The Cat's NFL Over/Under Bets, Plus More, & Detailed Writeups - Divisional Rd - Postseason YTD: 3-2 (Featuring My Biggest Bet of the Entire Year)

[CatsOverUnders]

2013-14 NFL Postseason Betting Record: 3-2 (60%), +$14
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*Over/Unders…………….. 2-0 (*My main strength)
Sides..….………………….... 1-0
Props………………………..... 0-1
Live………………………....... 0-1
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2013 NFL Regular Season Betting Record: 119-98-7 (54.8%), -$418
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*Over/Unders…………….. 36-32-4 (*My main strength)
Sides..….………………….... 15-12-1
Teasers…………………….... 23-20
Props………………………..... 29-28-1
2nd Halves……………….... 7-1
Live………………………....... 4-1
Underdog MLs……………… 1-1
Parlays……………………..... 1-1
Futures……………………….. 3-2-1
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2012 NFL Regular Season Betting Record: 139-106-8 (56.7%), +$622
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*Over/Unders…………….. 48-39-2 (*My main strength)
Sides…..……….………….... 14-8-2
Teasers…………………….... 41-27
Props………………………..... 27-22-4
Moneylines……………...... 1-2
2nd Halves……………….... 5-7
Parlays……………………..... 0-1
Futures……………………….. 3-0
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Yup. Biggest bet of the season right here in the AFC Divisional Round. It’s actually a prop, which I’m hoping doesn’t lead me to questioning myself later tonight, considering I had a season-worst performance in props this season (29-28-1, which is not going to win you any money in the world of prop bets, although with a lot of bad beats this year in that department as well), but this is a bet I feel VERY strong about…


Griff Whalen OVER 2.5 Receptions - $420 for $300
You read right. My biggest bet of the entire year… revolves around random Colts slot receiver Griff Whalen. That’s a main point to me, though, as this is someone who I am very confident is on the verge of breaking out into something significant, and I just think this number, and his current situation and niche within that high-octane Colts offense at this present moment, is too good of an opportunity. In fact, this will probably be the lowest you can grab any Griff Whalen prop either now or in the future. Yes, his numbers last week when Andrew Luck threw the ball 45 times in an extremely high-scoring affair left a lot to be desired (Two catches, 26 yards), but he did have six targets, continuing the month-long trend of how often Luck goes his way. In fact, Whalen has endured 26 targets combined over his club’s past four games, an average of more than six targets a game. Thus, if he gets that exact number, all we need him to do is secure half that number for the win here (And he could easily surpass that number of targets), and considering his good hands and emergence as a legitimate quality slot receiver in a potent offense, that’s a bet I’ll gladly make. Even before this recent stretch of heavy involvement, the Colts were inserting him in before that, such as picking up 17 combined targets in Week’s 9-11. Bottom line: This is an under-the-radar player who I want to invest big-time in, and given the potentially high-scoring affair that this matchup can be, you have to expect Griff Whalen to play a role in that, continuing his consistent participation for a unit that likes to pass a lot. This is the type of bet you lock in on and capitalize with.


Also have a vibe on the over/under…


Colts/Patriots OVER 48 (Bought 2.5 points) - $40 for $25
Last year, the over in the Colts/Patriots Week 11 matchup that ended 59-24 was my best bet that week, and in this latest installment of Colts/Patriots, I have a similar feel for it. While I don’t think this same matchup at this exact point in time will win just as easily, I do envision an over victory here nonetheless, even with the bad weather on tap for tonight in the New England area. I wrote a little bit about the Colts last week in my write-up for that game, so I’ll just reiterate how in rhythm their offense is as a whole, with Andrew Luck looking to be in top form. Most importantly, it appears he seems good mentally in postseason games, despite his inexperience in the league, so that’s a huge characteristic I like for a bet such as this one. On the other side is the great Tom Brady, who doesn’t need any explanation whatsoever. His best work may just be done in the playoffs, and considering he put a crooked number like 59 on the scoreboard against Indianapolis last time, it seems like he has an incredible beat on this defensive unit that’s opposing him. Furthermore, as I’ve always emphasized, LeGarrette Blount is being given a chance to run forward with his newfound opportunity (Pardon the pun) as a Patriot, further proving me right when I always said he could be a legit upper echelon starting running back. He will continue to pay dividends for what he does for this Patriots offense. Overall, I think we’ll ultimately get a 28-21ish matchup, or the winner scoring 30+, which would put us on pace for an over.


Geaux Saints. Let’s please make a comeback. And of course, be on the lookout for any potential second half and/or live bets I have to offer. GL to all with your action.

 

[CatsOverUnders]

Getting a little nervous but in Griff Whalen I Trust.

 

[loomis41973]

theres 2 dbanana0-9

 

[Biz]

Hope it gets there Cat.

 

[swirv]

Nice looking good especially with Hilton keep getting dinged and score of the game

 

[loomis41973]

Whalen winner

 

[Tesla]

There it is. Nice call win before half...wish I would have seen this before the game.

 

[swirv]

Boom

 

[BigCat]

Nice call

 

[rubennbl]

Griff Whalen OVER 2.5 Receptions - $420 for $300

Nice hit.. Congrats! ^!:

 

[Vituperate]

Much deserved Cats…

 

[StevieRay]

Lets see, 11:30 in NY, u done blown it on a bar tab right? Lol.

 

[CatsOverUnders]

Thanks guys, much appreciated.

Just goes to what I said at the end of that write-up, that when you get that rare special feel for a bet like that mentally, that's when you unload and capitalize.

 

[CatsOverUnders]

Lets see, 11:30 in NY, u done blown it on a bar tab right? Lol.

Hahah nah, watched the game at friends' house (And my Celtics/Blazers over, since they have Leagur Pass, too), but I certainly consumed a fair amount of alcohol lol the blunt I had was certainly dedicated to Griff Whalen and Dan Dierdorf (One of my favorite football announcers of all-time; will always stick up for him, can't believe he's retired))

Just hoping I have something for tomorrow. Don't wanna be content

 

[CatsOverUnders]

I'm probably one of only a few people right now who can proclaim: Griff Whalen made my playoffs haha certainly cheers me up after a very unfortunate Saints elimination but I have confidence that Sean Payton will get that second ring for us next season.

Anyway, two bets today, starting with:


Vernon Davis OVER 3.5 Receptions - $26 for $20
He's a favorite target of Colin Kaepernick who gets a lot of targets more times than not, and this matchup should be a real grind-it-out affair. Thus, Kaepernick is really going to have maximize all of his resources, and considering we only need four catches from one of the best tight ends in football for the win in a game like this, looks like the best bet on the board, as far as this particular Divisional Round contest is concerned. I'm really not sure what direction to go in as far as the spread and over/under are concerned, hence I feel comfortable going with this bet, albeit of the minimum-size variety.


And in the second game:


Chargers/Broncos OVER 52 (Bought 2.5 points) - $40 for $25
I actually feel pretty good about this one, even despite the fact that their first two encounters both went under. That's a telling trend because it was the Chargers who dictated that, especially in the second game (I lost the over in that Thursday Night encounter) when they won in Denver, because they attempted to control the clock with the run-game, continually pounding it with Ryan Mathews, and they succeeded in that regard, which is exactly why they won that second meeting. However, Mathews is now considerably banged up to the point that he might not even play this afternoon, but even if he does, I don't see him having the success he enjoyed earlier in the year against them, and above everything, I envision this as a game where the Broncos are aggressive with their passing game, which they should always be, and will succeed. They will make whatever adjustments they have to make in order to ensure they get a re-match with the Patriots in the AFC Championship (Which is why I also think Broncos -7 or -8 is a good bet and something I would recommend), and as long as Peyton Manning is on his usual dominant A-game, which I believe he will be, that should help solidify at least one crooked number on the scoreboard. I have Denver scoring around in the mid-30's, which is why it's important to me to get this one at 52 (35-17, 38-14 if it's a blow-out; 31-21, 28-24 also always possible). As long as the Broncos are leading the way in this game and dictating the pace, that should signal an over, as they'll love to pour it on early, and can obviously pour it on at any time, and that's what I think will happen. San Diego has the offense to hang in there, even if they're getting blown out, as Philip Rivers is one of the best quarterbacks in garbage time if it comes to that, so that's another nice characteristic to have attached to this one. Not a huge bet, of course, but still one I like to make me 4-0 with over/unders thus far this postseason.

 

[CatsOverUnders]

Another note about the Vernon Davis prop: In San Francisco's three playoff games last year, Davis accumulated a combined 19 targets, which is good for more than six targets per. That tells me when it comes to the big games, Kaepernick automatically knows to go in the direction of his big-time playmakers, and like I said, since we only need four catches for the win, it's a very intriguing prop bet.

 

[Recon792]

nice hit with the whalen prop - -

 

[CatsOverUnders]

nice hit with the whalen prop - -

Thanks man. Very, very happy I won that

 

[MikeyLo]

Congrats on the Whalen winner!

 

[Ilovetobet]

good work