1-1 ATS with this 2-0 Straight up, with the dominant teams winning. This is a feeback thread for all and I say that in particular on this one because I want to know info on DB's Vincent Agnew and Chaz West. They are both listed as questionable for Central Michigan and either or both miss this game, look out.
Anyone with Solid Info, please let me know.
Central Michigan- Lets stick with the DB situation. CMU lost a starter for the year before the season began, another in the Purdue game, and another in the Northern Illinois game. They are pathetic at stopping the Pass, dead last in NCAA.
The alarming thing about CMU's Defense is with a Total Defense of 104, Passing 118th, Rushing 54th........they have established this number playing only 4 Top 50 Offenses: Georgia, Buffalo, Western Michigan, and Ball St. Temple is the only team they kept under 23 points all year. CMU went 2-2 against these 4 teams, with the best output winning by 10.
Florida Atlantic is 42nd in Total Offense.
The Offense stats for Central Michigan alarm me as well. This is a team that last year scored 41 points or better in 6 games. This year they've done it once. And although their PPG is still strong at 30PPG, They have regressed in scoring, playing only 2 teams with Top 50 Defenses: Georgia, and Northern Illinois and 5 out of the Top 75, which adds Ball St (54th), Ohio (55th) and Purdue (64th), going 2-3 in those games, with the 2 wins by 3 points each.
CMU does not have the team they had last year. 5 of their 8 wins have been by 3 points or less. Luck has been on their side. Lafavour has battled high ankle sprains on the back end of the year. They have trouble with the line of scrimmage on Offense (99th in Sacks Allowed).
Florida Atlantic-how you decipher this team is next to impossible. Opened the season with high expectations and the pounding they took by Texas in the opener stayed with them thru the next 5 games. Rusty Smith looked pathetic, listless, and no where close to himself. He finally woke, although against terrible competition, and led FAU to winnng 5 of 6 down the stretch. 1st half of the season, Jeckyll.........last half.........Hyde.
FAU played 4 Top 50 Offenses: Texas, Troy, La-Lafayette, and Arkansas St. They went 1-3 in those games.
CMU is ranked 23 in Total Offense.
FAU played 5 of the Top 75 Defenses: Texas, Michigan St, Mid Tn St, FIU and Arkansas St. FAU went 1-4 in these games. The point here being that 4 of FAU's 6 losses were against teams that had Defense. Thus, FAU was 6-2 against teams that were not good at Defense like CMU, who is 104th in Total Defense.
Home field is the only thing that scares me here. The rest are questions. How are Lafavour's ankles? Will the DB's on CMU's injury list play? Other than that.....FAU is coming in winning 5 of 6, and Rusty Smith gained back his confidence. CMU lost their last 2 and shouldn't be be all that excited about playing a 6-6 team.
After reviewing, I just can't give up 7+ points and play a team who is terrible at defense, regressed from last year on Offense due to LOS play, and has an 8-4 record that could easily be 3-9, winning 5 games by 3 points or less. 10 of Central Michigan's 12 games win or lose were decided by 10 points or less. They played to the level of their competition all season long.
The play for this game is FAU plus the points.
Anyone with Solid Info, please let me know.
Central Michigan- Lets stick with the DB situation. CMU lost a starter for the year before the season began, another in the Purdue game, and another in the Northern Illinois game. They are pathetic at stopping the Pass, dead last in NCAA.
The alarming thing about CMU's Defense is with a Total Defense of 104, Passing 118th, Rushing 54th........they have established this number playing only 4 Top 50 Offenses: Georgia, Buffalo, Western Michigan, and Ball St. Temple is the only team they kept under 23 points all year. CMU went 2-2 against these 4 teams, with the best output winning by 10.
Florida Atlantic is 42nd in Total Offense.
The Offense stats for Central Michigan alarm me as well. This is a team that last year scored 41 points or better in 6 games. This year they've done it once. And although their PPG is still strong at 30PPG, They have regressed in scoring, playing only 2 teams with Top 50 Defenses: Georgia, and Northern Illinois and 5 out of the Top 75, which adds Ball St (54th), Ohio (55th) and Purdue (64th), going 2-3 in those games, with the 2 wins by 3 points each.
CMU does not have the team they had last year. 5 of their 8 wins have been by 3 points or less. Luck has been on their side. Lafavour has battled high ankle sprains on the back end of the year. They have trouble with the line of scrimmage on Offense (99th in Sacks Allowed).
Florida Atlantic-how you decipher this team is next to impossible. Opened the season with high expectations and the pounding they took by Texas in the opener stayed with them thru the next 5 games. Rusty Smith looked pathetic, listless, and no where close to himself. He finally woke, although against terrible competition, and led FAU to winnng 5 of 6 down the stretch. 1st half of the season, Jeckyll.........last half.........Hyde.
FAU played 4 Top 50 Offenses: Texas, Troy, La-Lafayette, and Arkansas St. They went 1-3 in those games.
CMU is ranked 23 in Total Offense.
FAU played 5 of the Top 75 Defenses: Texas, Michigan St, Mid Tn St, FIU and Arkansas St. FAU went 1-4 in these games. The point here being that 4 of FAU's 6 losses were against teams that had Defense. Thus, FAU was 6-2 against teams that were not good at Defense like CMU, who is 104th in Total Defense.
Home field is the only thing that scares me here. The rest are questions. How are Lafavour's ankles? Will the DB's on CMU's injury list play? Other than that.....FAU is coming in winning 5 of 6, and Rusty Smith gained back his confidence. CMU lost their last 2 and shouldn't be be all that excited about playing a 6-6 team.
After reviewing, I just can't give up 7+ points and play a team who is terrible at defense, regressed from last year on Offense due to LOS play, and has an 8-4 record that could easily be 3-9, winning 5 games by 3 points or less. 10 of Central Michigan's 12 games win or lose were decided by 10 points or less. They played to the level of their competition all season long.
The play for this game is FAU plus the points.
ffice
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