Sunday 6/7/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

International TODAY 13:00

Ireland

v

England

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ITV		12/5	12/5	11/10	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN IRELAND	RECENT FORM
AWHWADALNWHD​ Most recent​	1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 3 1 - 1	HWAWHWAWHWAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: England have won seven of their last eight matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Ireland would love to give this high-profile friendly their full attention, but they face a crunch Euro 2016 qualifying clash with Scotland less than a week later which could be a problem for Martin O’Neill when selecting his starting 11. England have played well in recent matches and look worthy favourites.

RECOMMENDATION: England
1

 

[superbeets]

International We 10Jun 19:45

Germany

v

USA

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		1/3	9/2	13/2	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN GERMANY	RECENT FORM
ALHDHWAWNDAW​ Most recent​	4 - 1 1 - 0 4 - 2 2 - 0	ALHWALADHWAW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: There has not been a draw in ten previous meetings

EXPERT VERDICT: Germany have been quite slack since winning the World Cup, losing to Argentina and Poland. Joachim Low’s side have also conceded against Australia, Ireland and Scotland this season and USA showed they possess plenty of attacking intent in Friday’s 4-3 win over Holland.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Drivers to Watch - Pocono

NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
Axalta “We Paint Winners” 400
Sunday, June 7th – 1:15 p.m. EDT
Pocono Raceway – Long Pond, PA

The drivers will take their talents to Pocono Raceway this week for the Axalta “We Paint Winners” 400, a race that has had a different sponsor in each season since 2009. This is the first of two races that will be held here as the athletes will make their way back in late summer for the Pennsylvania 400. The large 2.5-mile track features three turns with banks between six and 14-degrees and features an asphalt top which has helped cars run at an average speed of 131.54 MPH.

There victors in four of the past six installments of this race has been a multiple time winner in the event with Dale Earnhardt Jr. (2014) and Joey Logano (2012) being the only first time winners in that time. There are seven different racers that have won here more than once, with Jimmie Johnson (2004, 2013) being the most recent as Jeff Gordon has the most wins here with four (1996, 1997, 2007, 2011). Last week, Jimmie Johnson won for the 10th time in Dover and the fourth time on the year, leading a total of 23 laps. Let’s see who in the field could take down Johnson this week.

Drivers to Bet

Dale Earnhardt Jr. (8/1) - It was no surprise that Earnhardt Jr. was able to get a win here last year as he owns the most top-five finishes (23) at superspeedway tracks (2.5+ mi.) and has posted two more victories (9) at them than the next closest racer; Jeff Gordon. His average finish of 14.1 is also the best among his peers on this type of track and his average speed of 139.44 MPH in last year’s win was the second fastest mark since 2002. On this specific triangular track, Earnhardt Jr. has the ninth-best driver rating (92.6) with two career wins and 102 fastest laps run (7th-best). He will look to rebound this week after his first non top-10 (14th) since Richmond last week in Dover and add to his 24 career Sprint Cup Series wins.

Denny Hamlin (10/1) - Hamlin is a two-time winner at this event (2006, 2010) and overall has four victories and three poles at Pocono Raceway in a mere 18 attempts. That is more than any other driver as he has been in the top-five in half (9) of his appearances here. A few of his stats here rank the best amongst his peers as his driver rating (108.3), fastest laps run (437) and average green flag speed (162.806 MPH) are better than anyone else. Hamlin already has a win this year in Martinsville and was also able to grab the victory at the All-Star Race. With his past here and the solid season he has seen so far; expect the 34-year-old to be near the front of the pack for a majority of the day.

Kyle Larson (20/1) - Larson has been impressive here over a small sample size, with a top-five at this event last year followed by taking the pole at the Pennsylvania 400 that summer. He jumped into the top-20 of the Sprint Cup Standings after pulling out a third-place in Dover last week; his third top-10 of the year. He has yet to get his first career Sprint Cup victory, but should be able to ride his solid run last week and over the past two visits here to another impressive showing.

Paul Menard (100/1) - Menard’s 2015 season has gone widely unnoticed, but he is on pace for his best Sprint Cup Series finish in his career, currently sitting in 15th after finishing in the top-20 at each of his last seven races; including three top-eights in the past month. He has two top-10s in his 16 tries at this course, and has an impressive average finish of 20.4 over his 34 career attempts at a superspeedway such as this one. Menard has one career win (2011 Brickyard 400), and while he is quite a long shot, should be able to do better than his odds suggest.

Danica Patrick (500/1) - Patrick may be one of the more recognizable racers in the series, but over 94 Sprint Cup races, the 33-year-old has managed a mere six top-10s and has yet to grab her first win. It does look like that initial victory is on its way, though, as she currently ranks 18th in the Sprint Cup Standings and has done no worse than 27th on the year with two top-10s. She has been on this track a mere four times, but as she continues to move along in this solid campaign, she should start racking up better results as well.

Odds to win Axalta “We Paint Winners” 400

Kevin Harvick 4/1
Jimmie Johnson 5/1
Kurt Busch 7/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 8/1
Brad Keselowski 10/1
Denny Hamlin 10/1
Joey Logano 10/1
Jeff Gordon 12/1
Kasey Kahne 15/1
Kyle Busch 15/1
Martin Truex Jr. 15/1
Carl Edwards 20/1
Kyle Larson 20/1
Matt Kenseth 20/1
Jamie McMurray 40/1
Ryan Newman 60/1
Austin Dillon 100/1
Clint Bowyer 100/1
David Ragan 100/1
Greg Biffle 100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Tony Stewart 100/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1
AJ Allmendinger 300/1
Aric Almirola 300/1
Casey Mears 500/1
Danica Patrick 500/1
Ricky Stenhouse 500/1
Sam Hornish Jr. 500/1
Trevor Bayne 500/1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Auto: Pocono 400 Preview
By Micah Roberts

It's time for NASCAR racing in the Pocono's where opinion is split among fans on how they feel about the bizarre 2.5-mile triangular layout. Some say there isn't enough passing and the races are boring, while others protest that in this era of cookie-cutter tracks, anything unique is a pleasant change. And Pocono is definitely unique with each of the three turns getting progressively flatter and more difficult.

I happen to be in the group of people that look forward to the two Pocono races a season. I love that it takes takes some road course and short track skills while also requiring lots of horsepower down the longest front stretch on the circuit.

What will be different this season from recent years is the reduction in horsepower, which in theory should be slowing the cars down, but what we’re seeing is drivers getting in and out of the corners much faster because of coming in slower which has negated NASCAR intention with the horsepower reduction. In many ways it’s more dangerous than ever because drivers are having a major learning curve in how to handle all that speed exiting the corners. At Pocono's tricky triangle, this could present a major problem, especially in turns 1 & 2.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. won for the first time ever at Pocono last season after being winless in his first 28 starts. He had so much fun in this race last year that he would do it again in the second race. I don’t know if I’ve ever seen a career drought at a track reap such great rewards with a sweep during a season before.

Horsepower reduction or not, this race is still about who can get the most of it and the past three weeks of races at Dover and Charlotte has seen not only Joe Gibbs Racing show some major power, but also Roush Fenway Racing. For most of the season Kevin Harvick and Jimmie Johnson have been dominating with the most horsepower. Kurt Busch and Martin Truex Jr. have also shown power similar, but now you have to seriously add in Matt Kenseth, Denny Hamlin, Carl Edwards and Kyle Busch into that group. And just maybe, hopefully, we can throw 2010 Pocono winner Greg Biffle onto that list as well.

For Hamlin, he’s probably licking his chops waiting to get to Pocono to show off some more like he did last week at Dover where he had the fastest lap in each of the final practice sessions before getting involved ina wreck during Sunday’s race and finishing 21st. We saw the power at Charlotte as he won $1 million in the All-Star Race and now he goes to a track where he’s got four wins over his career, but none since 2010. As a rookie in 2006, he swept the Pocono season and has a 11.9 average finish overall. Last year in this race, he finished fourth with a car that was substandard in horsepower, but his ability in and out of the turns -- particularly the tight flat turn three -- made the difference. Now he’s got some power on par with the elite and skills in the turns that elevates him into being considered a favorite to win.

However, Harvick and Johnson will both be listed by Las Vegas sports books as the favorite just because of their body of work this season and because they‘ll be popular bets with the public who has witnessed their power. Harvick finished a career-best second-place in the second Pocono race last season, but he’s still winless in 28 starts. Johnson is a three-time winner, the last coming in 2013, and has a 9.88 average finish. That stellar average was muddied with a 39th-place finish in the last Pocono race run.

Jeff Gordon leads all active drivers with six wins and 1,037 laps led. Among active drivers with at least three starts, Gordon leads the way with a 9.86 average finish. He’s still looking for his first win of 2015, which is supposed to be his last full season, and he’ll be making his 45 career start on Sunday.

Kasey Kahne, Kurt Busch and Carl Edwards are all two-time Pocono winners. Busch and Edwards have both won this season while Kahne is still looking for his first. For whatever reason, Kahne hasn’t been as good as teammates Johnson and Earnhardt Jr., and even though he’s scored more points than Gordon on the season, Gordon’s car has looked better in most practices, but has just had worse luck on race day.

Kurt Busch is the driver that might give Hamlin the best run on Sunday. He’s been stellar throughout his career at Pocono when given a car with some power. Last year he finished third in this race.

Brad Keselowski won in 2011 and led the most laps (95) in this race last season before settling for runner-up. However, the team was way off on their set-up last week at Dover, a place Keselowski typically runs well at. He had to battle hard all race long and did a great job just to finish 12th. I would look at his teammate, Joey Logano, to have a better run this week.

As for Junior going for three straight wins, I don't see it, but I wish him well.

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #11 Denny Hamlin (10/1)
2) #41 Kurt Busch (8/1)
3) #24 Jeff Gordon (12/1)
4) #48 Jimmie Johnson (5/1)
5) #4 Kevin Harvick (9/2)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Irving is gone, no one on this planet thinks Cleveland can win series; their subs played total of 60:00 in Game 1, went 3-14 from floor, now one of those guys has to start and play better than he ever has in his life. Best chance for breakout player would be JR Smith (3-13 in Game 1). Biggest problem for Warriors is complacency; Cavs still have the best player.

Golden State won eight of its last ten games with Cleveland; nine of the ten games were decided by 8+ points. Cavaliers are 12-3 in playoffs, Warriors are 13-3. Eight of last 11 Golden State games stayed under the total. Cleveland won four of its last four road games SU. Three of last four series games stayed under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dunkel

NBA

Cleveland at Golden State - Sunday June 7, 2015

The Cavaliers look to bounce back from their 108-100 OT loss in Game 1 and come into Sunday’s contest with a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Cleveland is the pick (+8) according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+8).

Game 703-704
June 7, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:

Cleveland 129.663
Golden State 134.443

Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State by 5 196

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State by 8 201

Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland (+8); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rideau Carleton

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Post: 9:10 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$6500 - WINNERS OVER $25,000. LIFETIME NOT LISTED PREFERRED.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 9 IMMINENT RESPONSE 3/1


# 8 MAXIMUSCLE 2/1


# 4 MICHELANGELO 5/1

If you want a respectable play in this race, feast your eyes on IMMINENT RESPONSE. Recorded a 93 TrackMaster speed fig last out. A duplicate event here should get the triumph in this race. MAXIMUSCLE - Take a look at this race horse's average speed statistic of 88 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a very nice wager. Could very likely handle this group given the 87 speed rating achieved in his most recent race. MICHELANGELO - The group gives this harness racer a competitive chance to take this race, class figures are tops in the race. If performance in the last gathering is representative, this horse will have a very respectable shot today. High last race TrackMaster SR.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Post: 2:25 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 85 - Purse:$9100 - $15,000 CLAIMING ALLOWANCE NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER SARATOGA


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 MACK'S GOLD BAND 8/5


# 9 BABY BOY GRIN 8/1


# 1 LUCKY CHARM 3/1

We've got an instinct MACK'S GOLD BAND is going to get the win. Could be the best in the pack here, showing formidable ratings of late. Avg speed is a solid 87. It's chancy to consider on class alone, but this gelding has among the best class rankings of the grouping. With a respectable 82 TrackMaster Speed Rating last time out, will most definitely be a factor in this race. BABY BOY GRIN - Overall numbers appear very good. Can't throw out at this point. LUCKY CHARM - When Merton sends this interesting entrant out you can bet they'll be in the money, stats show them there 64 percent of the time. If performance in the most recent race is representative, this race horse will have a very great shot in here. High last race speed rating.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 12 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 85

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. 124LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 THERMONUCLEAR ENERGY 9/5


# 7 JESS A POLLITICIAN 3/1


# 5 J B PERRY 8/1


THERMONUCLEAR ENERGY looks to be a very strong contender. She has been running very well and the speed figures are among the best in this field. Guymon's return on investment over the last 30 days automatically makes this pony a solid contender. Had one of the strongest Equibase Speed Figures of this field in her last race. JESS A POLLITICIAN - With a formidable 82 Equibase speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this affair. Flores has a sharp win percent with horses racing in short races. J B PERRY - Look for a formidable pace improvement from this racer who enters on Lasix today. Posted a solid Equibase Speed Fig last time out.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Trial - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $3700 Class Rating: 77

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR 2 YEAR OLD ALBERTA BRED QUARTER HORSES. PREVIOUSLY NOMINATED.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 KIDDYS DOWN 7/5


# 1 SPITZ ZOOM 9/5


# 2 TIMBER LEGACY 4/1


KIDDYS DOWN looks to be a solid contender. By Kiddy Up, has a clear advantage in the bloodlines - brothers and sisters have ran very well as two-year olds. Is tough not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been quite good - 65 avg - of late. In this field, this one is prominent in earnings per start in short contests. SPITZ ZOOM - He looks like a very very solid contender based on sire's progeny results as two-year olds. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look solid in this contest. This young animal is worth consideration. TrackMaster shows respectable trainer statistics with 2 year olds. TIMBER LEGACY - Is a contender - trainer has sported solid numbers for two year olds with some good profits for wagerers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Monmouth - Race #4 - Post: 2:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 QUARLA (ML=5/1)
#11 ELITE EIGHT (ML=7/2)


QUARLA - In this race here, this beautiful animal has recorded the highest speed rating at the distance, so I have to give her the edge. Failed backers as the public choice in her last start. Ran well considering the speed rating registered was good enough to make her one of the contenders in today's race. Have to watch for this animal on the turf. Last race at Gulfstream, scored a big turf rating. Have to think she can do it again in this field. She has the topmost earnings per race. Check out this horse. ELITE EIGHT - Horses that finish in the place spot in Maiden races and finish well in front of the third horse are generally good bets next time out. Although I sometimes have doubts about a horse who was beaten as the public choice in her last race, this filly got a solid speed rating and fits well here. Average class figure is tops in this field. I think that is a big advantage for a race on the turf.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JUST LIKE KAKI (ML=3/1), #2 ARC DE NUA (ML=9/2), #1 SAVER'S CHOICE (ML=8/1),

JUST LIKE KAKI - Tough to play any horse like this that didn't hit the board after the long vacation and comes right back. Hasn't been coming close at all recently. SAVER'S CHOICE - I'd like to see more conducive recent outings with morning line odds of 8/1. Doubtful that the speed fig she garnered on April 22nd will be enough in this event.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - QUARLA - At Gulfstream on February 27th this filly posted a speed figure of 83 in her last race. She has the best last figure in the field.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 QUARLA to win at post-time odds of 8/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8 - Post: 8:20pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 LITTLE DRUMMER (ML=8/1)


LITTLE DRUMMER - Connelly drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to figure that this horse has a darn good chance at this level. 29-55-59 are last 3 speed figs. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ARAB SPRING (ML=6/5), #1 TAYLORS POINT (ML=2/1), #3 CHIEF ALBERTO (ML=4/1),

ARAB SPRING - This gelding finished outside the top 3 on Apr 17th and wasn't close to winning last time around the track either. TAYLORS POINT - Hard to play a entrant that lays up for a long time then doesn't end up on the board off the extended time off. Difficult to put your cash on the win end of any racer that finishes second and third as regularly as this participant does. Pace makes the race and an absence of pace means this rallier will have to rally without any help. CHIEF ALBERTO - Finished third in his most recent effort with a disappointing fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group. This gelding gave a lackluster effort last time out. This questionable contender will probably bounce off of the last strong outing.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 LITTLE DRUMMER to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
2 with 5

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Sunday 6/7 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF

Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (22 - 34 / $83.40): RYLEIGH‘S LILLY (7th)

Spot Play: JETOMATT (6th)


Race 1

In a field with few contenders, (1) MISS PAT WEISAR looks to be in line for a great trip up close. (2) LOVERS HOLIDAY has been sharp for new connections and just missed in her last two. (4) INDIAN CREEK KATIE doesn’t look the best on paper but can hit the ticket underneath with some racing luck.

Race 2

(6) BIG MOON RIZING beat this same bunch last start from dead last. The pacer looks to have some ability and should be even better on a fast track. (1) TEMPLE OF ZOOM has the best crack at the favorite and should be sharper second start back. (3) PARKLANE INDY gets sent out second start for capable connections.

Race 3

(4) FLUKY‘S GIRL is a lightly raced filly that has lots of room to improve at a price in a field full of question marks. (3) FOXY ELLIE has yet to win in 17 career starts, but fits at this level. (6) FOX VALLEY REDHEAD has just been racing evenly; use underneath.

Race 4

(5) HARPER VALLEY BOY was a game winner last out and is one of few in the race with upside. (6) FOX VALLEY CADET has shown a decent burst of speed and should be closer turning for home. (2) BINGO PRINCE gelding is 0-for his career; command a price.

Race 5

Well bred 3-year-old (9) PINSTRIPE PLAYER gets the worst post, but has really started to blossom in his last few. (4) FOX VALLEY HARRAH gets a negative driver change but does come off a nice maiden breaking score. (7) A LOCAL BAND rarely wins but trotted a sneaky good mile last start.

Race 6

(3) JETOMATT is a nice looking filly and makes her career debut off a promising qualifier; driver’s choice. (4) DANDY’S BEAUTY is much better than what she shows on paper; threat. (8) CAN’T CATCH KEY owns ability and picks up the top driver.

Race 7

(5) RYLEIGH‘S LILLY takes a huge drop back down and has recently dominated at this level. (1) OUR MISS LILY could be the sleeper in the race with a good setup. (4) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH has been just as good as any in the race; threat.

Race 8

In a field full of question marks, (8) LIMA PIZZAZ needs to stay trotting but should offer better value than last week. (5) LOVE U FOREVER is an impeccably bred filly that also has trouble with miscues. If she minds her manners it could be an easy score. (2) BANDS MUSE has been slowly improving and will offer a big price; use underneath.

Race 9

(7) SEEKIN FOR GLAMOUR makes her first start in a new barn and was the driver’s choice. (5) ROCK N KILO is a well bred pacer that has been sharp in her last three; threat. (8) YES WE DID gets sent out for a capable trainer and has been facing tougher.

Race 10

(10) IMAGE OF FELICIA is inconsistent from week to week, however, a good effort makes her the horse to beat. (3) AUDREY ANNA will look to make it three straight but will need to be on top of her game if the top choice decides to pace. (4) GET THE TERROR picks up a significant driver change and has shown signs of turning it around.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Sunday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington Park (3rd) Lots o' Lex, 7-2
(7th) Absolutely Classy, 3-1

Belmont Park (4th) Whitman's Poetry, 7-2
(7th) Jules N Rome, 4-1


Belterra Park (2nd) My New Hope, 5-1
(6th) Whitewood Indian, 7-2


Canterbury Park (6th) Seven Tuff, 4-1
(10th) Beautiful Shoes, 6-1


Churchill Downs (1st) Star of Sky, 3-1
(4th) Pat's Shoes, 3-1


Emerald Downs (3rd) Sir Riley, 7-2
(5th) Swiss Exploit, 3-1


Golden Gate Fields (5th) Kingsbury, 3-1
(6th) Mira Este, 3-1


Gulfstream Park (6th) Dream Come True, 6-1
(7th) Dancing My Way, 6-1


Hastings Park (3rd) Uncle Willard, 8-1
(5th) Au Clair de Lune, 4-1


Lone Star Park (4th) Hidden Danger, 4-1
(7th) Even Echo, 8-1


Monmouth Park (1st) Naughty Delite, 7-2
(6th) Successful Brothers, 5-1


Mountaineer (6th) Tour for Love, 3-1
(9th) Gliter Passion, 6-1


Parx Racing (6th) Varborough, 10-1
(8th) Winning for Sarah, 3-1

Prairie Meadows (1st) Natalies Storm, 4-1
(3rd) Seattle Summer, 7-2

Presque Isle Downs (5th) Ja Quellin, 5-1
(7th) Song of Exile, 5-1


Santa Anita (7th) Pay the Debt, 4-1
(8th) Know Plans, 7-2


Woodbine (5th) Rockhaven, 3-1
(7th) Belle Soul, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'On the Diamond'

Toronto and Houston conclude their three-game set Sunday afternoon with Blue Jays looking at sweeping the series. Blue Jays finding their offensive rhythm lately platting 7.0 runs/game reeling off five straight victories send out R.A. Dickey. The knuckelballer currently sports a 2-6 record, 5.53 ERA with a 2-2 mark, 4.83 ERA over 6 starts in front of the home crowd. Jays are 3-1 at home this year with the hurler when favored. Astros ridding a mini 0-3 slump crossing just 2.0 runs/game have Collin McHugh handling the start. McHugh is 6-2 on the year with an ERA of 4.33 and has a 2-1 record in five opposing parks. Well to note, Toronto has not done well vs Houston with Dickey (1-3) while Astros have thrived vs Jays w/McHugh (2-0). Other betting nuggets to ponder. Jays are 0-4 w/Dickey attempting a three game sweep. Astros are 4-1 as underdogs avoiding a three game sweep.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Five To Follow MLB Betting: Sunday, June 7, 2015 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

San Diego Padres starting pitcher Andrew Cashner

Around the first of each month, Bovada releases updated baseball awards odds. I don't think the favorites will surprise you. For the AL Cy Young, Seattle's Felix Hernandez was the +150 favorite, with Houston's Dallas Keuchel (+250) right behind. For AL MVP, the Angels' Mike Trout is the +200 favorite to repeat, with Detroit's Miguel Cabrera at +400. I rather like Toronto's Josh Donaldson at +900 because I think the Blue Jays are going to trade for pitching and win the AL East, and that would boost Donaldson's stock. For the NL Cy Young, Washington's Max Scherzer is the +300 favorite, just ahead of the Dodgers' Clayton Kershaw (+350). Kershaw doesn't have Cy Young numbers yet, but obviously the books expect him to start dominating (he is starting to). And the no-brainer favorite for NL MVP is Washington's Bryce Harper at +200, with Arizona's Paul Goldschmidt second at +400. It's definitely Harper's to lose.


Padres at Reds (-170, 7)

This originally looked to be the best pitching duel on Sunday as tough-luck Andrew Cashner (2-8, 3.46) was to start for San Diego. He gets the lowest run support in the National League, as I'm sure you can tell from his record and ERA. But Manager Bud Black swapped Cashner, who started Saturday, and Odrisamer Despaigne (3-3, 4.56). Although Despaigne has been excellent of late, allowing just three earned runs over 20 innings in his past three outings. He's not a big strikeout guy. The Cuban has never faced the Reds. The Reds' Johnny Cueto (3-4, 2.90) had two weeks in between starts due to some elbow stiffness but looked good on Tuesday, holding the Phillies to one earned run and five hits over six innings. Justin Upton is 6-for-18 with two solo homers off him, while Matt Kemp is 6-for-13 with two solo dingers as well.

Key trends: The Padres are 2-5 in Despaigne's past seven on the road. The Reds are 1-7 in their past eight on Sunday. The "over/under" has gone over in four of Despaigne's past five on the road. The under is 4-1 in Cueto's past five vs. San Diego.

Early lean: Reds and under.


A's at Red Sox (-151, 8.5)

He made his debut on Friday with two scoreless innings, but I want to touch on Oakland's Pat Venditte. He was called up earlier that day from Triple-A. Why is he important? Venditte is an ambidextrous pitcher and his glove is ambidextrous as well with two thumb holes. No pitcher had thrown with both arms since Montreal's Greg Harris in 1995. I was curious if there was a rule whether Venditte could switch mid-batter but now know he can't unless there's pinch-hitter during an at-bat. He has to tell the umpire before the batter steps in which arm he will throw with. There was some confusion on Friday when Red Sox switch-hitter Blake Swihart came to the plate as to which arm Venditte wanted to use (he went right). What a weapon that guy can be. Kendall Graveman (3-2, 5.56) is scheduled to start for the A's, and they have won his past three. He has never faced Boston. The Sox go with Clay Buchholz (3-6, 3.82), who has really looked good of late. He shut out the Twins over eight innings last time out and hasn't given up more than two earned in his past four. Brett Lawrie might get the day off for Oakland as he's just 3-for-25 off Buchholz.

Key trends: The A's are 4-0 in Graveman's past four on the road. Boston is a crazy 3-13 in Buchholz's past 16 vs. teams with a losing record. The under is 4-1 in his past five at home. The Sox have won his past four vs. Oakland.

Early lean: Red Sox and under.


Rays at Mariners (+121, 7)

Back at the end of spring training, the Rays and Mariners swapped pitchers, with Erasmo Ramirez headed to Tampa in exchange for lefty prospect Mike Montgomery -- he was part of that big Tampa/Kansas City deal in December 2012 that netted the Rays Wil Myers (now in San Diego) and the Royals James Shields (also now a Padre). Montgomery, once a Top-50 prospect, never made it to the majors with Tampa but made his debut Tuesday for Seattle against the Yankees as he was called up from Triple-A to replace injured James Paxton. Montgomery looked good, allowing a run and four hits over six innings. It's Chris Archer (6-4, 2.01) for Tampa, and he has been arguably the AL's best pitcher over his past five starts as Archer has given up just four total runs and struck out 47. He whiffed a career-high 15 last time out in a win over the Angels. He took a no-decision May 27 vs. the Mariners despite not allowing a run and only two hits, striking out 12, over eight innings.

Key trends: The Rays are 5-0 in their past five against lefties. They are 12-2 in Archer's past 14 on the road. The under has hit in four of his past six against teams with a losing record.

Early lean: Mariners (only because I like their lineup better) and under.


Marlins at Rockies (-124, 11)

I'm calling another Giancarlo Stanton bomb in this game. He destroyed one in the thin air of Denver on Friday and gets a struggling pitcher in Kyle Kendrick, who replaces a bumped Jorge De La Rosa. The Rockies haven't yet said why he was pushed back to Tuesday, although he did recently miss a start with a hand/finger injury. Kendrick (2-7, 6.55) might be the worst starter in the NL. He has allowed at least four runs in eight of his 11 starts. Stanton does struggle against him, going 3-for-26 with one dinger, but that's when Kendrick used to be decent. Martin Prado is 10-for-26 with a homer off him. It's Jose Urena (0-2, 7.24) for the Marlins in just his third career start. This game sure looks like a shootout on paper.

Key trends: The Rockies are 1-6 in Kendrick's past seven. The over is 8-3 in his past 11.

Early lean: I believe this is the first 11 total of the season. That's crazy high, but I'm still going over. Really have opinion on the side. Do that Stanton prop, though.


Cardinals at Dodgers (-157, 6.5)

This is your ESPN Sunday night game so will have live betting at the books -- maybe do a parlay with the NBA Finals, which start around the same time. If you haven't seen Dodgers rookie Joc Pederson yet, tune in for him. I assumed the Cubs' Kris Bryant would be the NL Rookie of the Year this season but Pederson is among the NL home run leaders and plays a great center field. That will be a good battle to watch the rest of the way. It's Lance Lynn (4-4, 3.03) for St. Louis. He had his best start of the season last time out, shutting out Milwaukee on five hits over 7.2 innings. Yasiel Puig might be back off the DL for this game and is 2-for-3 off Lynn. Adrian Gonzalez is 2-for-8 with two RBIs. The Dodgers' Zack Greinke (5-1, 1.97) hasn't personally gotten a win in his past five starts despite pitching great in four of them. Matt Carpenter is 4-for-12 with a homer off him. Matt Holliday is 7-for-25 with two homers.

Key trends: The Cards are 1-7 in Lynn's past eight on the road. The Dodgers are 6-0 in Greinke's past six against teams with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in Lynn's past seven on Sunday. The under is 5-1 in his past six vs. L.A.

Early lean: Dodgers and under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sunday's six-pack

-- Detroit Tigers are 10-2 when David Price starts, 19-26 otherwise.

-- Moeller HS in Cincinnati has 11 kids on its baseball team who have received at least partial baseball scholarships for this coming fall. Only 10 of them start.

-- Eric Campbell is a utility player for the Mets; he travels around with five gloves, one of which is a catcher's mitt-- he is the Mets' emergency catcher.

-- Record for RBI's in a season by a pitcher? (other than Babe Ruth): Wes Ferrell, who knocked in 29 runs in 1931.

-- Padres are getting killed by Will Venable's defense in CF; all these other teams have fast guys who get to everything. Venable is a RF, not a CF.

-- MLB Draft starts Monday afternoon; hundreds of kids we've never heard of will become pro athletes. Tremendous amount of work goes into scouting these kids.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play SUN Tampa w/ Archer -130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB MONEYLINE

MLB > (925) TEXAS@ (926) KANSAS CITY | 06/07/2015 - 02:10 PM
Play ON TEXAS using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 13 Wins and 4 Losses for the this season (+14.92 units)

MLB > (929) MILWAUKEE@ (930) MINNESOTA | 06/07/2015 - 02:10 PM
Play ON MINNESOTA using the money line in Home games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 14 Wins and 4 Losses for the this season (+11.6 units)

MLB > (911) NY METS@ (912) ARIZONA | 06/07/2015 - 04:10 PM
Play ON NY METS using the money line in Road games in day games
The record is 40 Wins and 25 Losses for the last three seasons (+25.89 units)

MLB > (927) TAMPA BAY@ (928) SEATTLE | 06/07/2015 - 04:10 PM
Play AGAINST SEATTLE using the money line in All games in games played on a grass field
The record is 19 Wins and 30 Losses for the this season (-16.75 units)

MLB > (921) OAKLAND@ (922) BOSTON | 06/07/2015 - 01:35 PM
Play AGAINST BOSTON using the money line in Home games in games played on a grass field
The record is 47 Wins and 62 Losses for the last two seasons (-32.4 units)