Thoughts on Separation Saturday

[WCBias]

I love big weekends like last Saturday. However, I would have liked to see the Miami/FSU and Wisconsin/Ohio State games played under better field conditions.

I also love seeing overrated teams lose (Nebraska, Ohio State) and look forward to other overrated teams losing this week (Wisconsin).

Three undefeated BCS teams left, and I wouldn't be suprised at all to see Miami be the next one to drop, because Virginia Tech is going to be tough to beat at home.

Oklahoma is unreal, and quite frankly, the way this system is set up, it would be a tragedy if Oklahoma loses at the end of the season or in the Big 12 Championship game and gets slotted in the middle of all the one-loss teams.

This system is a joke. In the latest AP poll there are three teams ranked ahead of the team they lost to, even though they have the same record (Georgia, Ohio State, Nebraska). And if Georgia or Ohio State win out, and Oklahoma loses at the end of the season, it is probable Oklahoma will drop behind these teams.

For those who care, here are my projections for the BCS Bowls:

Sugar: Oklahoma and Virginia Tech
Orange: Florida State and Georgia
Fiesta: Miami and USC
and last but not least:
Rose: Washington State and Purdue

Yep, I think Purdue wins the Big 11 and Washington State, who gets USC at home, wins the Pac 10. So why USC for the last "at large" BCS? Because that last "at large" slot will be filled by a team with 2 losses, which there will likely be bunches. USC being a west-coast team, and having arguably the 2nd most storied college football program, will be an easy selection for the Fiesta Bowl.

As for selections this weekend, I'm riding this Michigan State train until it derails. Give me the points, baby. I also like Florida State to rebound and manhandle Virginia, and Texas to do the same to Iowa State.

Good Luck all, see you later this week with my Pac-10 Play of the Week.

 

[SpreadDestroyerr]

WOW WC!!

Your BCS Matchups look to be right on!

 

[winkyduck]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by WC Bias:
...and Washington State, who gets USC at home, wins the Pac 10<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

according to EVERYTHING i have seen - the wsu/usc game will be played in L.A. not pullman.

http://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaf/teams/uub

i hope this changes your mind. usc will win this game and it is not out of the realm of possibility usc does end up in "n'ahhhlahhns" at season's end.

 

[WCBias]

Winkyduck,

You are correct, USC does play at home vs. WSU...Oregon State plays at WSU. I'm going to stay with my earlier prediction and go with USC losing one more conference game, either to WSU, OSU, or UCLA. They don't win the Pac 10 but still get a BCS bid!!! That loss to Cal really hurt. Even if USC does win out, I don't think they will make it to #2 slot unless they start dominating teams like they did last year. The east coast and mid-west bias against the Pac 10 should keep Miami, Virginia Tech, Florida State, Georgia or Oklahoma ahead of USC if they all have one loss. The best thing that can happen to USC right now is that Auburn wins out and WSU and OSU wins out (except against USC), which will give them bonus points in the BCS calculation.

I wouldn't be suprised at all to see Oregon State make it to the Rose Bowl this year if they can get by either WSU or USC.

 

[silver7]

Excellent analysis per usual. Agree on all pts w/this caveat, Purdue has 3 very tuff rd gms ahead @ Wisc Mich b2b, and also @ OSU. I`m a big SC fan and glad to see them crack the top 5 nationally. And yes it IS possible to see them in a BCS bowl. As I`ve stated I see Mn in deep sh*t this wk. I`d switch your pics Miami in Orange, FSU Fiesta. Are we having fun yet? Hard to believe it`s half over. How about 2 other overrated tms, LSU & Pitt? Best of luck to you.

 

[silver7]

One more thought, aren`t the Washington Huskies the biggest bunch of pussies in that Conf.? I liked Nv +17, but SU?

 

[jimmymo]

One more thought, aren`t the Washington Huskies the biggest bunch of pussies in that Conf.?

I am from Seattle and the answer is YES...lots of finger pointing going on..Oregon St. rolls, but to avoid the chance at a backdoor -- unload on the Beavers in the first half.

 

[jwunderdog]

It amazes me how every week these TV'guys come up with how great teams are based on 1 or 2 games they have seen to date.Last week it was how FSU was going to be In the NC game. Did they forget Chris Rix has never won a big game. Now it is Okla, they are unstoppable according to these TV guys. Okla beat a team that got beat by Ark. by 2 TD.Let them play a full season and if they win the NC then I will give them credit. Let me see OKla play a good defense and offense to prove it. They havn't faced one yet.

 

[WCBias]

JW,

I sort of agree with you on Oklahoma, because I believe the Big 12 is the softest, most overrated, overhyped conference in football. Every year this conference has at least three teams in the Top 10 to start the year, sometimes four. Forget it. A team like Nebraska shouldn't even be in the top 20! They would lose a couple in the Mountain West!

However, Oklahoma is a very solid football team. The same thing was said three years ago when they won the national championship. No one gave them a prayer to beat Florida State. They did pretty well this year against a good UCLA defense. They are going to have a pretty easy time of it the rest of the way out, their biggest test might be Ok. St., which has beat them twice in a row.

I think you could say the same thing about Virginia Tech. Who have they played? And doesn't it seem that all their games are at home? The big east is another soft conference.

I really feel that if there was a 16-team tournement, or even an eight team tournament, a team like Purdue, Washington State, or USC would have just as good a chance to win as Oklahoma or Miami. I mean, no team in the land would have beat USC last year at the end of the season. Three years ago, no team would have beat Oregon State...you think anyone would even give Oregon State a sniff with one loss if Miami or Florida State or Nebraska also has one loss? No way, and that is why the national championship is a JOKE!

 

[jwunderdog]

We pretty much agree WC, I am a pretty big Hokie fan but I don't think they have proven anything either. I think Okla. should be #1 based on what I have seen so far, but this team has not faced a top 10 defense that has similar talent to them. I know, TExas has great talent like they say every year, I remember one year they were 1 or 2 in the nation and got beat by 50 by a weak Stanford team.

Texas is by far the most overrated team every year I have ever seen.