I disagree, not sure if you're talking NBA, college or both. Do you consider scheduling? Some NBA teams are better than others when they must play back to back nights. Quick example, Sacramento started a six game road trip Jan 22 at Cleveland. All of their starters played between 34 and 45 minutes in a 6 point win(failed to cover as they were 9 point favs). They play Memphis the next night who had covered 5 of their last 6 games and had the night off while the Kings were in Cleveland. I'm interested in Memphis at first glance, then it's homework time to support my gut feeling.
1. Memphis has revenge(bigger factor in college in my opinion) from a 20 point loss at Sacramento on Nov.15th.
2. What has Sacramento done on previous back to nights? Jan 7- Lost at Seattle 104-93 as a 2 point fave, Dec 26- Lost at Golden St 98-91 as a four point fave. The line for tonight's game was even and Memphis closed as a one point fave. Granted two games isn't a significant sample, but it's something to consider.
3. I doubt in the 2nd game of a six trip with the Texas triangle(Dall, Hou, SA) approaching the Kings starters will play huge minutes again.
4. Memphis was 14-7 ATS at home.
It turns out nobody plays over 30 minutes for Sacramento, they trail by 21 after 3 quarters and lose by 14.
It always isn't that easy, but with a little research and record keeping you can spot plays like this and grind out a profit over the course of a season. Good luck.
1. Memphis has revenge(bigger factor in college in my opinion) from a 20 point loss at Sacramento on Nov.15th.
2. What has Sacramento done on previous back to nights? Jan 7- Lost at Seattle 104-93 as a 2 point fave, Dec 26- Lost at Golden St 98-91 as a four point fave. The line for tonight's game was even and Memphis closed as a one point fave. Granted two games isn't a significant sample, but it's something to consider.
3. I doubt in the 2nd game of a six trip with the Texas triangle(Dall, Hou, SA) approaching the Kings starters will play huge minutes again.
4. Memphis was 14-7 ATS at home.
It turns out nobody plays over 30 minutes for Sacramento, they trail by 21 after 3 quarters and lose by 14.
It always isn't that easy, but with a little research and record keeping you can spot plays like this and grind out a profit over the course of a season. Good luck.
ive always found basketball to be the most difficult of the 4 major sports that i bet.. the reason is that the spread or bet is almost always in doubt until the end of the game, this however has been a good year so far in hoops for me.... a couple of reasons for this, im more into trends and tendacies if you will, this year.. ive always played the streaks both good and bad, also some interesting things going on with some home teams... the second reason for the better year is that ive quit watching games that ive wagered on for the most part, now i spend my time watching and scouting other teams at that time, for future bets.. i simply just check the scores of my plays from time to time and watch the other games.. much less stressful..
had the Wolves tired after return from LA where they stayed over Friday night.
Though I never quite get why flying from LA on a Saturday makes you "tired" on a Sunday, nevertheless I read these kinds of notes all the time and then teams go out and perform like they are dogging it. So maybe there is something to it. Actually the Wolves have been gritting out late wins for about 2-3 weeks now, not sure if they are hitting a mid-season wall or what. But as a follower of the team, I'd have questioned laying 8 based on all I knew before this game. Bottom line: be an informed bettor.
Though I never quite get why flying from LA on a Saturday makes you "tired" on a Sunday, nevertheless I read these kinds of notes all the time and then teams go out and perform like they are dogging it. So maybe there is something to it. Actually the Wolves have been gritting out late wins for about 2-3 weeks now, not sure if they are hitting a mid-season wall or what. But as a follower of the team, I'd have questioned laying 8 based on all I knew before this game. Bottom line: be an informed bettor.
In basketball you HAVE TO DO YOUR HOMEWORK EVERY NIGHT! Watch for teams playing back to back to back games! Whos rested and whos not?? Late lineup changes (HAPPENS TOO OFTEN)! If you see a star player struggling for a couple games you know hes do for a breakout game! Look for star players at home going against star players on the road! But yes any team can shoot lites out at any given time! You just have to be lucky and be on the right side! I know playing money line favorites in hoops isn't the way to go but I hit 24 out of 27 money line favs the past 2 weeks! Points would've killed me!
