Sunday Week #12 [Indepth analysis and bets]

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*****Handicapping information copied & pasted from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc., USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power, B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~[Cleveland OH] Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Mike Stewart NFL Capper, Sports Analyst Robert Vinaltti, Harold Johnson NFL Analyst, Kyle Davis NFL Capper, Sam Trever NFL Capper, Steve Davis NFL Analyst, Sal Siciliano ,NFL Capper, Harvey DeCarlo NFL Capper Bobby Lancer NFL Analyst Handicapper, There Exclusive Ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT ~



****** Friday's Bet Early [ analysis on my Friday's thread. My Bet the Commanders, I snagged this bet at -$600 X 10 the Press... I want to make this bet early as possible for me. This money line will only go up!!!!

Tennessee Titans (2-8) vs Houston Texans (6-4)

I will be betting Texans. On Monday Houston posted 391 total yards (250 passing) and 21 first downs in a pretty nice overall effort against a struggling Dallas squad. The Texans' defense gave up points in only the second quarter and the whole team finished strong with a couple of unanswered fourth-quarter scores to cap things off. Titans have an average scoring margin of -9.3 points per game and have lost six straight against the spread. Their O/U record is 5-4-1, with their games averaging 43.3 points per game, compared to an average line of 40.4.

Heading into week 12, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17, and rank 25th in yards per game with 295.4. Tennessee ranks 27th in passing yards per game (178.4) on 30.7 attempts per game, and they are 18th in rushing yards per game (117) on 26.8 attempts. On third down, they rank 26th with a conversion rate of 33.6%, but they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 48.3% of their trips, which ranks 7th in the league. That makes 22 or more points in seven of the last eight games for Houston, and it was a nice bounce-back after a tough loss to Detroit.
As for Tennessee, they’re coming off a sloppy game against the Vikings with 13 penalties for 91 yards. The Titans mustered 294 yards on offense (33 rushing) with just 11 first downs and a tepid 6-of-15 on third-down conversions. Tennessee hasn’t gotten past 20 points for six straight games, a 1-5 stretch. It’s hard to imagine the offense waking up for this one.


In week 11, C.J. Stroud threw for 257 yards (23/34) in a win over the Cowboys. Joe Mixon rushed for 109 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Tank Dell led the team with 54 receiving yards. Before Dell’s 54-yard game, John Metchie III had 74 yards in week 10, and Dell recorded 126 yards in week 9. The Texans’ defense played well in their 34-10 win over the Cowboys, recording five sacks and holding Dallas to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up 324 passing yards on 33 completions, they limited the Cowboys to just one passing touchdown. Houston’s run defense was also effective, allowing only 64 yards on 18 attempts. My Bet Texans -6 1/2 [Buying a full Point] & Hedging the Money Line -$380 X 6 [Press ]. 6 Point 2 Team Teaser Texans -2 & Commanders - 4.

Denver Broncos (6-5) vs Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)

The Raiders may not have their top two running backs here, which would push Abdullah into the starting role. Their receiving corps is mediocre at best as outside of Bowers, there isn’t a target you can count on to move the chains with any regularity. This game is going to be lower scoring. The Broncos are averaging 21.4 points per game, and they aren’t going to run up the score here. I believe they might score 20 points, but they aren’t going to go higher than that here. The Raiders offense overall has been a major issue, and they are going to really struggle to get anything going here. They might struggle to get seven points. Denver had a massive showing in their win over Atlanta as Nix had a career day. The Broncos already dusted the Raiders by double figures at home last month. While Denver is 0-4 in Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium since the Raiders moved, that trend comes to an end here as the Broncos roll to a win. Broncos Money Line -$260 X 2 [ Press] With a 2 Team 6 Point Teaser Broncos Even & Commanders -4



My Bets & Teasers

Commanders -$600 X 10 the Press.

6 Point 2 Team Teaser Texans -2 & Commanders - 4.

My Bet Texans -6 1/2 [Buying a full Point.

Texans Money Line -$380 X 6 [Press ].

2 Team 6 Point Teaser Broncos Even & Commanders -4.

Broncos Money Line -$260 X 2 [ Press]

3 Team 6 Point Teaser Texans -2 & Commanders - 4 & Broncos Even




 

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H/Hat.....solid looking card buddy....
BOL with your action....indy
 
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Thank You Vinny!!!! Well, I been on good roll last couple Sundays, so what that said Vinny: Let's all Win!!!!!!
 
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The Commanders will have a chip on their shoulder in this one as they enter on a two-game losing streak and head coach Dan Quinn will be playing vs. his old team. I’m expecting Quinn to make a statement and tell the Cowboys loud and clear that they should have kept him around and given him a shot at their head coaching job. Dallas’ redzone defense is dead last in the NFL as it allows opponents to score touchdowns 74.29% of the time. Meanwhile, Washington’s redzone offense ranks 8th in the NFL over their last three games as they’re scoring touchdowns 72.73% of the time.
 
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FL picks, predictions for Texans vs. Titans

Vinnie Iyer, Sporting News: Texans 24, Titans 16

Iyer:
"The Titans' defense has tried to get gritty to keep them in games, but there are still bigger holes there when the offense has little ball-moving consistency. The Texans are OK pounding away on the Titans with the run, which will help C.J. Stroud get more comfortable throwing downfield."

Bill Bender, Sporting News: Texans 26, Titans 20

Bender:
"The Titans have lost four of their past five games by 10 or more points, and they are 1-4 S/U on the road. Houston is working on a short week after Monday Night Football, but C.J. Stroud will cook at home with an offense that found its rhythm on Monday Night Football. Six of the past eight meetings have been decided by seven points or less. Tennessee hangs around in an AFC South game, but the Texans close out in the fourth quarter."

Jeremy Cluff, Arizona Republic: Texans 24, Titans 16

Cluff:
"The Texans are 4-1 at home this season, one of the better home teams in the NFL. That's bad news for the Titans."

Pete Prisco, CBS Sports: Texans 31, Titans 21

Prisco:
"The Texans are playing on a short week, but they looked better on offense against Dallas with Nico Collins back. The Titans will have trouble stopping them this week, so look for the Texans and C.J. Stroud to play well. Will Levis won't keep up."
 
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Houston has been one of the best first-quarter teams in the NFL this season, and I expect them to hop on the Titans early and coast the remainder of the game with the running attack. That will lead to a bleeding clock and a lower-scoring game. Entering this divisional meeting, Houston is third in the NFL in first-quarter points, and I expect the Titans' miscues to continue fielding such a young offensive group. Tennessee boasts a strong defensive unit, so expect them to adjust to the Texans' offense and hold them at bay for the remainder of the game. Tennesse is third in yards allowed per play (4.8) and the defense will be on the field a lot in this game. Take the under in what should be an easy Texans win.
 

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I teased Houston thinking same….

“should be an easy Texans win”…..

I see Ravens winning next 2

HTH good luck….
 

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If you don't have anything good to say, next time try thinking before pressing 'send'.
 

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