Thought on TNF: SEA (-5.5) @ SF

Search

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
3,595
Tokens
This is said every week, but SEA has to show up this week, right? They gave Cinci and Carolina games at least? I like SEA -5.5 for 2 units but am open to hearing counters.
 

DC.

New member
Joined
Oct 24, 2013
Messages
1,623
Tokens
No way seattle has any right to lay 5.5 on the road against a division rival...the line should be -1 or 2
 

Banned
Joined
Nov 11, 2004
Messages
10,791
Tokens
seattle is mos def reeling and the defense doesn't resemble last yrs for sure this is a tough one and i will be looking for the continued contributions from the loyal and intelligent sports gaming members of the RX Forum for advance on this one
 

New member
Joined
Jan 4, 2007
Messages
5,985
Tokens
line won't be at 5.5 long
that's too much value and i expect it to be bought down by thurs
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
19,007
Tokens
No way seattle has any right to lay 5.5 on the road against a division rival...the line should be -1 or 2


DC, I agree that Seattle shouldn't be laying 5.5-6 on the road in a divisional match-up......but if the line was Seattle -1, the whole world would be on Seattle.......this line opened -4 & quickly rose to -6......that's not public money.

Ravens opened -3 & closed -2 at 49ers.....we saw how that ended.

IMO, Seattle takes out their frustrations on the 49ers.......

Seattle's defense will keep Kap in check.


Seattle is 7-0-1 ATS past 8 vs 49ers.
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,721
Tokens
This game sets up almost exactly like Last night

Divisional Game
Two Teams under performing ( although SF is right where we though they would be)
Line opens greater than FG and the Fav gets bet up.

Look how that ended up.....

Seattle coaching staff more familiar with SF and Than SF coaching staff is with SF - lol

Don't over think that Niners win this week - They Had Baltimore on their 3rd western game sandwiched in between 3 divisional games - Who ever made Baltimore's schedule owes them next year -

Seattle's Problems are on defense new _coordinator and 3 straight 4th Q melt downs been out scored 37-3 L3 games - no bobby wagner last week either - The communication was off vs Carolina on that last play.

I think the players man up this week - This line tells me Seahawks win by 10+

GL guys
 

DC.

New member
Joined
Oct 24, 2013
Messages
1,623
Tokens
DC, I agree that Seattle shouldn't be laying 5.5-6 on the road in a divisional match-up......but if the line was Seattle -1, the whole world would be on Seattle.......this line opened -4 & quickly rose to -6......that's not public money.

Ravens opened -3 & closed -2 at 49ers.....we saw how that ended.

IMO, Seattle takes out their frustrations on the 49ers.......

Seattle's defense will keep Kap in check.


Seattle is 7-0-1 ATS past 8 vs 49ers.

I agree seattle will win but I don't see any kind of blowout happening...not in sf anyways
 

Balls Deep
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 26, 2012
Messages
1,492
Tokens
Wait for the media to bash SEA and public to line right up on SF. It's to many points! SEA on road short week. Divisional game! No way SEA covers. Look at their defense giving up games! SF is turning it around!!
Then watch SEA crush SF.
 

Professional Square
Joined
Oct 31, 2008
Messages
988
Tokens
Too many points. Sea. ain't quite as bad as the Niners yet, but they're getting there. Take away that cheat play with the guy knocking the ball outta the endzone and they're 1-5, and about past pulling spreads based on last year.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 7, 2014
Messages
2,009
Tokens
Wait for the media to bash SEA and public to line right up on SF. It's to many points! SEA on road short week. Divisional game! No way SEA covers. Look at their defense giving up games! SF is turning it around!!
Then watch SEA crush SF.

Spot on. I think this line comes down. It's -6 for me on book maker. Way too high with the way Seattle is playing + on the road + divisional game. On the flip side, 49ers are actually playing a lot better. With the current line, someone could definitely convince me to lay the points on the home team here.

I definitely don't see a blow out in this division game, but that's just my best guess. With that said anything can happen. My play here will be closer to kick-off.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 8, 2013
Messages
15
Tokens
Pete Carroll is a native San Franciscan, and there is no team that he enjoys beating more than the 49ers. Yes, the word is enjoys. The Hawks have the talent on D but are underperforming. The Niners D is a shell of the 2011-13 editions. IMO, Powerz has figured out the script for this game.
 

Banned
Joined
Sep 24, 2015
Messages
75
Tokens
I got it at -4.5. Reason I like Seattle all the way to -6 is BC their defense has got to be pissed off. All week long this team has heard all the noise proclaiming their demise, I really feel they will absolutely throttle the 49ers simple new offense.

I do worry about Seattle's offense, which has three converted defensive players on the o-line, and has allowed the most sacks in the NFL. This is a must win for Seattle, so I expect their best effort.

Take Seattle ML, put it in a teaser, or buy the half pt to get it down to -5.5.

Seattle 23 San Francisco 13
 

New member
Joined
Oct 29, 2014
Messages
840
Tokens
Check this trend:

Coming off of a loss and going on the road in a division game as a favorite Thursday night:

p:L and day = Thursday and DIV and AF
SU:5-5-0 (0.40, 50.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:2-7-1 (-4.05, 22.2%) avg line: -4.5+6: 5-5-0 (50.0%)-6: 1-9-0 (10.0%)+10: 7-2-1 (77.8%)-10: 1-9-0 (10.0%)
O/U:7-3-0 (4.15, 70.0%) avg total: 42.0+6: 4-6-0 (40.0%)-6: 9-1-0 (90.0%)+10: 3-6-1 (33.3%)-10: 9-1-0 (90.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team29.2132.933.820.5222.91.55.16.16.75.123.3
Opp28.3129.931.418.1176.91.03.97.03.18.922.9
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Oct 14, 1993Thursday71993RamsFalconsaway10-37-77-70-1324-30-2.041.5-6-8.012.52.210.2LLO0
Oct 15, 1998Thursday71998PackersLionsaway10-00-103-07-1720-27-6.043.5-7-13.03.5-4.88.2LLO0
Nov 22, 2001Thursday122001PackersLionsaway7-310-107-05-1429-27-6.046.02-4.010.03.07.0WLO0
Dec 10, 2009Thursday142009SteelersBrownsaway0-33-103-00-06-13-10.033.0-7-17.0-14.0-15.51.5LLU0
Dec 09, 2010Thursday142010ColtsTitansaway7-014-73-76-1430-28-3.045.52-1.012.55.86.8WLO0
Dec 22, 2011Thursday162011TexansColtsaway10-30-33-33-1016-19-6.040.0-3-9.0-5.0-7.02.0LLU0
Sep 26, 2013Thursday42013FortyninersRamsaway0-314-07-014-835-11-3.042.02421.04.012.5-8.5WWO0
Nov 14, 2013Thursday112013ColtsTitansaway0-146-317-07-1030-27-2.542.530.514.57.57.0WWO0
Dec 05, 2013Thursday142013TexansJaguarsaway0-77-1010-73-320-27-3.043.0-7-10.04.0-3.07.0LLO0
Oct 01, 2015viewThursday42015RavensSteelersaway7-30-107-76-023-20-3.043.530-0.5-0.2-0.2WPU1
Oct 22, 2015viewThursday72015SeahawksFortyninersaway-6.042.0
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,790
Messages
13,573,054
Members
100,866
Latest member
tt88myy
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com