THERE ARE 5 HOME UNDERDOGS IN WEEK 2. how will they do???

[RPM]

all 5 look like they SHOULD be dogs this week, but hard to imagine they wont come out somewhere around 3-2. Anyone want to offer opinions/information on any of these 5 games to help me decide if I like any of them?

Buf +1
minn +3
clev +6
oak +3
sd +5.5

 

[Ubuksi]

Miami traveling cross country for a 1 o'clock game a week after beating a division rival in a hard fought game.. I dunno if I'd call buffalo an underdog though games pretty much a pick em

 

[Bl0wnAway]

Seattle will be well rested and SD is off a really tough loss on the road so I wouldn't touch it. New England couldn't stop the run against Miami and Peterson could have a field day for the Vikings. Buffalo should go down to the wire in their divisional home opener so I'm teasing that one with the Packers.

Does anyone have Drew Brees outdoors stats? I feel like he struggles on the road on real grass. 6 points feels like a lot...

 

[Biz]

Week 2 Home Dogs, Since 2004.

Off a Win: 4-7
Off a Loss: 25-17

 

[s4shadow]

Week 2 Home Dogs, Since 2004.

Off a Win: 4-7
Off a Loss: 25-17

Nice stat. that is accurate right? Does that mean the teams covered ATS or won straight up?

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Bottom 3 have the best shot to cover IMO.......Browns, Chargers & Raiders.......

 

[candylicker]

minn
cle
sd

 

[s4shadow]

anybody else like the Cardinals to win @ Giants? or am I over-reacting to what I saw last night? (a solid Cardinals defense and a weak/confused Giants offense)

 

[savage55]

I like Oak myself at home +3.. I think that line moves to 2.5 or 2 real soon. Should be a PK IMO

 

[s4shadow]

I like Oak myself at home +3.. I think that line moves to 2.5 or 2 real soon. Should be a PK IMO

thinking the same thing...almost everybody has oakland last in the power rankings but I think they have a chance to win this one straight up

 

[wizard1183]

I don't think cle touches it. They have a div game wk 3. Their opponent is non conference and they need that win vs balty to stay alive. Saints off a div loss and looking to grab a win. I think they roll Cleveland. If as they say , pick the winner beat the spread hits 83% which we know it does, saints win.

 

[RPM]

anybody else like the Cardinals to win @ Giants? or am I over-reacting to what I saw last night? (a solid Cardinals defense and a weak/confused Giants offense)

I never bet on a road team coming off monday night football. i seem to recall them having a really bad win percentage. something like 30%.

 

[RPM]

thinking the same thing...almost everybody has oakland last in the power rankings but I think they have a chance to win this one straight up

i really like oakland too, but houston makes me nervous. i feel like i have no idea what to expect from them yet.

 

[Jeter4life]

browns and chargers is money

 

[SocraticMethod]

I like Buf +1 the best.

 

[FrankieCat]

Buffalo falls into a scenario I like to bet...when a home dog wins outright then goes on the road and is favored, I like to fade that team. Miami beat NE as a home dog then travels to Buff as a small fav. I like Miami this year but, I can see an overreaction from the betting public on this game. I say bet Buff or watch this game from the sidelines.

Good luck!!

 

[wizard1183]

browns and chargers is money

Explain why

 

[wizard1183]

Seattle will be well rested and SD is off a really tough loss on the road so I wouldn't touch it. New England couldn't stop the run against Miami and Peterson could have a field day for the Vikings. Buffalo should go down to the wire in their divisional home opener so I'm teasing that one with the Packers.

Does anyone have Drew Brees outdoors stats? I feel like he struggles on the road on real grass. 6 points feels like a lot...

The Saints imo are not as bad as you think on the road. It just looks as though they are. But remember, I believe that monkey is off their backs now as they did beat Philly in the playoffs LY in the cold.

Here's the Saints stats on grass since 2006 (Brees era)
19-20 SU 48.7%
19-19-1 ATS 50.0%

Saints on grass as Away fav who previously lost since 06
3-3 SU & ATS losing their last in 2012

Here's Saints stats on the road as a whole since 2006
38-33 SU
34-36-1 ATS

As an Away fav since 2006:
27-11 SU 71.1%
18-20 ATS 47.4%

As an Away fav who previously lost:
5-4 SU & ATS

Browns are 4-2 SU & ATS against the Saints since 1989. 1-1 since 2006 vs Saints winning in New Orleans 2010.

 

[RPM]

Buffalo falls into a scenario I like to bet...when a home dog wins outright then goes on the road and is favored, I like to fade that team. Miami beat NE as a home dog then travels to Buff as a small fav. I like Miami this year but, I can see an overreaction from the betting public on this game. I say bet Buff or watch this game from the sidelines.

Good luck!!

do you have any stats on that type of scenario?

 

[palehose1]

Teams coming off Thurs games do well with extra prep time (GB) and Seattle I think they both win SU and GB will roll. also Buff does well at home against Miami.Off subject but wanted to add ,also the Minny/NE game has a lot over Over angles and Cleveland +6 is too many IMO.