Sunday 9/14/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Week 2 LVH SuperContest NFL Picks By Most Contestants (0-4-1 Last Week)
1New Orleans -3By 361
2NY Giants +4.5By 343
3Baltimore -6.5By 259
4Indianapolis -2.5By 244
5Arizona +1.5By 230
Week 2 LVH SuperContest NFL Picks By Widest Margin (0-4-1 Last Week)
1New Orleans -3By 231
2NY Giants +4.5By 226
3Baltimore -6.5By 174
4Indianapolis -2.5By 64
5Arizona +1.5By 56
 

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Somebody can tell me where I can find `red suit `...? I try to find them on the internet but no succes...
 

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English Championship TODAY 13:15
Nottm ForestvDerby
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12/5

21/10

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KEY STAT: Derby have lost just one of their last 11 league matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Stuart Pearce has built on his hero status with the Nottingham Forest faithful but he may taste defeat when arch-rivals Derby arrive at the City Ground. Forest look stronger than last season but Derby were last term’s Championship top scorers and will pose their toughest test so far.

RECOMMENDATION: Derby
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Italian Serie A TODAY 14:00
FiorentinavGenoa
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KEY STAT: The last three meetings between these teams have produced 18 goals

EXPERT VERDICT: Fiorentina have scored 11 goals in their last three games against Genoa but will be less potent minus Giuseppi Rossi, who continues to be crocked. Genoa looked really good for long periods in defeat by Napoli last week and carry a real goal menace in Chile’s Mauricio Pinilla. Games between these two tend to be open and this should be no exception.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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German Bundesliga 1 TODAY 14:30
E FrankfurtvAugsburg
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ESPN5/4

23/10

11/5

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KEY STAT: Eintracht Frankfurt have won one of their last seven Bundesliga matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Last season’s surprise package Augsburg have suffered a difficult start to the new season but this looks an ideal opportunity to pick up a positive result. Eintracht Frankfurt have been flattered by their four points from two matches and in time the summer departures of Sebastian Rode and Sebastian Jung will hurt.

RECOMMENDATION: Augsburg
1


 

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Spanish Primera Liga TODAY 16:00
ValenciavEspanyol
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9/2

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT VALENCIARECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Espanyol haven't kept a clean sheet in any of their last 11 league games

EXPERT VERDICT: Valencia's solid start to the season should continue against an Espanyol side who still look vulnerable defensively. Both teams have scored in eight of the Catalan outfit's last nine matches in La Liga but Valencia had a good home record against the weaker teams last season and should pick up another victory.

RECOMMENDATION: Valencia
3


REFEREE: STADIUM: Mestalla, Valencia

 

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English Premier TODAY 16:00
Man UtdvQPR
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KEY STAT: United have won their last four league games against QPR

EXPERT VERDICT: Manchester United weren’t shy about dipping into the war chest over the summer, and an array of star signings will be looking to impress against QPR. Rangers should improve as their own new signings settle in but they’ve scored only one goal in three league games this term, losing twice.

RECOMMENDATION: Man Utd 2-0
1


REFEREE: Phil Dowd STADIUM:

 

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German Bundesliga 1 TODAY 16:30
HannovervHamburg
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KEY STAT: Hamburg have lost nine of their last ten Bundesliga away matches

EXPERT VERDICT: New season same old Hamburg. A 3-0 defeat at home to Paderborn as already left the Dinosaurs on the back foot and they can’t be trusted anywhere even though Hannover are modest opposition. Home forward Joselu looks the man best placed to take advantage of Hamburg’s shambolic defence.

RECOMMENDATION: Joselu first goalscorer
1


 
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Inside the Stats - Week 2
By Marc Lawrence

It was Mark Twain who once said, “There are three kinds of lies – Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics.”

With Week One of the 2014 NFL season, and two weeks of college football action, now in the history book it’s time to examine how the games have been actually played on the field, as opposed to the scoreboard, from both an ‘ATS’ (Against The Spread) and a statistical ‘ITS’ (Inside The Stats) perspective.

Note that all results are ATS in games played this season through Monday, September 8th unless noted otherwise.

NFL: San Francisco-Chicago

It’s What’s Trending

From a weekly NFL column I am writing in the USA TODAY SPORTS WEEKLY, here are the hottest trends on this week’s card supplied by my well-oiled machine, the database:

-- Baltimore is 14-1 SU at home in games off a loss, including 5-0 SU and ATS the last five.

-- Carolina is just 5-15 SU and 5-14-1 ATS in home openers since entering the league, including 0-8-1 ATS as a favorite.

-- Chicago is a mind-boggling 0-11-1 ATS in games after battling an AFC opponent, and also 0-8 SU and ATS in its last eight games in San Francisco.

-- Dallas is a dazzling 9-0 ATS as a dog in its last nine AFC tilts.

-- Miami is a meager 4-19 SU and 2-20-1 ATS in division games off a win when facing a foe off a SU underdog win.

Stat Of The Week

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck is 10-0 SU and ATS in games off a loss in his NFL career.
 
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Gridiron Angles - Week 2
By Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Chiefs are 11-0 ATS since September 28, 2008 as a dog when facing a team that gets less than 55% of their first downs via the pass.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Seahawks are 0-11 ATS (-10.86 ppg) since 2007 on the road when on exactly a 1 game SU and ATS winning streak.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

-- Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall are 0-21-2 ATS (-9.0 ppg) in their careers after a game where Cutler had at least 20 completions and 1 or 2 TD passes, if at least three of those completions went to Marshall.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Fortyniners are 11-0 OU as a 7+ favorite when they were up by at least a TD at the half and won by double-digits last week.

NFL O/U TREND:

-- The Bears are 10-0 OU since October 2012 on the road vs a non-divisional opponent.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

-- Teams which have a line in week two and least eight points lower than in week one are 46-61-4 ATS. Active against Green Bay, Washington, Indianapolis
 
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Total Talk - Week 2
By Chris David

Week 1 Recap

It’s safe to say that the sportsbooks were happy with the results from the opening weekend. Not only did the underdogs post an 11-5 record, but the ‘under’ went 9-7 in Week 1 and those outcomes usually benefit the house. The ‘over’ did go 3-1 in the four primetime games last weekend and two of those games also watched the favorite cash, which is never good for the guys behind the betting counter.

In 16 games last week, the Favorite-Over combination connected three times for parlay bettors. One of those results included the Eagles, who doubled-up the Jaguars 34-17. Philadelphia trailed 17-0 at the break and eventually took a 24-17 late in the fourth quarter. On the ensuing possession, the Jaguars fumbled and the Eagles turned the mistake into seven points. Instead of Jacksonville-Under, some bettors were fortunate to cash Eagles-Over.

Total System to Watch

Outside of hard work and commitment, a great tool for increasing your handicapping and wagering skills is to surround yourself around other individuals that share the same passion. I keep in touch regularly with a handful of users via email and welcome all the discussions and feedback. With that being said, I received an email from a VegasInsider.com user who prefers the moniker A86 earlier this week and he reminded me of a great system from last year that was very simple to follow.

During the 2013-14 regular season, there were 17 games played on Thursday. If you took the home team in that matchup and played the ‘over’ in their following game, regardless of the venue, you would’ve seen this angle produce an eye opening 14-2-1 (88%) record.

We’ll find out this Sunday if this trend is something to watch or fade when Seattle visits San Diego in Week 2. The Seahawks-Chargers total is hovering around 44 points. Make a note that the Seahawks have averaged 30.5 points per game in their last four road matchups against AFC opponents and the ‘over’ cashed in all four.

Divisional Battles

The first week of the NFL season had five divisional battles and the ‘over’ went 3-2 in those games. On Thursday, Baltimore defeated Pittsburgh 26-6 and the ‘under’ was never in doubt.

There are two more divisional games on tap for Week 2.

Miami at Buffalo: The total on this matchup is hovering between 43 and 44 points. The ‘under’ is on a 6-2 run in this series and during this span, only one game has seen 45 or more combined points. Miami has been held to 15 points or less in three of their last four trips to Buffalo.

Kansas City at Denver: Oddsmakers sent out 52 on this game and the number has dropped to 50 ½ points as of Saturday evening. Since Peyton Manning arrived in Denver, the Broncos have scored 17, 38, 27 and 35 points against the Chiefs. The ‘under’ has gone 2-1-1 during this stretch. I’m a little surprised the early money has come in on the ‘under’ especially when you look at the form of the Chiefs. Going back to last season, the defense is allowing 34 PPG in their last seven games. Plus, I think we all agree that Denver doesn’t get held in check at home and it will be facing a unit that has already been hit by injuries.

AFC vs. NFC

Last year was all about the ‘over’ in non-conference matchups and after watching the results from Week 1, it’s apparent the pendulum has swung the other way. The ‘under’ went 3-1 and should’ve been 4-0 if it wasn’t for the lucky ‘over’ ticket in the Jaguars-Eagles game.

The sample size for AFC-NFC matchups doubles to eight games for Week 2.

Jacksonville at Washington
Dallas at Tennessee
New England at Minnesota
New Orleans at Cleveland
Atlanta at Cincinnati
Seattle at San Diego
N.Y. Jets at Green Bay
Philadelphia at Indianapolis

Line Moves

As of Saturday evening, we haven’t seen much movement in the totals market. Only two games have moved at least two points based on openers from CRIS.

Jacksonville at Washington: 45 to 43
Arizona at N.Y. Giants: 44 ½ to 42 ½

Click here for the latest moves!

Under the Lights

As mentioned above, the ‘over’ went 3-1 in the primetime games in Week 1. According to the oddsmakers, we could be in for two more shootouts in Week 2 and I'm having a hard time disagreeing with the opening numbers.

Chicago at San Francisco: The Bears and 49ers both watched the ‘under’ cash in Week 1 but this number is telling me to play the ‘over.’ This ‘over/under’ l is listed at 48.5 and we emphasize that because this is the highest total that the 49ers have seen at home since 2002 when they hosted Kansas City, according to VI Expert Marc Lawrence. SF is now known as ‘over’ team and if you look at their last 12 games played in September, it has scored 24 or more points eight times. Last year, Chicago watched the ‘over’ go 6-2 on the road and its defense didn’t hold a single opponent under 20 points.

Philadelphia at Indianapolis: This game has the highest total on the board (53.5) and based on what you saw from both teams in Week 1, it’s hard to make a case for the ‘under’ in this situation. Indianapolis is off a 31-24 loss to Denver last week and it should be noted that QB Andrew Luck has never lost back-to-back games during the regular season. In the 10 follow-up contests after a loss, the Colts have scored 25.3 PPG. Even though it left points off the board, Jacksonville scored 17 on Philadelphia’s defense in Week 1, which tells me Indianapolis should get a minimum of five to six scores on Monday. Last year on the road, the Eagles offense averaged 31.5 PPG and that number is very obtainable against a weak Colts unit.

Fearless Predictions

The season is still young but I wasn’t pleased with a 2-2 start, especially after I watched the replay of the Ravens-Bengals matchup. The two teams combined for nine scores but unfortunately six of them were field goals. Baltimore actually had a shot to tie the game late but QB Joe Flacco’s pocket presence was horrible and they came up short, which was a $420 difference in our bankroll.

As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Eagles-Colts 53.5
Best Under: Jets-Packers 46
Best Team Total: 49ers Over 27.5

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Over 44.5 Eagles-Colts
Over 40 Falcons-Bengals
Over 39 Bears-49ers
 
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Week 2 Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Patriots (-6, 48) at Vikings – 1:00 PM EST

Week 1 Results:
-- The Patriots blew a 17-7 lead in a 33-20 setback to the Dolphins as three-point road favorites. New England suffered its first opening week loss since 2003.
-- The Vikings put together the best wire-to-wire performance in the opening week by dominating the Rams, 34-6 to cash outright as three-point underdogs. Minnesota picked up its first road victory since 2012 after going 0-7-1 on the highway last season.

Previous meeting: The Patriots held off the Vikings, 28-18 on Halloween day back in 2010 to cover as five-point favorites. Since 2002, New England owns a perfect 3-0 record against Minnesota, which includes a 31-7 blowout of the Vikings at the Metrodome in 2006.

What to watch for: The Vikings will be without star running back Adrian Peterson, who was deactivated after getting charged with child abuse in Texas. With Peterson’s absence, this line jumped from 3 to 6, as the Patriots have won seven straight games since the start of the 2012 season off a loss. The Vikings officially move from indoors to outdoors with its first full season at TCF Bank Stadium on the campus of University of Minnesota. Since 2011, Minnesota owns an incredible 9-1 ATS record as a home underdog.

Saints (-6 ½, 47 ½) at Browns – 1:00 PM EST

Week 1 Results:
-- The Saints couldn’t close out their division rivals as three-point favorites, as New Orleans fell at Atlanta in overtime, 37-34. New Orleans’ defense allowed 578 yards, while squandering an early 13-0 lead.
-- The Browns fell behind the Steelers, 27-3 on the road, but Cleveland rallied back to tie things up at 27-27 in the fourth quarter. In spite of the Browns losing on a last-second field goal, 30-27, Cleveland managed a cover as 5 ½-point underdogs.

Previous meeting: Cleveland stunned New Orleans, 30-17 as 12-point away ‘dogs in October 2010, as the Browns returned a pair of Drew Brees interceptions for touchdowns. The Saints won in Brees’ and Sean Payton’s debut with the team at Cleveland Browns Stadium to open the 2006 season, 19-14 as three-point ‘dogs.

What to watch for: New Orleans has failed to cover its last five opportunities in the road favorite role, which includes an 0-4 ATS mark last season. The Browns own a profitable 8-4 ATS mark the last three seasons as a home underdog, but Cleveland has dropped five consecutive home games to NFC opponents.

Seahawks (-6, 44 ½) at Chargers – 4:05 PM EST

Week 1 Results:
-- The Seahawks began their title defense with a resounding 36-16 rout of the Packers to easily cash as 4 ½-point home favorites. Seattle has now won 18 of its past 19 games at CenturyLink Field.
-- The Chargers couldn’t hold onto a 17-6 fourth quarter advantage in an 18-17 setback at Arizona on Monday night. San Diego covered as three-point underdogs to improve to 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 opportunities in the ‘dog role.

Previous meeting: How times were different four years ago. The Seahawks upset the Chargers as 3 ½-point home ‘dogs, 27-20 in September 2010, even though San Diego racked up 518 yards of offense. Seattle was aided by a pair of Leon Washington kickoff returns for touchdowns, as none of the Seahawks’ current key offensive weapons were on that team.

What to watch for: San Diego has won seven of its past 10 home contests against NFC foes, but have dropped three of its past four in the home underdog role. The Seahawks started the 2012 season at 1-4 on the road, but Pete Carroll’s squad has put together a 10-2 SU/ATS record in the past 12 contests on the road, which doesn’t include the Super Bowl blowout of Denver this past February.

Jets at Packers (-8, 46) – 4:25 PM EST

Week 1 Results:
-- The Packers are put in a must-win situation this week after getting blasted at Seattle, 36-16. Green Bay accumulated just 255 yards of offense, while falling to 2-6 ATS as a road underdog since 2012.
-- The Jets totally outplayed the Raiders, but didn’t cover as a 6 ½-point home favorite in a 19-14 victory. New York outgained Oakland, 402-158, as Oakland scored a late touchdown to pick up the backdoor ATS win.

Previous meeting: The Packers took care of the Jets in a thriller at Met Life Stadium, 9-0 as 6 ½-point underdogs in 2010. Green Bay kicked three field goals in the victory, as the Packers took advantage of three Jets’ turnovers. New York routed Green Bay in its last visit to Lambeau Field, 38-10 back in 2006, as the Jets built a 31-0 halftime lead behind Chad Pennington.

What to watch for: Green Bay has covered seven straight home games as a touchdown favorite or higher when Aaron Rodgers plays from start to finish. On the flip side, the Jets are 5-1-1 ATS the last seven games as a road underdog of at least seven points. Since beating the Steelers in Super Bowl XLV, the Packers have won eight of their past 12 games against AFC opponents.

Chiefs at Broncos (-11 ½, 51) – 4:25 PM EST

Week 1 Results:
-- The Chiefs’ offense couldn’t get going in a 26-10 home loss to the Titans. Kansas City’s lone touchdown came in the fourth quarter, while Alex Smith threw three interceptions in the defeat as three-point favorites.
-- The Broncos cruised to a 24-0 lead over the Colts, but Indianapolis rallied back to cover as eight-point ‘dogs as Denver won 31-24. Peyton Manning avenged last season’s loss to his former team by tossing three touchdowns in the second quarter.

Previous meeting: Denver took care of Kansas City twice last season, including a 27-17 triumph as 7 ½-point home favorites to hand the Chiefs their first loss following a 9-0 start. Manning hasn’t lost to Kansas City in four tries since signing with the Broncos in 2012, while outscoring the Chiefs, 65-20 in the past two matchups at Sports Authority Field.

What to watch for: The Broncos have 16 of their past 18 home games, but we need to dig deeper since Denver is such a huge favorite. Denver owns a 5-1-1 ATS mark in this span as a double-digit home favorite, while posting a 12-1 SU and 8-4-1 ATS record against AFC West foes. Since 2011, the Chiefs have covered seven of nine teams as an underdog of at least nine points, but Kansas City is 2-8 in its past 10 visits to Denver.
 
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Sunday's Top Action

DETROIT LIONS (1-0) at CAROLINA PANTHERS (1-0)
Line & Total: Carolina -3, Total: 43.5
Opening Line & Total: Panthers -3 & 44

Two 1-0 teams square off in Charlotte on Sunday with the Panthers hosting the Lions.

Detroit debuted its new offense at home Monday night and it was a major success. The Lions racked up 417 yards of total offense and defeated the Giants 35-14. WR Calvin Johnson had seven receptions for 164 yards and two touchdowns. Carolina played its opening game without QB Cam Newton (ribs), who will likely be the starter in Week 2. The Panthers went into Tampa Bay and stole a road win 20-14, and their defense will look to make Lions QB Matthew Stafford as uncomfortable as possible. However, Newton will also be up against a dominant front seven. He could be in trouble if he’s not moving as well after fracturing his ribs in the preseason.

These teams have played six games since 1995. The Panthers are 4-2 SU in those meetings (3-1 SU at home), but Detroit has covered in five of six. The Lions are 3-15 ATS off one or more straight Overs in the past three seasons. Carolina is 3-1 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog during that time. Lions S Don Carey (hamstring) is questionable for the game on Sunday and RB Reggie Bush (knee) is probable, but there are no other significant injuries for either team.

The Lions were dominant on Monday night against the Giants and a lot of that had to do with the play of QB Matthew Stafford. While WR Calvin Johnson hauled in two first-quarter touchdowns, Stafford made some excellent plays using his footwork that allowed him to find his go-to guy down the field. Stafford threw for 346 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions in the game. He also rushed for a touchdown. WR Golden Tate made his Lions debut in the game and he certainly didn’t disappoint. Tate caught six passes for 93 yards working opposite of Johnson.

The offense, however, can’t take all the credit for the win, as the defense caused two turnovers and sacked Eli Manning twice for a loss of 19 yards. They could give the Panthers’ fits defensively. Carolina is rolling out a brand new receiving corps and just played a game with their backup quarterback. The Lions will need to take advantage of the Panthers’ adjustment to the arrival of Cam Newton.

With Newton out for Week 1, the Panthers turned to veteran QB Derek Anderson. Anderson has never been much of a threat as a quarterback, but he managed the game against Tampa Bay beautifully. Filling in for Newton is no easy task, but Anderson threw for 230 yards with two touchdowns and zero interceptions. He took care of the ball and gave his team a chance to win the game. Rookie WR Kelvin Benjamin looked great in his NFL debut, hauling in six catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. He will face a shaky secondary with the Lions and could be in for yet another big game.

TE Greg Olsen was targeted 11 times against the Bucs and finished with eight receptions for 83 yards and a touchdown. He is the most experienced pass catcher on this team, and Newton will certainly look his way often all season. The Panthers defense, however, was the story in the opening week. They forced three turnovers in the game and had the Buccaneers offense confused all day. They now face a very difficult task in stopping a potent Lions offense.

ARIZONA CARDINALS (1-0) at NEW YORK GIANTS (0-1)
Line & Total: Arizona -3, Total: 43
Opening Line & Total: Giants -2.5 & 44.5

The Giants look to avoid an 0-2 start when they host the Cardinals in their home opener on Sunday.

Arizona scored just six points in the first half of their opening week game despite some big plays. In the fourth quarter, the Chargers had a 17-6 lead before the Cardinals started to click. QB Carson Palmer led two touchdown drives with the second one coming with just over two minutes left to give Arizona the 18-17 victory. The Giants, however, were demolished in Detroit, as QB Eli Manning threw two interceptions in a 35-14 loss. This Giants defense could struggle with Carson Palmer after allowing Matthew Stafford to throw for 345 yards and two touchdowns. The Cardinals defense, on the other hand, made timely stops against Philip Rivers and the Chargers.

Since 1992, the Giants are 9-3 SU and 6-5 ATS when hosting the Cardinals in New York. Even with last week's non-cover, Arizona is still 6-1 ATS in the first two weeks of the season since 2011. Tom Coughlin, however, is 43-28 ATS in the first half of the season as head coach of the Giants. S Tyrann Mathieu (knee) and LB Alex Okafor (thigh) are listed as questionable for the Cardinals, while LB John Abraham (concussion) is out indefinitely. New York WR Odell Beckham (hamstring) is out indefinitely, and a couple of linemen are both questionable in DT Markus Kuhn (ankle) and OT James Brewer (back).

The Cardinals faced a lot of question marks heading into Monday night, but they responded with a big 18-17 victory in their home opener. The Arizona defensive line was dominant all night, allowing just 52 yards on the ground on 24 carries. They allowed 238 passing yards, but when they needed stops, they got them. The offense wasn’t nearly as consistent, struggling during the first half before eventually getting it going. QB Carson Palmer threw for 304 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Both touchdowns came in the fourth quarter on drives of 10 plays and 11 plays respectively.

Top RB Andre Ellington was a question mark coming into the game, but he looked great despite his injured foot. Ellington rushed for 53 yards on 13 carries and also added five receptions for 27 yards through the air. WR Larry Fitzgerald was held to just one reception for 22 yards, but fellow WR Michael Floyd stepped it up with a huge performance. Floyd had five receptions for 119 yards, including a 63-yard reception when the Cardinals were pressed up against their own goal line. They now have a matchup against a Giants offense that really struggled against the Lions.

New York's debut of its Green Bay Packers-inspired offense could not have gone worse. QB Eli Manning struggled behind a faltering offensive line, throwing for 163 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. He did not seem to have the timing down with his receivers that is required in this offense. New RB Rashad Jennings, however, had a very solid debut for the Giants. Jennings rushed for 46 yards and a touchdown while also hauling in four receptions for 50 yards. He will have a gigantic role in this offense this season. WR Victor Cruz was targeted six times in the passing game, but was able to bring in only two catches for 24 yards. The Giants defense really didn’t give Manning much of a chance though. They allowed Matthew Stafford to throw for 346 yards and were unable to cause a single turnover in this contest.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (0-1) at DENVER BRONCOS (1-0)
Line & Total: Denver -12.5, Total: 51.5
Opening Line & Total: Broncos -12.5 & 52

Two AFC West rivals collide on Sunday when the Broncos host the Chiefs.

Kansas City got off to a terrible start in Week 1, getting embarrassed 26-10 by the Titans in Arrowhead Stadium. QB Alex Smith struggled with 3 INT in his team’s defeat. Denver, on the other hand, took down the Colts 31-24 behind 269 yards and three touchdowns from QB Peyton Manning. If the Chiefs defense had that much trouble against Jake Locker and the Titans, they’ll be in for a long day facing the best offense in the league. The Broncos defense also looked excellent at times against the Colts, so Alex Smith will really need to get his offense going.

Last season, the Broncos won-and-covered in both meetings with Kansas City, including a 27-17 victory as a 7.5-point favorite at home. The Chiefs are 16-5 ATS as a double-digit underdog since 1992. Denver, however, is 19-7 ATS in games played on a grass field over the past three years. In addition to the absorbing a loss in the standings, Kansas City also lost both LB Derrick Johnson and DE Mike DeVito with season-ending Achilles injuries. Also, S Eric Berry (quad) and Husain Abdullah (quad) are listed as questionable for the Chiefs, but the Broncos have no significant new injuries.

After signing a big contract extension in the offseason, Chiefs QB Alex Smith had a horrible season opener, throwing for 202 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions. Smith had not thrown that many picks in a regular-season game since October 14, 2012, and he will need to make better decisions against an improved Broncos secondary. Head coach Andy Reid must also call the game better from the sidelines, as he completely dropped the ball with his opening week gameplan with allowing star RB Jamaal Charles to get only seven carries in the game.

If the Chiefs are going to have any chance against the Broncos, Charles will need to have a great game. WR Donnie Avery led the team in receiving with seven catches for 84 yards, and the return of suspended WR Dwayne Bowe should really help open up the field for the rest of this offense. The Chiefs defense was a major letdown in the opening week, but it could get worse as they face the best offense in the NFL.

Peyton Manning’s season started off the right way with the quarterback picking up right where he left off from his record-setting 2013 season when he threw for 5,477 yards and 55 TD. He’ll look to exploit a Kansas City defense that is now depleted with injuries and coming off a game where they made the Titans look unbeatable. RB Montee Ball is now the featured back in this offense and he started off the year with 23 carries for 67 yards and a touchdown. He also caught two passes for 16 yards.

TE Julius Thomas, however, was the Broncos’ most utilized weapon. Thomas caught all three of Manning’s touchdown passes and finished with seven receptions for 104 yards. With WR Wes Welker suspended, Denver made it a goal to force the ball to the athletic tight end. DE DeMarcus Ware’s Broncos debut was a good one, as he had 1.5 sacks and two QB hits in the game. He will add a pass-rushing element to this defense that the team lacked a year ago. Rahim Moore was also excellent for Denver. The safety intercepted Andrew Luck twice in the opener, and will make Alex Smith pay if he makes any mistakes like he did in Week 1.
 
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Bears visit 49ers

CHICAGO BEARS (0-1) at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (1-0)
Line & Total: San Francisco -7, Total: 48.5
Opening Line & Total: 49ers -7 & 48

Two powerful offenses will go up against one another when the 49ers host the Bears on Sunday night.

Chicago got off to a poor start to their 2014 NFL season. Hosting the Bills in Week 1, the Bears committed some costly turnovers and suffered a 23-20 overtime loss. Chicago will need to take better care of the ball as it is up against a San Francisco defense that is more than willing to gamble in pursuit of causing turnovers. The Niners didn’t disappoint in their Week 1 game, erasing a miserable preseason by destroying the Cowboys on the road. San Francisco moved the ball with ease against a poor Dallas defense, and they should be able to put up points against an injury-depleted 49ers squad, but stopping that offense will be the more difficult task.

These teams last met in November of 2012 when the 49ers beat the Bears 32-7 as 3.5-point home favorites. Chicago is 0-8 ATS off a non-conference game over the past three seasons, but are a solid 30-23 ATS (57%) since 1992 after being outrushed by 75+ yards in its previous game. WRs Alshon Jeffery (hamstring) and Brandon Marshall (ankle) are listed as probable for the Bears, while OT Anthony Davis (hamstring) and DB Chris Culliver (concussion) are questionable for San Francisco.

The Bears lost to the Bills in the type of game that could really come back to haunt them at the end of the year. RB Matt Forte was by far the team's top player in the game, rushing for 82 yards while also catching eight passes for 87 yards. Chicago will need to give him more carries in short-yardage situations, as the club threw far too often in third-and-short scenarios. QB Jay Cutler threw for 349 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw two costly interceptions. He will need to emphasize ball security against a 49ers defense that will take plenty of chances in order to get the ball.

WRs Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall will likely play in this game after combining for 13 receptions with 142 yards and a touchdown in Week 1. They’ll usually rack up more yards than that, but they still did their part. TE Martellus Bennett caught eight passes for 70 yards and a touchdown, showing that he'll be a big part of this offense working the middle of the field while Marshall and Jeffery draw defenders away. Where Chicago really struggled in the opener was against the run. The Bears let Buffalo rush for 193 yards and a touchdown in the game. Frank Gore and Colin Kaepernick will be looking to torch this rushing defense, so Chicago will need to find a way to stop them.

The 49ers defense got off to a great start this season, holding a potent Cowboys offense to just 17 points in Dallas. They have dealt with a number of injuries and suspensions so far this season, but they seemed to have held up just fine in Week 1. They’ll need to be ready to defend against a Bears offense that is equally as explosive in the run game as they are through the air. QB Colin Kaepernick was excellent against the Cowboys, going 16-for-23 with 201 yards and two touchdowns, while not turning the ball over once. WR Anquan Boldin was his favorite target with fellow WR Michael Crabtree playing through a calf injury. Boldin was targeted nine times and hauled in eight passes for 99 yards. He should be a big part of the offense again on Sunday.

TE Vernon Davis caught four passes for 44 yards and two touchdowns. He’ll continue to be a red-zone threat, as he is Kaepernick’s favorite target when they get in scoring territory. The 49ers will need to do a better job of establishing the run early. They rushed for 127 yards and a touchdown as a team, but RB Frank Gore didn’t get many touches until the second half. They’ll look to improve on his pedestrian 66 yards against the Bears' awful run defense.
 

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