Sorry forgot I posted this. Now I already made it known I think the total is a off but there is a line that is clearly not right when you look at from a simple point of view and that is:
PITTSBURGH MONEYLINE at around -250 (mainly in Vegas you can find that price all over town, I just played at WSEX but its now gone). Check out every favorite that was 6.5 to 7 point favorites this year in the NFL and look at their moneyline in that game, it is always higher then this.
In fact this moneyline of -250 or so is equal to a -5.5 point favorite or so. Does anyone have a databse with this information to post the last 25 -7 point favorites in the NFL this regular season.
I looked and almost all of them were in the -300 range and some much higher. This happens with every Super Bowl the last few years, the favorite's moneyline is too low when compared to the pointspread. Remember New England last year (unfortunately I do)? Las Vegas is really off with this, much more then offshore. Right now I am looking at Sportsoptions and they have Pittsburgh -250 at the Hilton, Cal Neva, Mirage and -245 at Southpoint, which is an even scalp with Pinny right now.
I would have to say value wise if one is looking too play this game with no opinion based strictly on value then getting a legitimate smallish 7 point favorite for -250 in the NFL is the best VALUE play in this game.