Preview: Tampa Bay at Atlanta
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 1, 2015
Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia
The Atlanta Falcons got back to their winning ways last week, but they wouldn’t mind winning with a bit more style when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. The Falcons look to improve upon a sluggish victory last week at Tennessee as they try to keep pace with undefeated Carolina in the NFC South race.
It’s a matchup of two of the NFL’s leading – and most surprising – rushers in Atlanta’s Devonta Freeman, who leads the league in yards (621) and touchdowns (nine), and Tampa Bay’s resurgent Doug Martin, who ranks third with 541 yards. Atlanta’s offense has struggled with turnovers, though, committing eight in the last three games, and matched its season low with 378 total yards in last week’s 10-7 win over the Titans. The offense wasn’t the issue last week for the Buccaneers, who put up a season-high 479 total yards but blew a 17-point halftime lead in a 31-30 loss at Washington. The Falcons have won five of the last seven meetings between the NFC South rivals and swept the Buccaneers last season, including a 56-14 drubbing in the last clash in Atlanta.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Falcons -7. O/U: 48.5
ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (2-4): Martin has topped 100 yards rushing in three straight games, providing the balance needed to allow rookie quarterback Jameis Winston to settle in at the helm of the offense. Winston threw seven interceptions in his first four games, but the top overall pick has been excellent in the last two contests, going 34-for-48 for 507 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. The defense ranks sixth in the NFL in total yards (328.2 per game) but is tied for last in scoring (29.8) thanks to a league-worst red-zone defense that has allowed touchdowns on 75 percent of opponents’ trips inside the 20.
ABOUT THE FALCONS (6-1): The recent rash of turnovers has slowed an offense that looked unstoppable early in the season, but Freeman continues to impress, topping 100 yards rushing in three straight games and four of the last five. Quarterback Matt Ryan has endured two poor performances in the last three games, however, and star receiver Julio Jones has been limited to 72.5 receiving yards per game over the last four contests after averaging 146.7 in the first three games. Atlanta got away with the subpar offensive showing last week thanks to a dominant defensive effort – allowing a season-low 256 total yards – and has been especially tough against the run, keeping six of its seven opponents under 100 yards on the ground.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Ryan has won six of his seven home starts against the Buccaneers and has a 152.8 rating, six touchdowns and no interceptions in the last two meetings in Atlanta.
2. Tampa Bay has recorded a takeaway in 12 consecutive games, the team’s longest streak since a 13-game run spanning the 2009 and 2010 seasons.
3. Buccaneers WR Vincent Jackson, who has 30 catches for 393 yards and four TDs in his last four games against Atlanta, is expected to sit out with a knee injury.
ATS Trends
Tampa Bay
•Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Buccaneers are 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 games in November.
• Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
• Buccaneers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games on fieldturf.
• Buccaneers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. NFC.
• Buccaneers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Buccaneers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 8.
• Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Atlanta
•Falcons are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 8.
• Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Falcons are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Falcons are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
OU Trends
Tampa Bay
•Under is 6-0 in Buccaneers last 6 games in November.
• Over is 7-1 in Buccaneers last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 6-1 in Buccaneers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 vs. NFC South.
• Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 6-2 in Buccaneers last 8 road games.
• Under is 9-3 in Buccaneers last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
• Under is 8-3 in Buccaneers last 11 vs. NFC.
• Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 11-5 in Buccaneers last 16 games overall.
Atlanta
•Under is 4-0-1 in Falcons last 5 vs. NFC South.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Falcons last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Under is 7-1-1 in Falcons last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 5-1-1 in Falcons last 7 vs. NFC.
• Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 home games.
• Under is 7-2-1 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
• Under is 14-4 in Falcons last 18 games in November.
• Under is 6-2-1 in Falcons last 9 games on fieldturf.
• Under is 48-19-4 in Falcons last 71 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Head to Head
•Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
• Favorite is 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings.
• Home team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 1, 2015
Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia
The Atlanta Falcons got back to their winning ways last week, but they wouldn’t mind winning with a bit more style when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. The Falcons look to improve upon a sluggish victory last week at Tennessee as they try to keep pace with undefeated Carolina in the NFC South race.
It’s a matchup of two of the NFL’s leading – and most surprising – rushers in Atlanta’s Devonta Freeman, who leads the league in yards (621) and touchdowns (nine), and Tampa Bay’s resurgent Doug Martin, who ranks third with 541 yards. Atlanta’s offense has struggled with turnovers, though, committing eight in the last three games, and matched its season low with 378 total yards in last week’s 10-7 win over the Titans. The offense wasn’t the issue last week for the Buccaneers, who put up a season-high 479 total yards but blew a 17-point halftime lead in a 31-30 loss at Washington. The Falcons have won five of the last seven meetings between the NFC South rivals and swept the Buccaneers last season, including a 56-14 drubbing in the last clash in Atlanta.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Falcons -7. O/U: 48.5
ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (2-4): Martin has topped 100 yards rushing in three straight games, providing the balance needed to allow rookie quarterback Jameis Winston to settle in at the helm of the offense. Winston threw seven interceptions in his first four games, but the top overall pick has been excellent in the last two contests, going 34-for-48 for 507 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. The defense ranks sixth in the NFL in total yards (328.2 per game) but is tied for last in scoring (29.8) thanks to a league-worst red-zone defense that has allowed touchdowns on 75 percent of opponents’ trips inside the 20.
ABOUT THE FALCONS (6-1): The recent rash of turnovers has slowed an offense that looked unstoppable early in the season, but Freeman continues to impress, topping 100 yards rushing in three straight games and four of the last five. Quarterback Matt Ryan has endured two poor performances in the last three games, however, and star receiver Julio Jones has been limited to 72.5 receiving yards per game over the last four contests after averaging 146.7 in the first three games. Atlanta got away with the subpar offensive showing last week thanks to a dominant defensive effort – allowing a season-low 256 total yards – and has been especially tough against the run, keeping six of its seven opponents under 100 yards on the ground.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Ryan has won six of his seven home starts against the Buccaneers and has a 152.8 rating, six touchdowns and no interceptions in the last two meetings in Atlanta.
2. Tampa Bay has recorded a takeaway in 12 consecutive games, the team’s longest streak since a 13-game run spanning the 2009 and 2010 seasons.
3. Buccaneers WR Vincent Jackson, who has 30 catches for 393 yards and four TDs in his last four games against Atlanta, is expected to sit out with a knee injury.
ATS Trends
Tampa Bay
•Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Buccaneers are 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 games in November.
• Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
• Buccaneers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games on fieldturf.
• Buccaneers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. NFC.
• Buccaneers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Buccaneers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 8.
• Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Atlanta
•Falcons are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 8.
• Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Falcons are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Falcons are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
OU Trends
Tampa Bay
•Under is 6-0 in Buccaneers last 6 games in November.
• Over is 7-1 in Buccaneers last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 6-1 in Buccaneers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 vs. NFC South.
• Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 6-2 in Buccaneers last 8 road games.
• Under is 9-3 in Buccaneers last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
• Under is 8-3 in Buccaneers last 11 vs. NFC.
• Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 11-5 in Buccaneers last 16 games overall.
Atlanta
•Under is 4-0-1 in Falcons last 5 vs. NFC South.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Falcons last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Under is 7-1-1 in Falcons last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 5-1-1 in Falcons last 7 vs. NFC.
• Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 home games.
• Under is 7-2-1 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
• Under is 14-4 in Falcons last 18 games in November.
• Under is 6-2-1 in Falcons last 9 games on fieldturf.
• Under is 48-19-4 in Falcons last 71 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Head to Head
•Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
• Favorite is 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings.
• Home team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.