The Sweet Stink of Week 14

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Dec 11, 2006
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Wk 1 // 7-5-1 +168
Wk 2 // 7-5 +167
WK 3 // 4-6 -214
Wk 4 // 4-8 -449
Wk 5 // 4-6 -214
Wk 6 // 6-4 +186
Wk 7 // 7-3-2 +401
wk 8 // 5-5 -10
Wk 9 // 8-2-2 +617
Wk 10 // 5-4 +85
Wk 11 // 7-4-1 +301
WK 12 // 5-7 -236
Wk 13 // 6-7-1 -140

Thursday night:

N'Awlins +2' +103 (@ Falcons)
 
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Tough beat to start the week on Thursday.

Sunday:

Oakland +4 -100 (@ KCy)
Houston -1' -103 (vs SFo)
Chicago +6' -108 (@ Cincy)
Indy +3 +104 (@ Buff)
Washington +6' -108 (@ LA Ch)
Arizona +2' +102 (vs Tenny)
Seattle +2' -105 (@ Jax)
LA Rams -1 +100 (vs Philly)

Lots of action this week.
 

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Good luck! On Zona, LA, but against you HOU (though I got 3 -115 for SF so not impossible we both win).

You have an opinion on Mia.NE. I looked up stats since week 5. NE ranked 13th in yards againsts (instead of 28th or whatever) and 1 in pts against. I think we are seeing first 4 weeks showing to not be reflective of quality of teams in many cases (NE, SEA, ATL, SEA, NO, KC -- all look like different teams. Weeks 1-4 the new Extended Pre-season
 
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Good luck! On Zona, LA, but against you HOU (though I got 3 -115 for SF so not impossible we both win).

You have an opinion on Mia.NE. I looked up stats since week 5. NE ranked 13th in yards againsts (instead of 28th or whatever) and 1 in pts against. I think we are seeing first 4 weeks showing to not be reflective of quality of teams in many cases (NE, SEA, ATL, SEA, NO, KC -- all look like different teams. Weeks 1-4 the new Extended Pre-season

Re Houston, they have been playing much tougher teams recently than San Fran. For all of the Jimmy Garoppolo hype last week he couldn't even throw a TD on Chicago. Savage is not nearly as bad as his critics paint him. The San Fran D should steady him. They have gone five games without a sack this season. Very bad.

That's a very astute point re the difference between some teams now and before they came together or fell apart. The Pats defense is vastly improved despite significant injuries. Bellichick has always played to pull his teams together in November and December. I'm sure you know that.

I need to get to shoveling now so that I can be in by near kickoff. Leaning Miami because of something I researched last week and got burned last week (Over the past five years Divisional Rd Favorites in Weeks 12 through 16 were 5-16 ATS if lined at -7 or higher (applicable teams were 1-2 ATS last week.) Expecting it to come through this week. Good luck, bud.
 
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Worst day of the season yesterday.

Add:

Miami +10' -108 (vs NEn)

Did the research last week.

In the past five years, in weeks 12-16, Division home dogs of +7 or higher were 16-5 ATS. Went 1-2 ATS last week. Giving it another chance tonight on this weeks only qualifier.
 

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