There is a play on the board right now everyone should be playing

[Enfuego]

If I believed in double the normal wager, this would be it.

UCF -170 is a great play.

At home, coming off an emotional win in Houston with a great defense (#35 in PPG and #30 in YPG).

You have BYU coming in deflated from losing their stud QB and losing outright to a 21 point dog. BYU actually thought they were a National Championship contender and they lost it all.

No motivation, QB with inexperience and playing a great D.

Roll with the UCF ML.

 

[8ate]

Lotta chalk; can't lose too many at -170

 

[Enfuego]

Lotta chalk; can't lose too many at -170

Have never understood this philosophy at all.

Say you wager 10 to win 7 and you lose. Ok, you lost 10. You make the same wager at -110 and where are you then? Down 1?

Ok.

 

[tmader7]

I've watched BYU play three times this year. Without Hill, they're gonna be in trouble. I'm parlaying the -3+ with a few others, so yes, I agree the Knights roll.

~T~

 

[ERockMoney]

Have never understood this philosophy at all.

Say you wager 10 to win 7 and you lose. Ok, you lost 10. You make the same wager at -110 and where are you then? Down 1?

Ok.

I believe what 8ate was referencing was the difficulty in producing a profit over a larger segment of plays when laying -170. You need to hit at rate of just under 63% to produce a profit compared to 52.38% at -110. I'm not saying I disagree with the play, but its hard enough to beat the -110 over time let alone trying to beat -170.

Best of luck with your action.

 

[8ate]

I believe what 8ate was referencing was the difficulty in producing a profit over a larger segment of plays when laying -170. You need to hit at rate of just under 63% to produce a profit compared to 52.38% at -110. I'm not saying I disagree with the play, but its hard enough to beat the -110 over time let alone trying to beat -170.

Best of luck with your action.

..Well stated; but in no way am I belittling or disparaging any wager; just when you have to win close to 2/3 just to break even; you better not lose 2 in a row..jmho..gl..

 

[Enfuego]

..Well stated; but in no way am I belittling or disparaging any wager; just when you have to win close to 2/3 just to break even; you better not lose 2 in a row..jmho..gl..

Yeah, no I get it. It's always a good discussion to have.

 

[Acebb]

UCF -170 is a great play.

Down to 150 in some spots and is 135 at heritage.

Not sure of the math angle here playing such a high money line.

 

[LoCalDallasGuy]

best of luck

 

[Enfuego]

Good start. Now, BYU won't move it on UCF.

Hopefully.

 

[pathologist]

You hit it perfect - byu going through the motions

 

[tmader7]

I've watched BYU play three times this year. Without Hill, they're gonna be in trouble. I'm parlaying the -3+ with a few others, so yes, I agree the Knights roll.

~T~

The wheels on the bus go 'round and 'round, 'round and 'round.

~T~

 

[LoCalDallasGuy]

still early but looking alright.

 

[AxelFreed]

That worked out well nicely done.

 

[United]

Nice hit

 

[Enfuego]

Grabbed a little +450 in game as well when they were down 14.

 

[varkeyboy]

The wheels on the bus go 'round and 'round, 'round and 'round.

~T~

The horn on the bus goes beep beep beep.
Beep beep beep. Beep beep beep.
The horn on the bus goes beep beep beep. Beep beep beep.

Keep tootin it Enfuego! Good shit man. Good to see you around again!

 

[Skreechy]

Had byu +3.5. Sigh.

 

[ScottL]

Always good to bet the same side as the refs.

 

[tmader7]

The horn on the bus goes beep beep beep.
Beep beep beep. Beep beep beep.
The horn on the bus goes beep beep beep. Beep beep beep.

Keep tootin it Enfuego! Good shit man. Good to see you around again!

Yeah, my Steelers come here and absolutely CLOCK the pussycats.....and what do DA BEARS DO??? Keep tootin that horn.

~T~