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Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Haven't been here in a while, but saw some plays for today that caught my eye and thought I'd post after being prodded by a few people in here...

Already bet the Minnesota Timberwolves on the overnight line...Had to, I knew this line would skyrocket as the day went on...

Minny -4.5
-- This line was going to climb through the roof in my estimation...It was about to hit 5 when I bet it and went to 5 very shortly after I bet it...As I type this, it's obvious to me it's going to hit 5.5 very soon...Going to go with the "new coach syndrome" as the reason for this play...When Mike Fratello took over for Hubie Brown, MEMP covered their first game (at Home vs. Philly)...When Michael Cooper took over at Denver, the Nuggets actually won and covered their first game under him (at Home vs. Philly)...When George Karl took over for Coop, Denver rallied from a 4Q deficit to beat MILW at Milwaukee...I do not look at the Lakers situation as the same...Rudy T was not fired as the coach, he stepped down due to illness...

GM Kevin McHale takes over and should garner some instant respect from these spoiled, selfish, high-priced athletes at Minnesota...Throw in the fact that this is a revenge game after CHI beat Minny on DEC 11...Also, throw in the fact that Minny has beaten CHI at Home at least 5 straight times (margins of victory 5, 24, 53, 10 & 18, and I didn't go back farther than 5 years)...And lastly, throw in the fact that Minny is coming off an 18-point thrashing at Utah their last outing where they were outscored by 22 in the 2nd half and I would say that this is a great spot for the T'Wolves to show up and play some high-quality basketball in front of the Home crowd for the first time in months...

I would bet this game as soon as you can though, the line will CLIMB...

I am also looking at Miami and Sacramento as possible plays today...

Miami Pick -- in a revenge spot vs. SA on National TV...Miami hasn't played a quality opponent in 3 games and all 3 of those games they looked like a team that was sleep-walking at times...They won all 3, but didn't cover any of them...This is a revenge spot for a NOV 12 loss at SA, but if you remember, Dwayne Wade did NOT play in that game due to a sprained ankle...BIG difference here this time around...SHAQ finds ways to will his team to win big games on National TV...Miami has SUCKED vs. the West this year, and I'm sure they are sick and tired of hearing about how they are just 11-10 SU vs the West and 3-6 SU vs Western teams with winning records...Miami has more motivation, they are the play here...And hey, at a Pick, you don't even have to give points...

Sacramento -3 -- Kings have lost 4 in a row...First time since April of 2000...Not sure if I need to say more...Revenge spot for Boston, but I don't think that matters here...SAC should be ready and raring to go here, they need a win...

That's it for now, there may or may not more plays as more lines come out...

GL...
 

RELAX,im just having fun
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its great to see you over here brewers7!:howdy: i'll follow ya today. good luck my friend.~RG
 

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Thank you and GL to you, too...

Time to see who ACE-ACE and AFLGuru have today in Arena Football...I was leaning to Philly Over, but we'll have to see what they endorse over there before I put any loot on those games...
 

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I bet MINN yesterday at -4 -05 pretty big and some fh at -2.5 today...generally agree with you, BUT McHale is NOT a coach and Cooper at Denver is closest comparison. I recall Denver was pretty lucky to win and cover that one.

I think MINN gets off to a fast start with a certain electricity in the air. Barring a HUGE lead, however, I think the Bulls make it a close finish. Then you have McHale in crunch time making decisions. If I am right, I recommend hedging with the Bulls in the second half.
 

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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All 3 lines are moving in my favor...I LIKE that...Cassell not playing probably the reason for that Minny move...Hoping for 2-out-of-3 day at worst...
 

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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dolphin:

not a bad idea, the hedging...

I watched the end of that Philly game with Denver (Cooper's first game) and Denver hit 4 free throws in the final 10-to-15 seconds to cover by 1/2-a-point...Memphis barely covered, too (by 1.5 points) but I still thought that was very impressive because Philly was in bounce-back mode after a 30+ point loss the previous game...
 

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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And I don't believe that it matters one iota if McHale is a "real" coach or not...He's at all the games, he sees all the rotations, he probably even has his own ideas about mixing and matching some players, and the fact that he took over tells me he DOES have some ideas...

Point is, this is the shot in the arm these players and this team NEEDS to turn this MESS around...Whether it pans out or not for an ATS win and some money made remains to be seen...
 

EX BOOKIE
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brewers7 said:
Thank you and GL to you, too...

Time to see who ACE-ACE and AFLGuru have today in Arena Football...I was leaning to Philly Over, but we'll have to see what they endorse over there before I put any loot on those games...

me and them on diff sides...if you got the time ....in the afl for last year how many home vs away ats and dog vs fav ats...points that matter this year is 1 out of 16 games...... still the line over 99 1/2 is 5-0 under....i got sj 106 to go under...got the line early!!!

thanks

ace
 

Pour your misery down on me
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Nice to see you posting your plays again .I`m on miami big ,good luck on your plays!
 

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