Texas State vs Georgia State 10/23/2021

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Georgia State is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat Texas State. Destin Coates is projected for 117 rushing yards and a 30% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where Texas State wins, Tyler Vitt averages 1.26 TD passes vs 0.38 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.63 TDs to 0.52 interceptions. Brock Sturges averages 83 rushing yards and 1.84 rushing TDs when Texas State wins and 69 yards and 0.99 TDs in losses. Georgia State has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is GAST -10.5 --- Over/Under line is 60.5
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