In the cc round we found out stats and trends stomped a mud hole in "wants", but the 20pt system continued to roll as it was designed to do. (more on that in a bit)
this years playoffs have been lined razor sharp by oddsmakers keeping bettors on the edge of thief seats until the final gun in the majority of the games...I don't see that changing.
first let's roll out the trends...
**the dog is 9-3 ats in the last 12 sb's (Seattle)
**the sb team who had the smaller margin of victory in thier cc win have won 8 of the last 12 sb's su (Seattle)
**the sb team who scored less but allowed more in their cc win have went 5-0 ats s 88. (Seattle)
all trends say seattle, the math however (20pt system), says different...sorta.
the #'s for the teams are sea+21 and den-1.
the team with the lower# has went 7-1 su and 8-0 ats s 05 with an 11-3-2 ats mark s 96.
there is although a trend in the trend with this, since 03 there have been 5 sb's where the participants #'s have seen a 17+pt difference, in these games the dog covered 4 times and 4 of the games were decided by 4 or less (3 by 3pts).
now taking into account the lines makers accuracy this year, what the trends say, and what will appease the 20pt system, there can only be one outcome..a Denver win by 1pt.
seattle up late by 2, a heroic Peyton manning drive late, followed by a game winning field goal by guess who...
i'll more up before Sunday if I can get this new pad working by then.
GAME.
this years playoffs have been lined razor sharp by oddsmakers keeping bettors on the edge of thief seats until the final gun in the majority of the games...I don't see that changing.
first let's roll out the trends...
**the dog is 9-3 ats in the last 12 sb's (Seattle)
**the sb team who had the smaller margin of victory in thier cc win have won 8 of the last 12 sb's su (Seattle)
**the sb team who scored less but allowed more in their cc win have went 5-0 ats s 88. (Seattle)
all trends say seattle, the math however (20pt system), says different...sorta.
the #'s for the teams are sea+21 and den-1.
the team with the lower# has went 7-1 su and 8-0 ats s 05 with an 11-3-2 ats mark s 96.
there is although a trend in the trend with this, since 03 there have been 5 sb's where the participants #'s have seen a 17+pt difference, in these games the dog covered 4 times and 4 of the games were decided by 4 or less (3 by 3pts).
now taking into account the lines makers accuracy this year, what the trends say, and what will appease the 20pt system, there can only be one outcome..a Denver win by 1pt.
seattle up late by 2, a heroic Peyton manning drive late, followed by a game winning field goal by guess who...
i'll more up before Sunday if I can get this new pad working by then.
GAME.
