DR. CHUCK NCAAB
Game: (841) Indiana State at (842) Evansville
Date/Time: Feb 23 2020 2:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider:
Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Indiana State -140
View Analysis
If the spread made a LICK OF SENSE (and subsequent move)...I would be hammering this is as a 5% TOP play of the week type spot! As it stands I personally am playing the spread at -3 as well (and ML as a 5% or bigger) and think this is nearly a double digit game...if the Aces care and/or have the ability to stay this close!
To be honest, I have looked pretty hard to find a reasoning and the best cases I can find to back Evansville this hard and with this much vigor...to move this at some books by nearly a point and a half...is just the mere fact they haven't won a single MVC game. Hard to throw money on something purely based upon fading futility. Especially when the winning of the game is what they need to come off the shnide...and the Sycamores were -10.5 favorites at home a month ago against the McCarty-less Aces and won the game by a final disgusting score of 65-42...COVERING the spread by more than double!
Indiana State is off a huge home win over Northern Iowa, shaking up the top of the league a little more...but ISU to win by a bucket and we cover this....just looking at past 5 games to eliminate things like the previous matchup blowout...Evansville has a 100 offensive efficiecy and -8 efficiency margin, cannot rebound on either end of the floor, and allow extremely excellent shooting to every opposing offense, no matter how solid or pathetic...at 54% EFG against. The Sycamores have put up a 95 defensive efficiency, don't turn the ball over on their possessions, and don't allow opponents to shoot from deep...actually allowing 28% from deep! On top of all this, Evansville is epically bad committing fouls, getting worse...and can't get to the line on their own end! Certainly Indiana State is worse on the road, Evansville is better on their home court and even came close to a couple wins last 2 games at home....but I don't see the Sycamores ability to turn over the opponent, their protection of own possessions, and their own ability to neutralize a close game with great 3 point shooting not being something to make this only as close as half the previous matchup!
BOOM GOES THE DYNAMITE!
adding a couple bonus plays to this as well......
Game: (843) So Illinois at (844) Northern Iowa
Date/Time: Feb 23 2020 2:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Northern Iowa -6.0 (-110)
View Analysis
These are gonna some PISSED OFF Panthers today at home with the Salukis visiting.....
Ben Jacobson hasn't had one of those nasty March Madness noisemaking type squads in a few years now...although they almost feel like a perennial one for much of the season...but this year he SURE AS HELL DOES...and he won't let studs AJ Green and Austin Phyfe overlook this monster game today...most definitely (ahem) deciding the MVC regular season top seed! Next up is Evansville at home followed by Drake on the road...and despite outright losses in consecutive fashion to Loyola and Indiana State, they are still up by 1 game in the loss column and cannot be topped if they win out and finish 14-4!
On top of all that...they LOST OUTRIGHT to SIU last game by a bucket, with AJ Green having 2....2 chances at an outright win late in that contest...he won't forget that either...and with nothing to look ahead to, all eyes on this contest alone, a much superior roster, and this insane DESIRE to finish off an otherwise spectacular season!
While I also like (and will be playing the full game as well) the full game...I worry that could be pushing it to expand to an 11+ point W when late in this game I think it will be in full control and no real need to hammer the Salukis into submission or create animosity.
This and the Sycamores game and I think we are going to take the MVC and make it our bitch today, let's cash some easy winners!
Game: (307999) Loyola Maryland at (308000) West Lafayette Boilermakers
Date/Time: Feb 23 2020 2:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Loyola Maryland 4.0 (-110)
