going to go to a daily thread ,
SUNDAY
OVER 157 Denver/tex am cc 1 unit
Butler PK 1 unit
OVER 152 FAU/VT 1 unit
TEXAS AM -pk 1 unit
VCU+3 1 unit
Kennesaw st +4
OVER 148 Charleston/Kent st 1 unit
w.carolina -8 might be a bit much have not went thru it yet, W car is a good team, been better cover on the road though so far , also Kennesaw st +4 looks interesting at Fla Int, also VCU +3 vs Penn st, Penn st has lost by 10 last 2 when playing good teams, losing to Butler and Texas AM both higher scoring games, VCU will want this in the 60's maybe low 70's , and VCU has lost their last 2 but have been in the games the whole way, losing both by 4 to Iowa st where they had the lead almost the whole game, then losing by 4 to Boise st who has actually been playing better with each game, i would lean to VCU here + the points,
i went ahead and bet Texas AM -pk i just feel they are going to be the favorite tomorrow, so ill grab now so i do not have to lay any points or play ML at a higher price thats what i think anyway never know
already got some movement against me as the total in the FAU game has dropped a point and the o/u in the Denver game has dropped also 1 point
Went with Butler, they are the better shooting team, and they move the ball much better than Boise , they are averaging 14 assist a game to just 8 for Boise st, they are averaging 5 more shots a game 60-55 and they are making about 5 more, 28-23, and they are the better rebounding team which i think should get them a few more shots, they are avg 82 pts a game giving up 66 while Boise is avg 68 and giving up 71, commit fewer fouls ,
also going with Kennesaw st here +4 these 2 are pretty even on most things, I think Kennesaw has been scoring a bit more, and they are 4-1 ats so far, and 2-1 as a dog, while FIU is 0-3 ats as a favorite, and Kennesaw st has done well for me,
game that looks interesting is Coll of Charleston at Kent st, Charleston has not shot well this year, i mean they were picked to win their conf, they are 0-5 ats this year and are only averaging 69 pts a game this year and are shooting just 37% this year and only 24% from 3, and ya just know one of these games they are going to break out of it and score, Kent st is shooting 43% and averaging 82 pts a game , the line here is Kent st -7 it did go to 7.5 earlier but now is down to 6.5, and is 7 at another, so they did get some action, i thought that line was a bit high at 7, they did finally win a game on the 19th when they beat coastal carolina 80-72 but they still shot just 37% but they did shoot 39.5% from 3 making 17 of 43 shots, that is a lot of 3's to take but they do avg 32 a game, Kent st averages 24 a game , the Over here is 148 that may be a play , all charleston has to do is start shooting, Kent st is only holding teams to 39% from 3 and they are holding teams to 43% shooting, if Charleston is able to shoot that i think they would have a good shot here, i am going to go ahead and try the OVER 148 in this game, If Kent st wins big i think i could get it, or if its closer also, Kent is giving up 74 points a game, and Charleston is also giving up 74 there's your 148 but this has already went up from the 146.5 it opened at ....i think they open it up more here, could see this being around 155+
OVER 148
Also S.E Missouri st has lost by a lot in their games this year, both to Evansville were by about 20, Butler beat them by 35 as 15 pt fav's i was on Butler in that game, and they lost by 20 to Grand canyon, Chattanooga is a team that is going to take a lot of 3's they average like 33 a game, and are shooting 43% and 58% from 2 and just 32% from 3, SEM is shooting 38% and 43% from 2 and 31% from 3, and SEM is not a very good ft shooting team either as they are shooting just 53% compared to 75% for Chatt, Chatt is averaging 75 pts a game and giving up 70, while SEM is avg 62.5 pts a game and are giving up 80.8 pts a game , that's a +5 to a -18, hence why the line is Chattanooga-13 ...I think this could be another 20 pt loss for SEM, unless they shoot really well, this line has not moved or has the total which is at 150,.. SEM is 0-5 ats this year and are 0-3 ats as a dog, this may be a play, strong lean to Chattanooga-13 love to see it drop
another team getting bigger points that looks kind of good is Stetson +12.5 13 vs UCF ...Stetson has won their last 2 vs C.Michigan 71-61, and they beat Wisc Milw 85-67, and UCF has won their last 3 beating Charlotte by 3 74-71, and SD st 83-80, and Fullerton by about 30, this is in Orlando and is also not far from Stetson ass they will travel 34 miles to play this game ...Stetson avg's 65 pts a game and gives up 69, and UCF is avg 77 and giving up 69....stetson shoots 45% to 44.5%, they shoot the 2 at 52% to 51% and the 3 at 36% to 31%, they shoot ft's at 74% to 69%, these guys are even when it comes to rebounding, and stetson is averaging 16 assist to just 11 for UCF, and UCF is committing 19 fouls a game to just 13 for Stetson ...stetson is 3-1 ats this year and 2-1 ats as a dog, UCF is 2-3 ats this year but are 2-0 ats at home, but also are 0-3 ats after a win , who knows but from all that 12.5 may be a lot, might again wait to see if this moves at all ...UCF is 4-1 OVER this year and 3-1 over as a favorite....just thinking out loud..lol
gl everyone 151
Maine ML LOSER
OHIO-3 WINNER
Evansville-6 and -4 WINNER WINNER
Bradley-6 it is 5 or 5.5 now WINNER
Over 139 ECU/GM WINNER
UTEP+4 loser
Furman+6 PUSH
N Illinois+4.5 WINNER
Lipscomb-2 LOSER
Wofford+5 WINNER
Lamar+8 LOser
s.e. louisiana was a small play Loser
7-5 last night 115-93-5
SUNDAY
OVER 157 Denver/tex am cc 1 unit
Butler PK 1 unit
OVER 152 FAU/VT 1 unit
TEXAS AM -pk 1 unit
VCU+3 1 unit
Kennesaw st +4
OVER 148 Charleston/Kent st 1 unit
w.carolina -8 might be a bit much have not went thru it yet, W car is a good team, been better cover on the road though so far , also Kennesaw st +4 looks interesting at Fla Int, also VCU +3 vs Penn st, Penn st has lost by 10 last 2 when playing good teams, losing to Butler and Texas AM both higher scoring games, VCU will want this in the 60's maybe low 70's , and VCU has lost their last 2 but have been in the games the whole way, losing both by 4 to Iowa st where they had the lead almost the whole game, then losing by 4 to Boise st who has actually been playing better with each game, i would lean to VCU here + the points,
i went ahead and bet Texas AM -pk i just feel they are going to be the favorite tomorrow, so ill grab now so i do not have to lay any points or play ML at a higher price thats what i think anyway never know
already got some movement against me as the total in the FAU game has dropped a point and the o/u in the Denver game has dropped also 1 point
| Nov 25, 2023 09:05 PM | Spread | $110.00 | $100.00 | Basketball - 743 Texas A&M pk -110 for Game |
Went with Butler, they are the better shooting team, and they move the ball much better than Boise , they are averaging 14 assist a game to just 8 for Boise st, they are averaging 5 more shots a game 60-55 and they are making about 5 more, 28-23, and they are the better rebounding team which i think should get them a few more shots, they are avg 82 pts a game giving up 66 while Boise is avg 68 and giving up 71, commit fewer fouls ,
also going with Kennesaw st here +4 these 2 are pretty even on most things, I think Kennesaw has been scoring a bit more, and they are 4-1 ats so far, and 2-1 as a dog, while FIU is 0-3 ats as a favorite, and Kennesaw st has done well for me,
game that looks interesting is Coll of Charleston at Kent st, Charleston has not shot well this year, i mean they were picked to win their conf, they are 0-5 ats this year and are only averaging 69 pts a game this year and are shooting just 37% this year and only 24% from 3, and ya just know one of these games they are going to break out of it and score, Kent st is shooting 43% and averaging 82 pts a game , the line here is Kent st -7 it did go to 7.5 earlier but now is down to 6.5, and is 7 at another, so they did get some action, i thought that line was a bit high at 7, they did finally win a game on the 19th when they beat coastal carolina 80-72 but they still shot just 37% but they did shoot 39.5% from 3 making 17 of 43 shots, that is a lot of 3's to take but they do avg 32 a game, Kent st averages 24 a game , the Over here is 148 that may be a play , all charleston has to do is start shooting, Kent st is only holding teams to 39% from 3 and they are holding teams to 43% shooting, if Charleston is able to shoot that i think they would have a good shot here, i am going to go ahead and try the OVER 148 in this game, If Kent st wins big i think i could get it, or if its closer also, Kent is giving up 74 points a game, and Charleston is also giving up 74 there's your 148 but this has already went up from the 146.5 it opened at ....i think they open it up more here, could see this being around 155+
OVER 148
Also S.E Missouri st has lost by a lot in their games this year, both to Evansville were by about 20, Butler beat them by 35 as 15 pt fav's i was on Butler in that game, and they lost by 20 to Grand canyon, Chattanooga is a team that is going to take a lot of 3's they average like 33 a game, and are shooting 43% and 58% from 2 and just 32% from 3, SEM is shooting 38% and 43% from 2 and 31% from 3, and SEM is not a very good ft shooting team either as they are shooting just 53% compared to 75% for Chatt, Chatt is averaging 75 pts a game and giving up 70, while SEM is avg 62.5 pts a game and are giving up 80.8 pts a game , that's a +5 to a -18, hence why the line is Chattanooga-13 ...I think this could be another 20 pt loss for SEM, unless they shoot really well, this line has not moved or has the total which is at 150,.. SEM is 0-5 ats this year and are 0-3 ats as a dog, this may be a play, strong lean to Chattanooga-13 love to see it drop
another team getting bigger points that looks kind of good is Stetson +12.5 13 vs UCF ...Stetson has won their last 2 vs C.Michigan 71-61, and they beat Wisc Milw 85-67, and UCF has won their last 3 beating Charlotte by 3 74-71, and SD st 83-80, and Fullerton by about 30, this is in Orlando and is also not far from Stetson ass they will travel 34 miles to play this game ...Stetson avg's 65 pts a game and gives up 69, and UCF is avg 77 and giving up 69....stetson shoots 45% to 44.5%, they shoot the 2 at 52% to 51% and the 3 at 36% to 31%, they shoot ft's at 74% to 69%, these guys are even when it comes to rebounding, and stetson is averaging 16 assist to just 11 for UCF, and UCF is committing 19 fouls a game to just 13 for Stetson ...stetson is 3-1 ats this year and 2-1 ats as a dog, UCF is 2-3 ats this year but are 2-0 ats at home, but also are 0-3 ats after a win , who knows but from all that 12.5 may be a lot, might again wait to see if this moves at all ...UCF is 4-1 OVER this year and 3-1 over as a favorite....just thinking out loud..lol
gl everyone 151
Maine ML LOSER
OHIO-3 WINNER
Evansville-6 and -4 WINNER WINNER
Bradley-6 it is 5 or 5.5 now WINNER
Over 139 ECU/GM WINNER
UTEP+4 loser
Furman+6 PUSH
N Illinois+4.5 WINNER
Lipscomb-2 LOSER
Wofford+5 WINNER
Lamar+8 LOser
s.e. louisiana was a small play Loser
7-5 last night 115-93-5
