OSU is looking like a public dog here but the line keeps rising. Scary if your on OSU. Who knows what is happening with this line. Many theories on why, but Boise State is not a 8point better team.
A few things are obvious here: OSU may be on a big hangover and lack motivation over a previously beat opponent. Is that enough to bet on Boise State who is 0-6 against pac 10 opponents. I dont think so.
Looking at Boise's game against Idaho and they gave up 3.7 yards per carry to an Idaho team that returned only 4 offensive starters. They will give up much larger numbers against the experienced, larger OSU line. In addition, OSU will dominate the defensive running game like they did last year only allowing 47 running yard, far to few to establish a good passing attack. OSU should easily out gain them like they did last year by 100 yards.
Onto the passing game. With 3 offensive starters returning for Boise State, I expect some deep penetration
from the OSU d-line and many turnovers created by the young Boise State offense as they had 3 against the lowly Idaho defense. With OSU averaging a 44% completion rate last year on defense they should give the BSU QB all he wants. However Boise's pass D is not too shabby only allowing 49% completion rate LY, but that just goes back to strength of opponents played and OSU takes the cake in that department. I see OSU out passing Boise by at least 100 yards and out rushing them by the same.
To summarize my thoughts:
OSU takes the edge on defense, strength of schedule (stronger stats), passing game, pass defense, run defense, run offense. In other words if OSU was completely focused on this game like they were at LSU they would put on a clinic, but we all know about the hangovers and short weeks. However I still think 8 points is too many against a better team and conference they cant win against.
OSU +8
A few things are obvious here: OSU may be on a big hangover and lack motivation over a previously beat opponent. Is that enough to bet on Boise State who is 0-6 against pac 10 opponents. I dont think so.
Looking at Boise's game against Idaho and they gave up 3.7 yards per carry to an Idaho team that returned only 4 offensive starters. They will give up much larger numbers against the experienced, larger OSU line. In addition, OSU will dominate the defensive running game like they did last year only allowing 47 running yard, far to few to establish a good passing attack. OSU should easily out gain them like they did last year by 100 yards.
Onto the passing game. With 3 offensive starters returning for Boise State, I expect some deep penetration
To summarize my thoughts:
OSU takes the edge on defense, strength of schedule (stronger stats), passing game, pass defense, run defense, run offense. In other words if OSU was completely focused on this game like they were at LSU they would put on a clinic, but we all know about the hangovers and short weeks. However I still think 8 points is too many against a better team and conference they cant win against.
OSU +8
