Colts staff look at the value placed on the next to last exhibition game. They are 5-1 SU and ATS record and it goes back to Tampa Bay, with Dungy-coached teams 9-1 SU and ATS since 1998.
I was aware of all these stats and I was going to pull the trigger on a major play today (especially when the Colts were -3 on Monday). Then I realized Manning wasn't going to play and I backed off. I don't understand how the line went from -3 to -5.5 without Manning playing. Anyway I am still playing the Colts and Over, but only as a regular play.