Sunday Bet O The Day 5/17

[OccamsRazor]

PLAYOFFS 2008/2009
YTD 16-11 (59%)
SIDES 5-7 (41%)
TOTALS 11-4 (73%)

I've preached here constantly that you always want to back the more motivated team. In Boston who do you think it'll be?

You get a chance to take the World champions at home in the 7th game and only have to lay 2???

What I said to Megan Fox last night in a dream when she kept asking permission to go down on me, is the same response I had to only having to lay 2 in Boston: "Are you fucking shitting me"?

BOSTON-2 (<)<

Megan wasn't that bad. She liked to get her hair pulled and her nipples bit. She got a little too rough for my liking, but simmered down after I gave her a hard spanking and told her to behave,

"Yes Daddy I'm sorry."

"Megan go get my razor and some shaving cream."

"Yes Daddy, why?."

"You'll see baby, you want to be Daddy's little girl don't you?"

"Yes Daddy!"

 

[diop]

rofl megan fantasies... i agree tmw. boston and lakers should do it.

 

[dangots0uL]

YES with the Megan Fox fantasy.

NO with the best

 

[diop]

did u tease the line btw.. my books showing -2.5

 

[dangots0uL]

he got it early... let it climb and take ORLANDO =P

 

[ou8thisSN]

I dont see it... Boston, as good as they were last year, had plenty of chances to close this series out. They have fallen apart time and time again. I hope it works out for you, but its either orlando or no play for me.

 

[OccamsRazor]

I dont see it... Boston, as good as they were last year, had plenty of chances to close this series out. They have fallen apart time and time again. I hope it works out for you, but its either orlando or no play for me.

???

Orlando has been the ones falling apart time and time again and that's exactly the reason I like Boston at home. Looking for Orlando to fall apart yet one more time. I can't believe people are backing the worst freethrow shooting team in the league. Chances could be that for the cover Orlando will be up on the line. I like that. Another fact you can't ignore. Orlando's 3point shooting has been in the toilet all playoffs. Plus look at Orlando's assist per game ratio, negative. Orlando misses Nelson more than their backers are willing to see.

 

[tijuana dirtbag]

Boston could be done as a contender.

Orlando is ranked as a more powerful team by most experts.

Celtics still a better bet (I ain't betting the Magic in Boston).

 

[OccamsRazor]

Boston could be done as a contender.{have to wait till after the game to answer that one}

Orlando is ranked as a more powerful team by most experts. {Unfullfiled expectations do not make a team powerful}

Celtics still a better bet (I ain't betting the Magic in Boston). {your loss}[/quote]

Good Luck TJ, in whatever you decide to bet.

 

[tijuana dirtbag]

Thanks for the luck sir...

I follow you're picks and you definitely more sharp than the rest of these guys. I mean, you are a razor...

Boston just seems like they are on the decline without KG.

In the regular season, Orlando did have one of the highest rankings of all the teams according to different indexes. Without KG, they are ranked higher than the Celts.

But the Celts are still the Celts, so I'd be suprised if they lose.

Not betting this one anyway, I cashed out a 13 unit win Wednesday, and I'm good for now...

 

[crazyivan]

In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series from 1947 through the 2009 NBA Preliminary round, home teams in Game 7 have an 82-20 (.804) record in all rounds, and a 38-7 (.844) record in the Quarterfinals. The Boston Celtics have a 17-3 home-court Game 7 record

Side note: the Los Angeles Lakers are 10-1 on their home court in Game 7.

 

[OccamsRazor]

Occam's Diary 2009.Entry#32,354

"I liked both UNDERS in today's 7th games, but after some number crunching and looking at the results objectively, What I like, what I believe, what I think is going to happen and my opinion of what should happen is diametrically opposed to What Is happening.


My opinion of what I like to happen, has zero effect and is worthless in view of the Objective goings on before me.

Pass


When 'What I like' agrees with 'What is happening objectively' I have a bet; ala Boston-2.

Neuroeconomics coupled with gaming theory probability is revolutionizing decision making in positive expectancy gambling games I believe".


Occam 09

 

[mrcrash]

Agree with you. This is such an easy bet, not a lock or any of that sh*t but this is the best bet of the day.

 

[kingking]

BOL occams, thank you for sharing your insights. OR, truly The Peoples Capper. :toast:

 

[OccamsRazor]

Boston never in it. Orlando found their 3 point stroke before the Celtics in this series and that's all she wrote. Also both of my UNDER leans hit and of course I didn't bet them.

I take solace in the fact that I didn't bet the Celtics OVER my head. I really liked them and salivated at only having to lay 2 at home in a 7th game. Increasing your bet size and losing really creates havoc to your bottom line. I can't understand players that use a 5 star method of money management,or anything where your betsize keeps fluctuating, you're only going to be as good as your 5 stars dictate so why not just bet all 5 stars? anyways I'm rambling. I'm just happy I get a chance to quickly make up this one loss.

Just another game in the long run, lets see what the week has in store. GL

Congrats to Orlando, they deserved it.