with Howard. he is a great rebounder and defender but not an MVP

 

[gynecologist]

Lebron is no doubt the best player in basketball