Texas A&M vs. Utah Utes

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Utah finds themselves in a strange position as they open their season at home on a Thursday night. The Utah Utes will likely be near double-digit favorites heading into the kickoff. Seldom will a Mountain West Conference team find themselves so heavily favored against a Big 12 opponent not named Baylor or Kansas, but closer inspection of both teams reveals the reason why.

Last season each of these programs went in opposite directions. Texas A&M finished a miserable year at 4-8 and completely out of the bowl picture. Utah finished 10-2 including a Liberty Bowl victory over Southern Miss. A&M did however win a squeaker over Utah at Kyle Field early in the season 28-26.

A&M took advantage of 9 Ute fumbles (only 3 lost) and the absence of Paris Warren to jump out to a 21-0 halftime lead. As Utah got their legs under them they fought back into the game eventually losing on a failed 2-point conversion with just seconds left on the clock. Utah controlled the time of possession and yardage stats, although A&M had the advantage where it counted. If this game had taken place later in the year there is no doubt Utah would have beat A&M by double digits.

Utah’s offense returns a very experienced and talented offensive line. Four of the five projected starters either started last year or received significant time in back-up roles. It should not take this unit much time to gel, which will be bad news for an A&M defensive line that was pushed around by most teams last year.

The Aggie defense undoubtedly will improve as the coming year unfolds. However doing so against a Utah team returning most of its potent offense should prove a tall order. Do not be surprised to see an experienced offensive line push around an A&M defensive line that may have to turn to several RS freshmen to provide depth and quality snaps.

Returning dual threat QB Alex Smith will stress the Aggie defense with his feet, arm and mind. Last year Smith surprised many Ute observers by becoming the perfect QB for Meyer’s system. His TD/Int ratio impressed, his decision making ability proved outstanding, and the 450 yards and 5 touchdown on the ground showed Ute fans a dimension not many thought Smith possessed.

Utah also returns three very experienced receivers. Paris Warren and Steven Savoy will be threats to score any time they touch the ball against an A&M secondary that struggled last year. If the Aggies load the box to stop Brandon Warfield’s replacement Mike Liti, Utah’s wide receivers should have a field day against an overmatched secondary. If A&M plays Utah to pass then Mike Liti or QB Alex Smith should be able to gain yards on the ground behind the experienced offensive line.

A balanced offense will test even the most stout of defenses. Utah should exploit A&M both on the ground and through the air. Although the Aggie D will be more talented than last year, they probably won’t be as cohesive as needed in the first game of the year. Certainly it's debatable if they would be a solid enough unit to stop Utah even at years end.

A&M’s offense last year was inconsistent at best. Although they showed the occasional flash the unit played in fairly pedestrian style outside of returning RB Courtney Lewis. A healthy A&M offensive line will get a test against a good front four of Utah. I don’t expect their sieve like play to continue from last year, but as always it will take this group longer to gel due to the lack of playing time together as a unit. It likely won't happen in game one on the road.

Courtney Lewis should be able to make decent yards, but the big question mark will again be Reggie McNeal. Will McNeal be able to consistently make good decisions to keep drives alive? Will the line give McNeal the time he needs? Can he pass accurately enough to take advantage of what could be a very good group of wide receivers? How did his shoulder injury that sidelined him during the spring affect his development?

The Utes shuffled around the secondary in the off-season and their corners are largely untested. Their front seven should be strong although their options at middle linebacker appear undersized. However both DT’s are great against the run and weigh over three hundred pounds, which might limit the MLB exposure to the offensive line. I do not expect Utah to shut down the Aggies offense all night long, but until Reggie McNeal plays well consistently I have little faith in him to get the job done. The fate of the entire offense rests on his shoulders.

Summary

Utah returns a very experienced team that performed well last year. A&M’s returning starters come from the worst Aggie football team in over two decades. Utah will not need the time to gel that A&M will require. While Utah played as ugly a game as possible last year they almost pulled out a victory in Kyle Field. A&M’s defense will not be solid early in the year especially against Utah given the Utes ability to run, pass to experienced wideouts, and dual threat QB Alex Smith.

Regardless of the respective conferences of each team, Utah appears to be the more talented of the two teams. They are the more experienced team. They are the home team in a nationally televised game on ESPN against a historically poor road team in A&M. Coach Urban Meyer in no way takes a back seat to Franchione. They are simply the better team and in my opinion they should be able to collect a double digit win.


If you click the link and scroll down a bit I also have a Texas A&M season preview for anyone interested. As I said on another thread this is just my personal, absolutely free, no touting, no service, and certainly no way to give me money even you really wanted to personal website that I work on simply because I like to write.

Other games I like:
Texas Tech
Texas
Oregon State
Houston (still researching this one)


Either way let me hear your thoughts about the thursday night or weekend match-ups. I'd love to get a good discussion going on the merits of either side and I certainly don't mind being wrong since I've done it so often
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please leave the leading statements to your site, and the links out of our forums please.....we have a promotions area for that.......thank you
 

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I like Houston to put up a lot of points...it's a game I'm still looking at as well.
 
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I think Utah is gonna be the Joe Public pick of the week .. I like A&M to hang in this one.
 

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About the Texas A&M vs. Utah game

I've heard three main reasons for betting A&M in this game.

1. Franchione always has a 2nd year turnaround. I agree he does in fact have a favorable history in this respect, but Urban Meyer cannot be discounted here either. In Meyer's first season Utah faired better than most thought and as I stated above, coach vs. coach is a wash at best for A&M right now.

2. A&M is more talented: In time this may be true, but in my mind at this point in time Utah is the more talented team. Most of A&M's talent resides in their freshman and RS freshman classes. It's difficult to count on inexperienced youth to come through early in the season on the road. Let's look at their LB's for example. A&M brought in 3 or 4 JUCO LB's to add instant depth and hopefully upgrade their starting talent. For the opener I believe the starting LB's will be the same as last year. That tells me the fresh meat hasn't gotten it yet. This will be a fluid situation, but expecting inexperienced players to step up in as many positions as needed may be a stretch.

3. Utah is overated/public favorite: It's true that Utah may prove to be one of the more overrated teams this year. However this line originally came out as Utah -2.5 or -3 if I remember correctly and that seemed an absolute steal to me. The line has moved against Utah since then pretty heavily. A&M is living off a name right now IMHO. If we were looking at the exact same team, but they were in the WAC or Sun Belt I don't think anyone would hesitate to back Utah in this one.



About the Houston-Rice game:

The only thing that worries me Rice's offensive explosion at the end of last year. The triple option offense can be tough to run, but Rice is returning a ton of starters and have a senoir laden OL that should know what it's doing by now.

Houston of course is making a turn around as well and has a potent offense. As unlikely as it may be this match-up could turn into a high scoring shootout type game. I can't seem to find a total anywhere though as I'm pondering an over bet as well.


Like I said before let's keep the discussion rolling. I don't care about being right or wrong I just like to hear all sides so if you have an opinion let me hear it.
 
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Utah 12-1 ATS vs. non conf. opp. recently
31-17 ATS in non conf. since 1990
5-1 ATS vs. current Big 12 opp. since 1982


A&M 2-18 ATS away vs. .500 > opp.
2-8 ATS on artif. turf since 1999
2-11 ATS in road oppeners since 1991
 
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GameCenter Tickets
Utah vs. Texas A&M

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I didn't write it, so don't bitch about the 1936 comment.


Preview
GAME: Texas A&M at Utah
TIME: 7:30 p.m. EST
VENUE: Robert Rice Stadium
Texas A&M once boasted the type of program that Utah hopes it is on its way to building.

The Utes, who climbed into the AP Top 25 last season for the first time in seven years, look to build on that success when they open the season against the Aggies on Thursday night.

Utah was one of the nation's most surprising teams last season, going 10-2, winning the Mountain West Conference and beating Southern Mississippi 17-0 in the Liberty Bowl. The Utes finished the season at No. 20 in the poll, and open this season with the same ranking, giving the school its first spot in the preseason Top 25.

Texas A&M, meanwhile, has gone 10-14 the last two seasons. From 1985-1999, the Aggies had a final ranking no lower than 20th each season except 1996 and 1998, a year in which they were ineligible.

All that changed in the last four seasons, during which the Aggies were never ranked.

However, one of the 2003 high points for Texas A&M came in a Sept. 6 home victory over Utah, as the Aggies dealt the Utes one of their two losses.

Utah coach Urban Meyer knows it will take continued improvement for his team to gain more recognition. The Utes are still a few steps away from being a perennial Top 25 team, but exacting a measure of revenge from Texas A&M would be a start.

"Here's a good way to put it: We're a Top 25 team. We don't have a Top 25 program," said Meyer, the Mountain West Conference Coach of the Year in his first season with Utah. "Programs reload. We're not there yet."

Utah returns 15 starters, including junior quarterback Alex Smith. Smith took over as the starter in the third game last season and had a breakout year, completing 173 of 266 passes for 2,247 yards and 15 touchdowns with just three interceptions. He also had 149 carries for 452 yards and five TDs.

Utah is deep at tailback. Mike Liti, who stepped in as a freshman last fall when Brandon Warfield hurt his knee, entered fall camp as the starter, and Marty Johnson is getting another chance after his second drunken driving arrest. Johnson was suspended for a year and reinstated this month after going through treatment and staying sober.

On defense, Utah has seven starters back. Replacing defensive back Dave Revill and linebacker Ray Holdcraft will be a challenge, but the Utes are still solid in that area.

"We're more experienced," Utes defensive back Morgan Scalley said. "We know what to expect and I think we're in better shape."

Dennis Franchione, entering his second season as the Aggies' coach, is trying to rebuild a team that has finished fifth in the six-team South Division two straight years. Coming off a 4-8 season that was A&M's worst in 31 years, Franchione hopes to end the deterioration of a program that once dominated the division.

"Year two is always much easier than year one," Franchione said. "We've been through a season full-cycle now, where last year every day was a new day."

The Aggies return only eight players from a team that lost its final three games by a combined score of 168-37, including a 77-0 rout at Oklahoma and a 46-15 home loss to archrival Texas.

The rebuilding starts with the Aggies' defense, which allowed a school-record 465 points.

Reggie McNeal, a junior, will start at quarterback again, even though he missed all of spring practice recovering from surgery to his non-throwing shoulder. McNeal passed for 1,782 yards with eight TDs and seven interceptions, numbers that show he struggled at times in Franchione's complex scheme but give no hint to his athleticism, strong arm and playmaking ability.

Texas A&M has won both its meetings with Utah. The Aggies beat the Utes 20-7 in 1936.
 
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Dan i gotta agree with you. This years version of the Aggie defense will be better, but hell, they have nowhere to go but up. The linebacking corp, which used to be a strength remains the weak link this year, and the 4 JC signees they had, the "marquee" guy wont even be on campus till January and the other 3 are projected backups. As for the rest, they are counting on true freshmen contributing immediately on the D-line and their secondary simply average. They will put some points on the board sure, but the D, i believe, wont be able to hang. And after a 1-11 ATS record last year, it looks like deja vu all over again. I'll keep going to the well till it dries up....Utah -8.5
 

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Go with A&M, they are lead by a good coach and Utah is overrated. I cant believe they give A&M 8 points. They have a very good chance to win this game.
 

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For those wanting to hear from an Aggies perspective. Texas A&M set a number that it wanted each player to lift. Last year, the Aggies had two that could do it. This year the Aggies have 35 that can do it. This is typical of a Coach Fran team. Last year Fran basically redshirted both lines for the team. So, the team will have improved lines that are stronger but inexperienced. I look for the game to be decided in the fourth quarter. Don't forget that Reggie has beefed up and improved greatly!
 

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Gemba, nightmare-


i hope both of you are right. I enjoy the local Texas-Texas A&M rivalry when both schools are solid. I attended both universities which gives me a different perspective than most. Regardless I do believe A&M will be better, but how that translates to W/L's remain to be seen.

I think the high player turnover in the off season will be good as I've heard many people talking about the dissention some of the older guys had with Franchione due to their RC loyalties. Having more team unity will help these guys not flat out quit as I'm convinced they did just that last year.

Gemba, I'm not sure how in the loop you are although I see you live in BCS. What are you hearing about the rumored injury to Courtney Lewis. I see USA today lists him as probable and I'm hearing all sorts of wild stuff, along with the mundane, but I can't really believe anyone I'm hearing from.

USA Today injury report
 

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Gemba-

Thanks for the info. I guess we'll know for sure in just a few hours now. Good Luck.
 

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Can't say I'm terribly surprised by this one. Hopefully time will make A&M better, but Utah's experience, talent edge, and coaching came through in spades tonight.
 

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