Theresa May could become prime minister by tomorrow.

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Published on 11 Jul 2016
Andrea Leadsom quits Conservative leadership race, saying "Theresa May is ideally placed to implement Brexit" as Prime Minister


 

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[FONT=&quot]1h ago12:43[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Boris Johnson has backed Theresa May for leader. In a statement he said:

Theresa May will provide the authority and the leadership necessary to unite the Conservative party and take the country forward in the coming weeks and months. Andrea’s decision, which is both brave and principled, allows that process to begin immediately. I have no doubt Theresa will make an excellent party leader and prime minister and I’m encouraged that she’s made it clear that Brexit means Brexit - that we will leave the EU. It is vital that we respect the will of the people and get on with exploiting new opportunities for this country.

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[FONT=&quot]1h ago12:41[/FONT]
[h=2]Andrea Leadsom's withdrawal statement in full[/h][FONT=&quot]Here is the Andrea Leadsom statement in full.

This morning I have written a letter to Graham Brady, the chairman of the 1922 Committee, and I would like to read it out to you.
The best interests of our country inspired me to stand for the leadership. I believe that in leaving the EU a bright future awaits, where all our people can share in a new prosperity, freedom and democracy.
The referendum result demonstrated a clear desire for change - strong leadership is needed urgently to begin the work of withdrawing from the European Union.
A nine-week leadership campaign at such a critical moment for our country is highly undesirable.
Business needs certainty – a strong and unified government must move quickly to set out what an independent United Kingdom’s framework for business looks like.
It is also essential that current EU workers in the UK and businesses that employ them know where they stand.
The Conservative party was elected only last year with a strong manifesto. We now need a new prime minister in place as soon as possible, committed to fulfilling that manifesto as well as implementing the clear instructions from the referendum.
Theresa May carries over 60% of support from the parliamentary party. She is ideally placed to implement Brexit on the best possible terms for the British people and she has promised that she will do so.
For me personally, to have won the support of 84 of my colleagues last Thursday was a great expression of confidence for which I am incredibly grateful. Nevertheless, this is less than 25% of the parliamentary party and after careful consideration I do not believe this is sufficient support to lead a strong and stable government should I win the leadership election.
There is no greater privilege than to lead the Conservative party in government and I would have been deeply honoured to do it. I have, however, concluded that the interests of our country are best served by the immediate appointment of a strong and well-supported prime minister.
I am therefore withdrawing from the leadership election and I wish Theresa May the very greatest success. I assure her of my full support. Thank you very much.

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Who would be who in Theresa May’s cabinet?


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Secretary of State for Brexit, but who would it be? And who would be her Chancellor, Home Secretary and Foreign Secretary?










So many predictions have been confounded recently that it seems reckless to make more. Let us therefore be reckless. I think that Theresa May is likely to be prime minister in two months. I know many liberal right-thinking pro-Europeans, still in shock after the referendum, are thrilling themselves with the horror of Andrea Leadsom in No 10.
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Now that Leadsom has betrayed her inexperience by (a) saying it would be “horrible” to suggest that she as a mother would be a better leader than the childless May, before (b) going on to suggest precisely that, and (c) criticising the The Times for reporting both statements, May’s succession is more likely. The idea that Conservative pro-family traditionalists will rally to Leadsom as a result either of a blunder or a cunning Trump-style plan to say outrageous things is implausible.


In which case, the pressing question is what May’s plan for Brexit is, and we look forward to hearing more of it over the next eight weeks. But another important question is who will have which jobs in May’s cabinet. This is not merely gossip about personalities, because the men and women matter as much as the measures.


[FONT=&quot]That is why one of May’s [/FONT]first pledges[FONT=&quot] was to appoint someone who had campaigned for Leave as Secretary of State for Brexit. My guess is that this would be Chris Grayling rather than one of the two most prominent leaders of the Leave campaign, Michael Gove and Boris Johnson. Like May herself, Grayling is the underwhelming but logical choice. The first non-lawyer to be Lord Chancellor (his career before politics was in television), he was shunted from the Justice Department last year to allow Gove to reform prisons. He currently manages Commons business as Leader of the House, but he is a Leaver and he is managing May’s leadership campaign.


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[FONT=&quot]As for the great offices of state, I think May would probably make the swap that David Cameron was contemplating Before the Fall, moving George Osborne to Foreign Secretary and Philip Hammond to Chancellor.



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[FONT=&quot]Osborne wouldn’t actually have “Rest of the World” in brackets after his title, but he would be responsible for everywhere except Europe. It would be a serious job, which he would enjoy, and which would still give him the prospect – he’s only 45, after all – of the top job at some point in the next decade or two. The only question is whether he would be able to resist meddling and trying to prove how clever he is.[/FONT]


 

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Cont.............


[FONT=&quot]Hammond would again be the underwhelming but logical choice for the Treasury, with Sajid Javid, the Business Secretary, falling victim to the rule that it is best to leave ministers where they are for as long as possible.

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[FONT=&quot]Her own vacancy at the Home Office could be filled by Amber Rudd, the Energy and Climate Change Secretary who was a combative Remainer, or by Jeremy Hunt, who needs to move out of Health so that the junior doctors’ hate-figure is taken out of the dispute. The new Health Secretary could be Rudd or Jane Ellison, an emollient junior minister in the department.

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[FONT=&quot]What, though, for Leadsom, the candidate whom May would have defeated in the ballot of party members? Her daydream of being Johnson’s Chancellor, if only he hadn’t left the letter behind, could end in the reality of the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. Very important to have a Leaver in charge of sorting out the morass of EU habitat directives, May could say, as she switches the incumbent Liz Truss to Energy and Climate Change.

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[FONT=&quot]Leadsom and Johnson are the two Leavers who would have to be offered cabinet posts. Johnson could go to Culture, Media and Sport so that the red-tops can call him the Minister of Fun. Gove’s punishment for his serial betrayals could be to keep him where he is. May could tell him she believes in the rehabilitation of offenders, and that prison reform is very important to deliver her One Nation vision of social justice. But if reoffending rates haven’t fallen by a quarter in four years, she could say, out you will go. [/FONT]
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In addition, it would make sense to offer Priti Patel, the Leaver and employment minister who has the right to attend Cabinet, a promotion. She could take Grayling’s job as Leader of the House.


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[FONT=&quot]The rest of the Cabinet could remain unchanged. Cameron was praised for keeping ministers in place for longer than usual – partly because the complexities of coalition made reshuffles harder. I doubt that he would want a post: he would want to set up a charitable foundation to promote his causes of foreign aid and the National Citizen Service, making contributions in the Commons as a backbencher on things that matter to him.

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[FONT=&quot]Finally, the creation of a new cabinet post to handle the Brexit negotiations would mean one of the existing posts would have to go. Oliver Letwin, Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster and Cameron’s progress-chaser, could be thanked and asked to make a sacrifice in the national interest.

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[FONT=&quot]This may seem a tiny patch of lawn to be inspecting at a time when the vast landscape of British politics is beginning to realign into a Leave party and a Remain party. The old Conservative and Unionist party may turn into an England Alone party, while Labour, and possibly a rainbow alliance of others, could become the European Unionist party.

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[FONT=&quot]But while that is happening, there is Britain’s new relationship with the EU to negotiate. And this is my best guess at the team that will negotiate it.[/FONT]
 

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[FONT=&quot]42s ago15:56[/FONT]
[h=2]Cameron says May will become PM on Wednesday afternoon[/h][FONT=&quot]David Cameron says he will chair his last cabinet tomorrow.
He will take PMQs on Wednesday.
And by Wednesday evening there will be a new PM, he says.
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If Fletcher was still posting here this thread would be on page 2 already from all the responses after he called her a GILF.
 

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