Sunday 8/23/2020 Comps/Bonus Plays,Trends, Betting Info, Etc

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WNBA

Sunday, August 23

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Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Minnesota
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Los Angeles
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Phoenix @ Washington
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix

 

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JACK JONES

MLB | Aug 23, 2020
Red Sox vs. Orioles
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Red Sox/Orioles OVER 10.5

Expect plenty of runs in this series finale between Baltimore and Boston to push this total OVER 10.5 runs. Two of the worst starters in the big leagues square off in this AL East showdown this afternoon.

Zack Godley is 0-2 with an 8.79 ERA and 2.094 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 14 1/3 innings. Wade LeBlanc is 1-0 with a 7.89 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in five starts this season with 19 earned runs and 5 homers allowed in 21 2/3 innings.

LeBlanc has been awful in his last three starts, posting an 11.82 ERA and 2.251 WHIP with 14 earned runs allowed in 10 2/3 innings. LeBlanc has also posted a 5.57 ERA in six career starts against Boston.

The OVER is 17-8-1 in Red Sox last 26 games as a road favorite. The OVER is 12-3-2 in Orioles last 17 games as a home underdog. The OVER is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in Baltimore. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

 

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KENNY WALKER

MLB | Aug 23, 2020
Rangers vs. Mariners
Rangers-139

 

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TOTALS GURU

MLB | Aug 23, 2020
Rockies vs. Dodgers
Free Total Annihilator On Rockies vs Dodgers under 9½ -110

 

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R&R TOTALS

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Sunday 8-23-20

UNDER 8 1/2 -105 Toronto/Tampa Bay

 

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STEPHEN DEANGELO

Get the broom out this afternoon when the Celtics and the 76ers play Game Four of their best-of-seven series!

Philadelphia sure looked to be in good position on Friday night when they led Boston 94-92 with a little over 2 minutes remaining, but the Sixers did not score another point and allowed the Celtics to net the final 10 points as Boston took it 102-94 and also took it at the betting window for the third straight time in this series.

The spread has jumped up a basket for this game, but I don't see any reason to buck Boston this afternoon as I think whatever wind Philly had in their sails was taken straight away after Friday's loss. I am sure the 76ers are already thinking of getting back home to their family and friends and will give little resistance in this game, especially if Boston hangs a 12-2, or 16-4 run on them at any stretch of this contest.

Any chance Philadelphia may have had to contend in this series went quickly out the window when guard Ben Simmons injured his knee and was lost for the season. Joel Embiid tried his best on Friday to single-handedly carry his team and when he came up short you could see the look of resignation in his body and in his comments when he spoke to the press after the game.

Time for Philly to redevelop their "Process".

Lay it with the Celtics, this one is a double-digit exclamation point for Boston.

5* BOSTON

 

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MITCHELL NEWMAN

Bonus Play winner for Sunday on the Under in the Celtics-Sixers game that tips-off at 1:00 pm eastern time.

These teams have played 3 times already and 2 of the 3 have landed Under the total, including Friday's game when Philadelphia scored just 94 points to fall behind in this series 3-0.

Boston enters with the chance at a sweep and they have held Under the total in 4 of their last 5 games played in Florida and in 5 of their last 7 overall. They have done a very good job on defense in those 7 games, as they have allowed just 102.5 points per game. Against Philadelphia, they have given up just under 99 points per game.

As for Philly, they have been Under the total in 3 of their last 4 games played in the bubble and in 5 of their past 9 overall in Orlando. You get the feeling that the Sixers could come out today and lay a big, fat egg after their deflating loss on Friday night.

Go with Boston and Philadelphia to hold Under the total.

1* BOSTON-PHILADELPHIA UNDER

 

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CHRIS JORDAN

I'm rolling with the over in the series lid-lifter between Vegas and Vancouver.

The teams have met 10 times since Vegas joined the NHL, and five of those games have seen the teams tally at least 8 goals - four times they've scored 9.

In order, just look at how these teams have produced goals since Nov. 2017: 7, 9, 5, 9, 5, 7, 3, 8, 9 and 9.

That's a total of 71 goals, or, an average of 7.1.

Vancouver, to be quite honest, was more impressive in its series win over the defending Stanley Cup champion St. Louis Blues, than the Golden Knights were in their opening-round win over the Chicago Blackhawks.

The Canucks outscored St. Louis 10-5 in the last two games and will come in motivated against a Vegas team that received a heavy dose of distraction on Saturday, when Marc-Andre Fleury's agent, Allan Walsh, tweeted a graphic of the goaltender with a sword in his back. On the top of the blade was the inscription DEBOER. Coach Pete DeBoer has turned to Robin Lehner over three-time Stanley Cup champion Fleury. And wouldn't it seem just fitting this is the game Lehner implodes?

Vancouver's Elias Pettersson has 13 points (4 goals, 9 assists) in his last nine games and is tied for first in playoff scoring, and he'll lead the charge along with Brock Boeser and Bo Horvat.

Vegas has the likes of Mark Stone, Max Pacioretty, Paul Stastny, Reilly Smith and Jonathan Marchessault on its offensive end.

Trust me, this opener is going to soar past the 5.5.

1* OVER Canucks-Golden Knights

 

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WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, August 23

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DALLAS (5 - 8) vs. LOS ANGELES (9 - 3) - 8/23/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-0 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-2 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (6 - 7) vs. WASHINGTON (4 - 8) - 8/23/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

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Game 4 Odds: Clippers vs. Mavericks
Micheal Crosson

The second-seeded Los Angeles Clippers will look to build on their 2-1 first-round series lead over the No. 7 Dallas Mavericks when the pair meet in Game 4 on Sunday afternoon from the NBA Bubble in Orlando, Florida.

Betting Resources

Matchup: Western Conference Game 4
1st Round Series: Clippers lead 2-1
Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
Location: Orlando, Florida
Date: Sunday, Aug. 23, 2020
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: ABC

Paul George and the Clippers have been installed as very healthy favorites for their Game 4 matchup against the Mavericks. (AP)

Line Movements

With Luka Doncic being listed as questionable for the Maverick’s Game 4 tilt with the Los Angeles Clippers, Dallas enters Sunday’s contest as eight and a half point underdogs, already in a 2-1 hole against Doc Rivers team.

After averaging 237 total points per game so far in this series, the ‘over-under’ is set at OU 231.5 for Game 4, following ‘over’ tickets cashing in consecutive contests.

Dallas (+600) is currently listed as steep underdogs to advance to the second round of the playoffs, but if Luka is cleared to play Game 4, look for that line to move.

Spread: L.A. Clippers -9
Money-Line: L.A. Clippers -450, Dallas +350
Total: 231.5
Series Price: L.A. Clippers -1000, Dallas +600

Game 3 Recap

This series has been a back-and-forth affair so far, with the Mavs and Clippers trading off games to open the series, followed by LA’s 130-122 victory on Friday night.

Kawhi Leonard has picked up right where he left off last year’s NBA Finals, averaging 33.3 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game in the opening three games of this series, despite Paul George’s struggles.

The Claw is a world class scorer when he is on his A-game, and it has been on full display in his last two contests, going for 35+ in consecutive games. Kristaps Porzingis came into Game 3 banged up, playing with a bruised heel, but didn’t appear bothered as he went for 34 points and 13 boards on the Mavericks Game 3 loss.

Kristaps Porzingis may be okay, but Luka exited in the third quarter of Friday’s contest and will likely be a game-time decision for Game 4, drastically changing the landscape of this entire series. Luka’s status carries a heavy weight in the outcome of this game. Make sure to keep your eyes open for news regarding his injury.

Game 3 Betting Results

Outcome: Los Angeles 130 Dallas 122

What looked like another easy 'under' ticket on Friday turned out to be an easy 'over' winner. After combining for 46 in the first quarter, the two teams went off for 76, 65 and 65 combined points in the final 36 minutes.

L.A. exploded for 45 points in the second quarter and that was the difference but Dallas did close the game strong and its 37-28 effort in the last quarter helped bettors cash second-half tickets.

Game: Clippers Win, Clippers Cover (-5.5), Over 231.5
First Quarter: Tied (23-23), Mavs Cover (+1.5), Under (58)
First-Half: Clippers Win (68-54), Clippers Cover (-3), Over (118.5)
Second-Half: Mavs Win (68-62), Mavs Cover (-1.5), Over (115)

Clippers Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Overall: 52-23 SU, 43-32 ATS, 36-38-1 O/U
Bubble: 7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS, 7-4 O/U

It might be time to retire the nickname “Playoff-P” for the time being, as George has averaged just 12.5 points in his last two games for the Clippers.

Despite PG13’s struggles, Los Angeles still owns a 2-1 series lead, and is now eyeing a third victory against the banged-up Mavericks.

The Clippers are averaging 124 points in their playoff victories, and if a healthy Luka suits up on Sunday, Doc Rivers team is going to need more production out of #13 in what is likely to be considered a “must-win” game for the Mavs.

Ride Kawhi to go over 30.5 total points in this Game 4 matchup, as he has averaged 35.5 points over his last two contests.

Mavericks Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Overall: 44-32 SU, 38-37-3 ATS, 47-31 O/U
Bubble: 4-7 SU, 3-8 ATS, 7-4 O/U

If the Mavericks are going to even up this series on Sunday night, it is crucial for Doncic to be in the lineup for Dallas, even if it is as a floor spacer or decoy.

Luka has the highest usage rate in the NBA through the first three games of the playoffs (36.7%), and if he is unable to go in Game 4 it will be devastating for Rick Carlisle’s team.

Picking a side in this game if a tough call, because if Doncic is healthy and able to play, I like the Mavs to cover here and maybe even win; but if Luka doesn’t play, the Clippers should cake-walk to a 3-1 series lead.

My advice on the spread for this game is to stay away until the Doncic’s status becomes clear.

Key Injuries

L.A. Clippers

PG Patrick Beverley: Calf - Game Time Decision

Dallas

PF Kristaps Porzingis: Heel - Game Time Decision
PG Trey Burke: Ankle - Game Time Decision
PG Luka Doncic: Ankle - Game Time Decision
SG Courtney Lee: Calf - Out
C Dwight Powell: Achilles - Out

Porzingis is still listed on the injury report with a bruised heel for the second straight contest, but there isn’t much concern surrounding his status as he went off for 34 points on Friday. Luka is a different story though, as he is listed as questionable, and Dallas likely won’t reveal news regarding Doncic until closer to tip off.

There is also a chance the Clippers could get Patrick Beverley back, who has been recovering from a calf injury for the extent of this series, so keep an eye our for all injury news as we approach the start of this one.

 

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Game 4 Odds: Nuggets vs. Jazz
Michael Crosson

The NBA Playoffs first round action continues on Sunday with four games and the finale will feature the No. 6 Jazz against the No. 3 Nuggets in their Western Conference opening series.

Denver captured Game 1 but Utah rebounded with back-to-back victories to hold a 2-1 lead as they meet in Game 4 from the NBA Bubble.

Betting Resources

Matchup: Western Conference Game 3
First Round Series: Jazz lead 2-1
Venue: AdventHealth Arena
Location: Orlando, Florida
Date: Sunday, Aug. 23, 2020
Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: TNT

Line Movements

After opening as underdogs in the first three games of this Western Conference first round series, the Jazz (-140) opened as money line favorites for the first time against Denver (+130) following Donovan Mitchell and company’s second straight 19+ point victory.

The oddsmakers were cautious with the opening spread (Utah -2), but the public agrees with the swing in favoritism, as we have seen that line climb up to three points at most books.

The ‘over-under’ for this Game 3 tilt opened at 214 total points, but that number is quickly elevated to 216 points following the early action on the ‘over’ on Saturday morning, and continued to see movement throughout the day.

The Jazz fell all the way down to +400 underdogs following their 135-125 Game 1 overtime loss, but now head into Game 4 as -360 favorites as they have really made Denver look like the inferior team in the last two playoff matchups.

Spread: Utah -3
Money-Line: Utah -150 Denver +130
Total: 215
Series Odds: Utah -360, Denver +270

After losing Game 1, the Jazz have rebounded with back-to-back wins to take a 2-1 series lead over the Nuggets. (AP)

Game 3 Recap

The Nuggets were able to come from behind and steal Game 1 of this seven game set in overtime, and if it weren’t for that victory, Denver would be in grave danger of an UGLY four-game sweep in the opening round.

After their losing effort in Game 1, the Jazz rebounded with a dominant 124-105 Game 2 performance on Wednesday, which was followed by a 124-87 rout of Nikola Jokic and company in Game 3 on Friday.

Mike Conley returned to Utah’s starting lineup in Game 3, and it looked like a weight had been lifted off Donovan Mitchell’s shoulders as Conley tallied 27 points in his first game back since the birth of his son, while Mitchell sat out the majority pf the fourth quarter.

The Jazz own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4, who appear to just now be putting it all together as a team.

Game 3 Betting Results

Outcome: Utah 124 Denver 87

The Jazz posted a wire-to-wire victory in Game 3 for bettors, covering all stanzas of the matchup.

Due to any offensive punch from the Nuggets, the 'under' was never in doubt but total bettors chasing the 'over' in the second-half got there as Utah continued to fill it up.

Game: Jazz Win, Jazz Cover (-1), Under 217.5
First Quarter: Jazz Win (25-14), Jazz Cover (PK), Under (55)
First-Half: Jazz Win (59-42), Jazz Cover (-0.5), Under (112)
Second-Half: Jazz Win (65-45), Jazz Cover (+4.5), Over (107.5)

Nuggets Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Overall: 47-29 SU, 35-38-3 ATS, 40-35-1 O/U
Bubble: 4-7 SU, 5-6 ATS, 10-1 O/U

I’m not sure what is more frustrating for the Nuggets right now…the fact that they couldn’t stop a nosebleed on defense, or the fact that they couldn’t hit the broad-side of a barn on offense.

The Nuggets shot 37.5% from the field and 31.6% from 3-point territory in Game 3, and if they are going to give up 124 points on 51.2% shooting defensively, they are going to have to play much tighter defense than that.

Nikola Jokic had just 13 field goal attempts in Denver’s 124-87 loss on Friday, which is a monstrosity considering their final point tally. If the Nuggets want to turn this thing back around, they MUST get the ball to the Joker’s hands more and play MUCH better defense.

Jazz Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Utah: 46-29 SU, 41-34-2 ATS, 40-35 O/U
Bubble: 5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS, 7-4 O/U

Rudy Gobert is somebody who never gets talked about enough in this league, and he was phenomenal in Game 3 for the Jazz, tallying 24 points and 14 rebounds in Utah’s blowout victory on Friday, while putting out a DPOY-level defensive effort.

The Mitchell-Gobert-Conley trio combined for 71 points on 44.5% shooting last game, nearly outscoring the Nuggets as an entire team. The Jazz have primetime defensive talent, and it finally appeared to come together in Game 3, stifling the Nuggets to just 87 points.

Things will get very simple for Quin Snyder’s team moving forward if he is able to draw that kind of defensive effort out of his team on a nightly basis.

Key Injuries

Denver

SG Gary Harris: Hip - Out
SF Will Barton: Knee - Out
SF Vlatko Cancar: Foot- Out

Utah

PG Justin Wright-Foreman: Not Injury Related - Out
C Ed Davis: Knee - Out

The Jazz got Conley back following the birth of his son, but Denver will still be without Gary Harris and Will Barton who have left bigger holes in the Nuggets defensively than anticipated. If they want to take back control of this series, somebody is going to need to step up and guard Mitchell and Gobert.

 

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BRANDON LEE

MLB | Aug 23, 2020
Rockies vs. Dodgers
PICK - Colorado Rockies +207
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 979

I'm well aware of the struggles the Rockies have had when visiting the Dodgers (lost 15 of last 16), I just can't pass up Colorado at this price in Sunday's series finale. LA has already secured the series with wins on Friday and Saturday and with a day off tomorrow, this feels like a spot where they could go just go through the motions.

More than that, the Rockies have the better starter on the mound in this one. At least to this point of the season. Colorado will give the rock to Antonio Senzatela, who is 3-0 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 5 starts. He's been even better on the road with a 1.89 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in 3 starts. In his most recent start he threw 8 shutout innings at Houston against a good Astros lineup.

Dodgers will counter with Ross Stripling, who just hasn't been able to put the pieces together this season. Stripling is 3-1, but has an ugly 5.61 ERA and 1.325 WHIP in 5 starts. He's been hit really hard in his last two starts, giving up 13 runs on 14 hits (5 HRs) in just 7 2/3 innings of work. As good as LA is, this is just too good a price to pass up on Colorado. Give me the Rockies +207!

 

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SAL MICHAELS

MLB | Aug 23, 2020
Brewers vs. Pirates
Bonus Play on Pirates +150

 

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY: HOUSTON (Greinke) -120 over San Diego

 

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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Sunday : TEXAS/SEATTLE UNDER the total of 9 runs

 

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday August 23, 2020

MLB (971) TEXAS RANGERS VS (972) SEATTLE MARINERS

Take: OVER

Reason: Two pitchers that have struggled will meet here on Sunday as the Rangers play at Seattle. The Rangers will start Mike Minor today. Minor has five starts this year and he is 0-4 in those starts with a 6.94 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Minor only went 3 2/3 innings in his last start vs the Padres where he allowed nine hits and six runs. The Mariners will counter with Justin Dunn. Dunn is 1-1 in his four starts with a 7.80 ERA and 1.800 WHIP. Dunn went only two innings in his last start vs the Dodgers, giving up six earned runs. Can't pick a side here, but I expect lots of runs in this one. Take the OVER.

 

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Golden Lock Sports

MLB CHICAGO CUBS ‑170

 

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JACK BRAYMAN

My free winner for tonight is the Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line against the Colorado Rockies in National League West play.

Since every MLB wager on a run line or total auto-lists pitchers, I want you to be sure the two pitchers on your ticket, when making this play, are Ross Stripling and Antonio Senzatela. If they are not the pitchers of record when making your play, disregard this play.

Last outing was a disaster for Stripling, so I expect him to rebound tonight. He is 3-1 on the year, but saw his ERA jump to 5.61 ERA after giving up three home runs during a five-run third inning and ended up staying put in the fourth inning against the Seattle Mariners.

I know Senzatela has been solid this season, going 3-0 with a 2.90 ERA, including a scoreless performance against the Astros in his last outing. As good as he's been, it's time for a lineup to get the best of him, and this is the right spot. Especially since he is 2-2 with a 6.39 ERA in seven appearances against the Dodgers, including five starts.

Lay the run line tonight, as Los Angeles rolls to the big win.

2* DODGERS RUN LINE

 

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Mikey Money

MLB ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +105

 

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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Sunday: OAKLAND (Montas) -125 over LA Angels