Road favs going into their bye like Miami over Oak fates pretty well......although it wasn't considered normal road game, Oak was considered the home dog.
The trend of teams doing poorly ATS before their bye week is only since the lockout in 2011. Part of the agreement made when ending the lockout was that players got their entire bye week off. No practices, no meetings, nothing. So teams since 2011 were playing poorly before a bye week. Kind of like when people with regular jobs half ass it at work on their last day before a vacation. So you really should only be looking at games since 2011.
That trend worked great 2012 when the new rules allowing players vacation time came into effect.
17-5 ATS http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=925621&highlight=
But last year coaches figured out a strategy?
11-13 ATS http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=973634&highlight=
I will follow this year but not tracking/posting here unless anyone really cares to see it. Was originally thinking it may be a trend worth looking into, but last year regressed to under 50%. I don't see it hitting at anything better than 60% so not worth it.
17-5 ATS http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=925621&highlight=
But last year coaches figured out a strategy?
11-13 ATS http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=973634&highlight=
I will follow this year but not tracking/posting here unless anyone really cares to see it. Was originally thinking it may be a trend worth looking into, but last year regressed to under 50%. I don't see it hitting at anything better than 60% so not worth it.
Thanks for reminding me though.
Let's keep an eye on how KC and NWO do this week. Interesting for me because I was already leaning SF and TB.
Teams playing before a bye vs teams that weren't : 11-13 ATS. Don't believe me have a look. I played everyone last year. All documented http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=973634&highlight=
And there isn't 38 teams in the league. 24+14=38
Edit*
11-17 ATS - I forgot to tally the final week because it fell hard. 0-4 the final week.
So as many expected. This trend was short lived.
