TCU -vs- Baylor What am I missing here?

[CFBFan]

TCU has not loss a regular season game since 2008...

Baylor has barely shown signs of life...Loosing 38 to 14 to a very average Illinois team in its first bowl game in what seems like forever.

How is this spread only at TCU -3.5 ... which is down a full point from the opening line?

TCU has one of the better coaches in football and one heck of a good defense, yes they lost 6 starters but the coordinator is still there so I don't foresee a big drop off in their play. Has Patterson forgotten how to coach? Did Baylor have a top 5 recruiting class? No ...

So what the heck am I missing here? hno:

 

[BigdaddyQH]

At one time, TCu was -6. I have no idea why the sudden influx of money on Baylor. They are a 6-6 type team in the Big 12-2-1. I guess this is a good game to lay off of.

 

[HawkerJimbo73]

I feel exactly the same on all the points you made. Who knows if a Friday night primetime game will be what Baylor needs to keep them energized enough to stick around? That, and 4 returning starters on the O-Line are about the only thing I can see that they have going for them. I have this game pegged at TCU by 17. I have NO idea why this line is so low, and rather than try to over-analyze it, I'm sticking to my guns and playing TCU. I feel like this line should have been going up, and yet it continues to drop. But like you, maybe I'm missing something. BOL

 

[TheCommish]

Baylor can score pts quick, there problem lies on Def. If it turns into a shoot out Baylor QB has skills to move the ball fast, does TCU? TCU can pound the ball on the ground, with the loss of Fire Crotch I wonder may be the difference....Hence the -3.5.

 

[HawkerJimbo73]

Baylor has the more experienced line on both sides of the ball, and I think that plays a huge factor for the first game of the season in keeping this game closer than 45-10 like last year, but coaching is also a huge factor this early. How well will TCU be prepared? I'm guessing pretty well. And we're still talking about Baylor here. I think this game is close, possibly even Baylor in the lead for a while... UNTIL the second half. The line move and the fact it opened a lot lower than I thought it would makes me second-guess myself, but I'm gonna be a square this week and take TCU. The better coached team will pull away late. So yes, this will be a nail-biter until the 4th quarter, but we aren't talking about covering 10 here. -3.5 should be no problem in my opinion (or in my case -4). I like my chances with a number that low.

 

[krk1030]

TCU QB making his first start of his career.

 

[BigPapaPat]

Is this an example of the weekday game with a home dog that everyone loves? I like TCU here by double digits as well. Although I started my football year (0-4-1) last night so I may be a fantastic fade right now. I like what someone said eariler in the thread that I am not going to over think this and just stick with my play that I have capped.

 

[HawkerJimbo73]

TCU QB making his first start of his career.

Very good point, but I've always looked at that as a first quarter/first half kind of issue. He won't be nervous the entire game. The same goes for the inexperienced line. That's why I really feel as though TCU will start slow and Baylor will be up early, but the later the game gets, the more you will see TCU gain control. At least that's what I hope will happen haha.

 

[cloverleaf]

I have TCU -4.5 and would play them at up to -6.5.

Baylor has one damn good QB but I don't think he plays defense.

Maybe he should cause the Bear D ain't going to stop the Frogs.

 

[TlankfordAU]

game has stay the fuck away written all over it. however, being a degenerate does not allow this. Glad I don't have to take anything straight and teased it 10 points with FIU and MSU last night. Game is tough

 

[CFBFan]

I just took it at TCU -3 (115) at Betonline.

The extra .05 will not kill me and I like TCU's D to shut down Baylor. I just can't seem to get over the fact that Baylor only scored on bad teams for the most part last year. Against any decent D they struggled.


BOL on whatever you play tonight!

 

[jageshpatel]

tcu -3 (buying the half point) for me.....

 

[Bradfordrayd]

This game has me scratching my head as well. I just can't imagine Baylor's defense being able to stop TCU for a whole 4 quarters, and I can't imagine TCU's defense letting Baylor run(or pass) wild at any point. Usually in these situations I end up being wrong... I might throw a small bet on Baylor and the over if it drops any closer to 52.

 

[DesertNole]

How important is experience without talent? Baylor's defense has been an abomination for as long as I can remember, one of the worst in the country year in and year out. Coach briles is an offensive coach, could care less about defense and it shows on the field. they have an experienced group of inferior talent. Tcu has better players, better coaches, and a more balanced approach to fielding a team. I will take my chances on this one take the better program.

 

[taylor13]

i think this game will start pretty slow. baylor isnt going to lose the game in the 1st qtr like they did last year, and tcu will try to let pachall settle in and settle down at the start. thats the only reason the over scares me. pachall is not a bad qb, he isnt robert griffin either who is arguably one of the best athletes in college football. Art Briles is a hell of an offensive coach, and Patterson is one of the best coaches in college football.

I wanted to be on Baylor +7, thats not going to happen now obviously. In the past, when Patterson talks like he is talking in the media this week, TCU shows up, but i cant pull the trigger. I'm a TCU fan, so i'm just going to watch and enjoy this one. If I had to bet it, I'd take TCU

 

[taylor13]

How important is experience without talent? Baylor's defense has been an abomination for as long as I can remember, one of the worst in the country year in and year out. Coach briles is an offensive coach, could care less about defense and it shows on the field. they have an experienced group of inferior talent. Tcu has better players, better coaches, and a more balanced approach to fielding a team. I will take my chances on this one take the better program.

Baylor's defense will be much improved with Gary Bennett being the new D coordinator....i didnt say they were going to be good, but they will be improved. running a 4-2-5 now, and moved some of their athletes from the offensive side of the ball to the defensive side, much like Patterson does with his 4-2-5 D

 

[GoSooners]

The linesmakers set this line at TCU -6.5. So what are you betting on here, that TCU will perform worse than expected, or Baylor will perform better than expected?

 

[pathologist]

Tcu will be stout on d,that's 1 thing u can count on,Baylor will have trouble scoring

 

[escrow]

That would be Phil Bennett, former SMU head coach.

 

[taylor13]

yea, your right escrow