Suns 2nd half total (YTD: 14-3)

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Oh boy!
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This is not Golden State playing again. Sure, the pace will slow a little in the second half but Kobe has started to heat up. I've seen many games where Kobe starts out slow and then heats it up in the second half.

The Lakers were in the penalty meaning that the refs were calling their fair share of fouls. But, come on, if they can score 128 points in the 1st half they can score 105 in the second.
 

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been loving your threads and look forward to every Phx HT; from watching this game, Kobe heated up but cooled off after the TO when he hit 4 in a row; I don't think Lakers can keep up

Suns have way too many options than the Lakers and are much more athletic. THat being said, I like Phx +1 1/2 even more than the O 104 1/2

BOL for Suns & Over in 2H!
 

Oh boy!
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Glad you've been able to cash STB.

It looks like this bet is not the right one tonight. However, I'm hoping OT will bail me out.

I'll have to adjust my system to think about going for the under when both teams have been scoring well in the 1st like last night with GS and tonight with the Lakers.
 

Oh boy!
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2nd half score:
LA 49, Phx. 46 (under)

Sorry to anyone who has followed this pick but we learned something tonight about this team. After both teams scored over 120 points in the 1st half (last night and tonight) they have scored somewhere around 95 points in the second. We'll use this information the next time this happens. It could be sooner than you think.

YTD: 14-4
 
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quantam

read my post in your tuesday play thread. I have a system in there that I think can help your 2nd half plays. I'm not arguing with 14-4 which is fantastic but it would of produced 2 winners when you lost your last 2 2nd half total bets.

good luck
 

Oh boy!
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Sportsrmylife:

Most excellent post my good man (in my Tuesday 2nd half thread). Thanks for taking the time to post that. This is the first real year I have been betting NBA so I am limiting myself to the Suns, Spurs and another subset that I am ready to bring out. Point being, I can learn a lot.

In the past the Suns games have been rather equal halfs, each being around 90-100 points. I believe the last 2 games have been different in that the teams have scored 120+ points in the 1st half. Your response in my other thread somewhat reflects my post in this thread. That is, when the teams score a lot in the 1st half, consider the under in the 2nd. However, you have elaborated it a bit better.

Thank you for contributing. Can I help you out in any way?
 
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your welcome quantum. Anything to help a player out. Well do you have a system that you are using right now for the 2nd half plays or just going game by game and playing by feel?

I have been playing for about 8 years now, and seriously for about 5. I have lost a ton of money in the past years and have slowly started to learn about play selection and to have good thinking behind your plays. I have just asked other cappers at all the boards and found trends and systems that work over and over again. I am love spotting wierd vegas lines, for example the tampa bay -1.5 vs altanta this past sunday. well atlanta is 9-2 to an average tampa bay team. in the past I would of hammered the falcons but through experience I have learned that that is what vegas wants and instead hammered the bucs for an easy 27-0 win. Now I also have lost games thinking that way too like the nd/indiana game last night. well good luck and keep working hard. I hope to do this all the time in the future if I feel that I have enough in my bag of tricks and just do it at vegas legally.


later
 

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hi quantum, thanks for your help with the half times, i look forward to your new subset. sports my life, thank you also for those two systems, it sounds like they are winners and i shall watch for those situations again thanks to both you
 

Oh boy!
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You're welcome tendog.

Sportsrmylife, people on this board sometimes don't like it when we give our systems because they feel it gives more people an advantage and it causes the books to set the line differently. I don't know about that but since you gave me one of your systems here is my new subset.

"If a home favorite is favored by more than 5 points for the game and trails at the half by more than the 2nd half line, bet the home favorite for the 2nd half."

The reasoning behind this is that if the home favorite is favored by more than 5 points for the game, they should be able overcome the line to win the game. Out of the 10 games I've monitored, 9 have beaten the 2nd-half line. Some teams have even beaten the 2nd-half line even if it is more than the amount the team is behind.

It sounds kind of convoluted. If anyone would like me to reword it I will try. Sorry I haven't responded sooner but I'm working on a big project at work. I'll try to do a better job of checking in.
 

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