Also a comment on the Oregon play.
I am a little concerned that UCLA will be able to move the ball here. Some limited success on the ground because their OL has been improving. But my greater concern is Oregon's secondary. It's supposed to be a great one but they have not performed up to expectations.
Oregon's offense reminds me of a top that's slowing down and wobbling a bit. It's still upright but not as dominant as it should be... QB issues etc.
All that makes me think the line could be better than it looks, particularly with UCLA having one of the best game day coaches in the conference... but the Ducks should prevail though I could feel more confident.
I am a little concerned that UCLA will be able to move the ball here. Some limited success on the ground because their OL has been improving. But my greater concern is Oregon's secondary. It's supposed to be a great one but they have not performed up to expectations.
Oregon's offense reminds me of a top that's slowing down and wobbling a bit. It's still upright but not as dominant as it should be... QB issues etc.
All that makes me think the line could be better than it looks, particularly with UCLA having one of the best game day coaches in the conference... but the Ducks should prevail though I could feel more confident.
Conan, I agree. I made this wager early in the week at a smaller amount then usual, figuring I would add to it after I had capped the game in more detail. However upon further review I found that I liked the total more then the side. I also believe UCLA will have some success moving the football, which I think will help the UNDER because they are not a big play type of offense and this will keep the Duck offense on the sideline. Which in turn should also help the Bruin D.
Another question I have Pez is the Utah St. pick of yours.
I went for SJSU as soon as I saw the line which now seems to have been a mistake since it's moving down. I could have waited. However my thinking is that the Spartans will come home flying high with a nice road win under their belt. Their new QB Kyle Reed should run all over the Aggies defense. They seem to have many offensive weapons that were missing last year too. Their defense has been playing very well. I see this home game as simlar to their win vs the Aztecs a couple weeks ago where they won by 25 points.
Your thoughts?
I went for SJSU as soon as I saw the line which now seems to have been a mistake since it's moving down. I could have waited. However my thinking is that the Spartans will come home flying high with a nice road win under their belt. Their new QB Kyle Reed should run all over the Aggies defense. They seem to have many offensive weapons that were missing last year too. Their defense has been playing very well. I see this home game as simlar to their win vs the Aztecs a couple weeks ago where they won by 25 points.
Your thoughts?
Conan, the way I break down my stats, I just believe these two teams are much closer then they appear. The last three times these two have met the games have been decided by 3, 7 & 7 points. Statictically speaking, vs similar defensive competition, Utah State actually has the better offense (marginally at best I'll admit). The Spartans hold a substantial edge on defense, however, they have also played some very poor offenses while Utah State has played three top 40 offenses (Oregon, BYU & Utah). SJSU has lost their top receiver for the season and their OL is mediocre at best. Lastly asking a team that avg's 18 ppg to cover 3 scores just seems like a tall order.
