Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers 11/18/2012

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Expect a close game with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers winning 54% of simulations, and the Carolina Panthers 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers commit fewer turnovers in 62% of simulations and they go on to win 75% when they take care of the ball. The Carolina Panthers wins 80% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Doug Martin is averaging 88 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. Cam Newton is averaging 55 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 66%.
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