Jeff Benton
Toronto at CHI. WHITE SOX
For Sunday’s Bonus Play, we’ll take the Blue Jays and Roy Halladay on the run-line (-1½ runs) at the White Sox.
Halladay is coming off a pretty ugly outing against the Rangers, as he gave up five runs (all earned) in a 5-4 home loss. But look deeper into the boxscore of that game and you’ll see that Halladay went eight innings, struck out nine and walked none. He was simply burned by the long ball. In fact, Halladay has given up just four home runs in 29 innings this season, and all four came in his two worst starts – he also allowed a pair of dingers on Opening Day, when he beat the Tigers 12-5.
But what’s important to note about the Toronto ace is that he almost always follows up a shaky outing with a dominating performance. To wit: After allowing five runs in seven innings in that 12-5 win over Detroit on Opening Day, he came back five days later and allowed one run on five hits in seven innings in a victory at Cleveland. And if you go back to Jun 20 of last season, Halladay has made 23 starts, 18 of which have been “quality” outings (giving up three earned runs or fewer while pitching at least seven innings).
Not only that, but during this 23-start stretch, he hasn’t once had back-to-back NON-quality starts. Taking it a step further, after his last four non-quality starts – ironically, he gave up exactly five earned runs in each of those subpar efforts – Halladay’s cumulative ERA in his very next start is 1.20! Talk about consistency.
Finally, a quick note about Halladay’s mound opposition today, Jose Contreras: The guy is so far over the hill, I wouldn’t be surprised if he was collecting Social Security. In three starts this season, he’s 0-3 with an 8.04 ERA. And going back to 2006, Contreras has faced Toronto four times … and Chicago has lost all four by a combined 23-11 tally. Finally, despite last night’s result, the Blue Jays are still 9-2 in the last 11 meetings with the White Sox. Add it all up, and we’ll confidently play Halladay and look for a multi-run win by the visitors (who, by the way, will get a full nine turns at bat, which is a big deal when playing the run line).
3? TORONTO (-1 1/2 runs)