Sunday 08/30/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Sunday 08/30/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.

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Sunday Night Baseball: Braves at Phillies

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies

The teams are the same. Only the site changes, when the Phillies host the Braves Sunday night on ESPN for the second straight week.

Philadelphia sends Joe Blanton (8-6 3.88 ERA) to the hill against Jair Jurrjens (10-8 2.91 ERA) in a matchup of steady right-handers.

Off the Lidge

Phillies closer Brad Lidge has suffered through some tough times this season.

The All-Star closer leads the majors with nine blown saves, only three shy of tying Philadelphia's single-season record set by Mark Leiter in 1998. He threw a perfect inning against the Braves for his 26th save Friday. Lidge is 0-6 with a 7.17 ERA, worst among major league relievers with at least 30 innings pitched.

“I feel like I'm getting close. It's been a couple steps forward, a step back, a couple steps forward, another step back. The consistency hasn't been there. I feel good and healthy, and (fortunately) we're in first place," Lidge told the media.

"We signed Lidge to a three-year deal to be our closer," manager Charlie Manuel told reporters. "We had confidence in him, and he had confidence in us. Just because you don't do good today doesn't mean you won't do good tomorrow in baseball. Part of staying after it is you have to have confidence. I have confidence in all our players."

Quality road

43-3. That is the Braves' record when they get both a quality start from the rotation and score four or more runs in games played through August 23.

On the flip side, Phillies LHP Cliff Lee leads the majors in quality starts (23) this season.

Brave hearts

Thanks to a patchwork lineup, Atlanta’s fortunes have taken a tumble.

Injuries to center fielder Nate McLouth and infielder Martin Prado are beginning to take their toll.

The Braves' offense came to life when McLouth was installed as the leadoff hitter and Prado won the starting job at second base. Without their presence in the lineup, Atlanta has slipped back in the pack.

Prado came back for the Padres series after being absent with severe headaches, but McLouth, on the 15-day disabled list with a strained left hamstring, will not be activated until Monday at the earliest.

With outfielder Ryan Church and left fielder Garret Anderson in and out of the lineup with lower back ailments, the bench has become thin. Church was back in the starting lineup Friday against RHP Pedro Martinez. Church was removed in a double-switch in Friday's game because of the bad back.

Where’s the beef

Blanton has pitched well lately. Since giving up four runs against Toronto back on June 18, he hasn't allowed more than three runs in a start since then while compiling a solid 2.83 ERA in 11 starts during that span.

Like Blanton, Jurrjens has been pitching well with little support. He allowed just one run on five hits in 7.6 innings of work against the Padres Tuesday.

The fact of the matter is Jurrjens has followed up his breakthrough rookie season with an even better sophomore campaign, sporting a 2.91 ERA this season.

Sunday tendencies

The Braves 2-5 are away, while the Phillies are 14-4 at home.

Jurrjens has lost two straight on the day of rest while Blanton is 15-4 his last 19 team starts on Sundays, including 7-0 his last seven and 6-0 his last six home.
 
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Robbie Gainous

MLB | Aug 30
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Total
7½ un-103 at 5DIMES > 10h.
The San Francisco Giants will play host to the Colorado Rockies on Sunday afternoon for Game Three of their three-game weekend set leading the series 2-0 after winning 5 to 3 on Saturday. Our interest in this game is on the total, we know that 6 of 6 played in San Francisco in this series have fallen below the posted total including Saturday’s game which had a total of 8.5. Over the last three seasons this series has seen 27 of 47 go under the posted total and 8 of 13 this year overall. When these two teams have gotten together on the West Coast 15 of 21 games have fallen below the posted total including all five this season. Colorado will send Jason Hammel to the bump with his 6-4 record and an ERA of 3.04 on the road this season. Hammels is 4-0 under his last four versus teams from the NL West, 5-1-1 under as an underdog of -110 to -150 and 5-1-1 under following a quality start in his last outing. The Rockies are 14-6-1 under when playing in Game Three of a series, 19-7-2 under on the road facing a team with a home winning percentage of .600 or better and 16-5-2 under as an underdog in this price range. San Francisco will counter with Matt Cain who is 6-2 with an ERA of 2.28 at home. Cain is 6-0 under when starting in Game Three of a series, 10-2 under following a quality start in this last outing and 12-4 under when the total for the game is 7 to 8.5. San Francisco is ranked 2 in pitching with an ERA of 3.54 and opponents are batting .237 against them this season. Colorado is ranked 10 in pitching with an ERA of 4.21 with opponents batting .263 against them. Neither team is in the Top 10 in hitting with San Francisco ranked 20 with a batting average of .259 averaging 4.0 runs per game. Colorado is ranked 18 in hitting with a batting average of .259 averaging 5.0 runs per game. With the two pitchers starting for each team today we do not expect either team to reach their current average of runs scored. The Rockies are 13-3 under (+9.6) in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season and the Giants are 13-4 under (+8.6) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 this season. With solid fundamental, situational and technical support for the under we will play this game to fall below the posted total.

Graded Selection: 2* Colorado Rockies / San Francisco Giants UNDER 7.5
 
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Rocky Atkinson

MLB | Aug 30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
-125 at 5DIMES > 8h.
Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee 2:05 PM EST
Play On: Milwaukee (Ohlendorf/Suppan) Listed

Milwaukee is now 63-66 on the season while Pittsburgh comes in with a 53-74 overall record this year. Pittsburgh is 4-15 this year when playing on Sunday. Pittsburgh is 18-45 on the road this year and 12-28 in day games this season. Pittsburgh is scoring only 3.7 runs per game on the road this year. Pittsburgh bullpen has a 4.95 ERA on the road this year. Ross Ohlendorf is 3-6 with a 5.51 ERA on the road this year. Milwaukee is 32-12 overall vs Pittsburgh the last 3 years including 22-1 at home vs Pittsburgh and 5-0 at home against Pittsburgh this year. Suppan is 13-3 overall vs Pittsburgh since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Milwaukee today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
 
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Vernon Croy

MLB | Aug 30
Houston Astros vs. Arizona D-Backs Total
7½ un+100 at 5DIMES > 10h.
1* Take the Arizona Diamondbacks Under, I look for a pitchers dual here Sunday afternoon with Wandy Rodriguez (12-8, 2.82 ERA) and Dan Haren (12-8, 2.73 ERA) on the mound. Rodriguez has allowed just 7 hits and 1 earned run over his last 2 starts while lasting an average of 7.5 innings per start and I look for him to have another solid start Sunday afternoon. Haren has pitched solid at home this season with an ERA of just 2.07 over 12 starts. Haren owned the Astros allowing just 2 hits and 1 earned run in his only start against them this season over 9 innings. The Over/Under is 1-6 for the Astros in their last 7 games as an underdog and the Astros are hitting just .235 as a team over their last 7 games. The Diamondbacks are hitting just .232 against left hand starters this season and I look for them to struggle against Rodriguez Sunday afternoon. Take the Under as my MLB Bonus Play for Sunday.
 
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Jordan Haimowitz

MLB | Aug 30
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves
+115 at BOOKM > 14h.
ENJOY THE Bonus Play WINNER
 
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Craig Trapp

MLB | Aug 30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds Los Angeles Dodgers
-1½+100 at 5DIMES > 7h.

LAD -1.5 (+100): Kershaw goes for the LAD today and even though he has not received a win his last 7 starts he still has maintained a great ERA of under 3 and opponent BA of under .250 and only 1 HR over that time period. In almost every start the LAD did not produce runs to back his good pitching performance. But yesterday saw the LAD get 10 runs against the CIN Reds and will continue into Sunday. Today they will try and bang out some runs verse Reds starter Arroyo. He has been great only allowing 2 runs in almost 26 innings. Sounds great until you look at who they were against WASH, SFG, and MIL none of which have been scoring lately. The best lineup in baseball (LAD) will score early and often and get to Arroyo early. When Arroyo gets hit up early usually he gives up 5 plus runs. The Reds have continued to struggle at plate only averaging 2.5 runs per game since all star break (lowest in majors). Really like the R/L here!! SCORE LAD 7 - CIN 1
 
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Jim Feist

(951) SAN DIEGO PADRES
(952) FLORIDA MARLINS
Take "Over"

Padres can't wait for this season to be over as they are dead last in the NL West and have the worst run differential in the majors (-148). Rookie Matt Latos starts for the Padres. Latos bounced back with a nice outing last time out after giving up 12 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings the previous two games. The 21-year old's biggest problem has been inconsistency. He looks horrible at times and then looks like a big leaguer with a future at others. However, today we believe the Mr Hyde version comes out as it gets ugly against the Florida Marlins. The Marlins have to keep pace for the NL Wild Card and these type games are crucial to them. West doesn't usually last long in starts, having three of his last five outings go less than five innings. West won't get you many Ko's either with just 40 in 75 innings versus 33 walks. Two young inexperienced pitchers here on Sunday and that will provide all the runs we need to get this game OVER.
 
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Dave Cokin

(963) COLORADO ROCKIES
(964) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Take "(964) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS"

Jason Hammel has been a revelation of sorts for the Rockies, and his numbers on the road are very surprising. But for the first time in ages, the Rockies have suddenly hit a pothole. They're on a four-game losing streak and they're in tough today against Matt Cain. The Giants have momentum, home field and the better pitcher, so I'll have to lean their way today.
 

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What happened

I just signed up recently so I could post.

However, I have been following the forum for quite some time.

What ever happened to Steve McQueen?
 

RX Ball Buster
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I just signed up recently so I could post.

However, I have been following the forum for quite some time.

What ever happened to Steve McQueen?


I just found out how to get another username so I could post again.

I was a member before and was bannned and now am trying to come back.

What ever happened to Steve McQueen?



There, fixed it.
 
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Matt Fargo

Today’s Free Pick

GAME: Cleveland Indians @ Baltimore Orioles Aug 30, 2009 1:35PM

PICK: over 10

REASON FOR PICK: Two of the first three games of this series have stayed ‘Under’ but we should see that even out today. The Orioles are averaging 4.1 rpg on the road which is 21st in baseball and their .245 road average is good for 22nd in the Majors. Playing at home is a different story however as they average a full rpg more which is 10th highest in baseball and their .295 average at home tops all other teams. The Indians have been a solid offensive team away from home. They are averaging 5.6 rpg on the road which is ties for the second highest mark in baseball and they are hitting .280 which is good for third best in the bigs. They are hitting .340 against left-handed pitching over their last 10 games and get to face lefty Brian Matusz this afternoon. He has made five starts this season and none of those have been quality outings as he has posted a 6.46 ERA and 2.03 WHIP covering 23.2 innings. At home, his numbers are 6.35 and 2.47 respectively as he has made only one start at Progressive Field, allowing four runs on 11 hits and three walks in 5.2 innings against the Angels. Cleveland counters with Justin Masterson who was acquired from Boston in the Victor Martinez trade. In four starts for the Indians, he does have one quality outing and in 10 starts overall, he has just three quality performances. He is 0-3 with a 5.33 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in six road starts and the opposition has hit .291 over those games. The ‘Over’ is 12-3-2 in the Indians last 17 road games against a left-handed starter while the ‘Over’ is 4-1 in the Orioles last five home games against a right-handed starter. 3* Over Cleveland Indians/Baltimore Orioles
 
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Bears at Broncos
By Brian Edwards


For a preseason game, the atmosphere at Invesco Field should be testy Sunday night in the Mile High City. That’s because the Broncos’ former quarterback Jay Cutler, who recently rated Denver as a “six” for an NFL city, will return as the starting QB of the Chicago Bears after he forced a trade during the offseason.

By now, everyone knows the story. After Denver fell apart down the stretch last season to miss the playoffs, owner Pat Bowlen sensed that it was time for a change and fired long-time head coach and two-time Super Bowl winner Mike Shanahan. He replaced Shanahan with 33-year-old Josh McDaniels, who had served as the offensive coordinator for New England under legendary coach Bill Belichick.

The McDaniels-Cutler saga began when word came out that the new coach was trying to acquire quarterback Matt Cassel, who enjoyed a breakout year for the Pats in 2008. From there, Cutler cut off all communication with McDaniels and didn’t even return phone calls from Bowlen.

Therefore, the Broncos granted Cutler his wish and traded him to Chicago, receiving draft picks and veteran QB Kyle Orton in return. And that’s another subplot in this game, as Orton will be facing his former teammates for the first time and making his debut at Invesco, where he was booed after struggling during a scrimmage open to the public three weeks ago.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Denver as a 1 ½-point favorite with a total of 37 ½. As of early Saturday night, most books had the Broncos as 2 1/2-point ‘chalk’ with the total adjusted to 38. The Bears are plus-125 on the money line (risk $100 to win $125).

"From a motivational standpoint, the Broncos have a big edge," Bryan Leonard told VI. "Imagine how you would feel if your starting quarterback demanded a trade and it possibly cost you any chance for the postseason. From a fans' perspective, the home crowd should be fired up being on national television and adding in Cutler's remarks about the city of Denver."

Not only is Cutler expecting to hear it from the sure-to-be-unruly crowd, but he also expects the Broncos to come after him. And those defensive players will be glad to punish him if given the opportunity.

“In practice, you never really got to hit him," Denver defensive end Kenny Peterson told the Associated Press. "But now you've actually got a chance, if you can get to him, to lay your body on him a little bit."

LB Mario Haggan added, “It definitely would be nice to get Jay on the ground, give the fans something to cheer about and something to look forward to."

Denver will be without Pro-Bowl WR Brandon Marshall, who was suspended for the rest of the preseason for insubordination after showing his ass at practice earlier this week. In addition, second-string QB Chris Simms is “out” and rookie RB Knowshon Moreno is “doubtful.” WR Brandon Lloyd is “questionable.”

The Broncos have lost their first two preseason games, although they did cover the number in a 17-16 loss at San Francisco as 1 ½-point road underdogs. Seattle beat up on Denver by a 27-13 count last week as a three-point home favorite.

Orton was awful against the 49ers, completing 9-of-16 passes for 89 yards with three interceptions. He improved last week, guiding the Broncos to 10 points in the first quarter. Orton finished the night with 18 completions on 26 attempts for 182 yards with one touchdown and one interception.

With Simms sidelined, gamblers should expect Denver rookie QB Tom Brandstater from out of Fresno St. to get most of the snaps at crunch time. Another key player for the Broncos could be rookie WR Kenny McKinley, the all-time leader in receiving yards at the University of South Carolina, who has five receptions for 90 yards and one TD in preseason play.

Chicago lost its preseason opener 27-20 at Buffalo as a thee-point underdog. Cutler was somewhat shaky in that outing, connecting on 5-of-10 passes for 64 yards with an interception.

He was much more effective last week, hitting on 8-of-13 attempts for 121 yards with one touchdown and no picks. Cutler led the Bears to a 17-3 home win over the Giants as three-point ‘chalk.’

Caleb Hanie will get most of the reps at QB when Cutler leaves the game. Hanie is a second-year QB from out of Colorado St. Chicago will be without starting defensive tackle Dusty Dvoracek after he was lost for the season with a knee injury this week.

NBC will provide television coverage at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--When I’m working, I almost always have the television on some sporting event. On Thursday, I had the Eagles-Jags game going because I wanted to see Michael Vick’s debut. Unfortunately for me, I was on the Jags’ network with their announcers, including former OT Tony Boselli. We all know Boselli was a sensational offensive lineman for the Jags and after listening to him for way too long the other night, I also know he’s the worst analyst I’ve EVER heard on television. I would rather have my toenails slowly removed than listen to him again. Are they serious with keeping this guy in the booth? Listening to him is unbearable and painful.

--Tampa Bay has named Byron Leftwich as its starting quarterback, so don’t be surprised if Luke McCown gets traded in the next 48-72 hours.

--Atlanta backup QB Chris Redman looked sharp Saturday in rallying the Falcons to a last-second comeback victory over San Diego. Redman, who didn’t take a snap in 2008, found Eric Weems for a five-yard TD pass with nine second left to lift his team to a 27-24 victory. The comeback drive began with 2:07 remaining and allowed Atlanta backers to garner a push (as a three-point favorite) after trailing virtually the entire game.

--Mike Smith has to be extremely concerned about his secondary. Atlanta CB Chris Houston was beaten for first downs on third-down situations of 13 yards or more three separate times.

--Andy Iskoe said this about the Cowboys: “They have the talent to win it all and the coaching
 
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Sunday Night Football: Bears at Broncos
By NICK PARSONS

Chicago Bears at Denver Broncos (-2.5, 38.5)

Drama, Drama, Drama

It looks like NBC will get a head start on the Sunday night prime time ratings race and as far as preseason games go. They couldn't have scripted it any better.

Former Broncos QB Jay Cutler returns to Denver, after an over-dramatic clash with first-year coach Josh McDaniels which led to a trade with Chicago for Kyle Orton in the offseason.

Add to that the drama surrounding disgruntled WR Brandon Marshall, who was recently suspended by McDaniels for conduct detrimental to the team, and you have the makings of an exciting Sunday night.

Marshall can be seen on tape acting like a four-year-old child at a recent practice, refusing to run in drills and swatting down balls tossed to him during a passing drill. The Broncos are still trying to work out the quirks of a complicated offensive system – with or without their No. 1 WR.

If this is how the season is starting out, then ABC better come up with a better drama than "Defying Gravity".

Cutler vs. Orton

While it’s quite a stretch to use a preseason game to judge a trade, both coaches plan to play their starters well into the third quarter. Week 3 serves as a preview for starters. Most of them will get little playing time in Week 4.

This gives the fans at Invesco Field ample opportunity to boo their former QB or get on the case of their new one.

Kyle Orton struggled to learn the new offense, throwing three interception in his first game against the 49ers. There was a bit of improvement in last week's loss against Seattle. Orton took more snaps and went 18-for-26 for 182 yards and 1 TD.

McDaniels will give Orton more playing time than usual Sunday. He is still adjusting to the new scheme but claims he's made steady improvement. Back up QB Chris Simms challenged for the starting role with two decent performances but is out with an injury, leaving only rookie QB Tom Brandstater and newly-signed Ingle Martin on the bench.

Cutler meanwhile claims that the game is no big deal stating that, "“It doesn’t count for anything. We just want to go out there and play well and execute our offense."

But after having thrown for 4,526 yards last year and then having rookie coach McDaniels come into the picture and go after Matt Cassel, one would be hard pressed to not think that the pro bowler would want to prove a point. Especially when it "doesn't count".

Cutler has been impressive in the preseason going 8-for-13 for 121 yards and 1 TD in his last game against the Giants. He'll be backed up by Caleb Haine who has gone 11-for-18 for 150 yards and 1 TD in his two preseason games.

Been here before

The debut of Broncos FS Brain Dawkins is being overshadowed Sunday. He has been out because of surgery for a fractured hand. The seven-time pro bowler should provide a bit of relief for CB Champ Bailey who has had to carry the load for the secondary.

Dawkins claims that the distractions from Cutler and Marshall won't impact his defense. He had to deal with Terrell Owens’ drama back in Philadelphia. He recently told the Colorado Springs Gazette that it was "A lot crazier with T.O".

Bears Quick Bits

- The Chicago Bears recently lost locker room-favorite DT Dusty Dvoracek for the season. He is not the only Bear on defense that is out. There are several first and second-team Linebackers that are not expected to play.

- While Jay Cutler gives the Bears their best QB in years, many are forgetting about newly acquired LT Orlando Pace, who has fit in nicely with the team.

- Devin Hester is expected to return some punts Sunday night.

- The No. 3 WR spot is still open but Devin Aromashodu has the edge on Brandon Rideau and Rashied Davis and also Cutler's approval.

Broncos Quick Bits

- First-round draft pick RB Knowshon Moreno and veteran RB LaMont Jordan are not expected to play.

- Correll Buckhalter should receive the bulk of the carries, but expect Darius Walker to get some touches as well. He rushed 48 yards in his last game.

- With Chris Simms injured, the Broncos signed Ingle Martin, but he has only been with the team for a couple of days, so expect Tom Brandstater to finish off the game

Line Movement and Weather

Line opened in favor of the home side at -1 and has since been pushed out to -2.5, while the total has been hovering from 37.5 to 38.5. Both the Bears and Broncos are 1-1 ATS in preseason this year and 1-1 on the O/U.

Bears coach Lovie Smith is 12-11 in preseason and 9-12-2 ATS

Weather might play a slight factor. There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the evening and temperature is expected to be in the low 50s.
 
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English Premiership: Weekend preview and picks
By SHAWN YOUNG
The soccer season is in full swing and we've enlisted the help of a former European oddsmaker. Shawn Young is back with his weekly picks for the pitch.



SUNDAY

PORTSMOUTH vs. MANCHESTER CITY (-0.5 -150, or -1 +130)

League Cup midweek: Portsmouth beat Hereford 4-1 on Tuesday; Man City defeated Palace 2-0 away on Thursday.

It’s been a wild week for Portsmouth. They fell 4-1 to Arsenal , reversed the score against Hereford Tuesday and somewhere along the way Sulaiman Al-Fahim has apparently bought the club. With CEO Peter Storrie’s fate in doubt, the club bought Tommy Smith from Watford and sold Sylvain Distin to Everton.

It won’t matter this weekend. Man City are too good and have too much firepower up front. Further back, Joleon Lescott finally transferred in and Sylvinho came as well. This rendered Richard Dunne surplus to requirements and he was sold to Villa.

Given Man City’s tepid performance after they led Wolves 1-0 last weekend, giving up only a half-goal here might be the best way forward.

prediction: Portsmouth 1, Manchester City 2
 
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Bullpen Banter
By ASA


Thriving – Cleveland Indians

If you take a look at the overall pitching and bullpen numbers for the Indians this year, it might leave you scratching your head as to why I have the Tribe in this position. However, the fact is, this pitching staff, in particular the bullpen, has gotten much better as of late. The relievers are pitching better than they have all year long which directly correlates to Cleveland’s 20-15 mark since the All Star Break.

For the season, the Indian bullpen has an ERA of 4.82 which is the fourth worst in all of baseball. However, their .255 opponent batting average and 1.8 strikeout to walk ratio indicates they have pitched better than that lofty ERA might indicate. Over the last 10 games, this relief corps has an ERA of just 2.95. The pitching staff as a whole has allowed five or fewer runs in 14 of their last 17 games which is an improvement for a staff that has an ERA of over 5.00 on the season.

Many of the Cleveland relievers have been improving their stock as of late. Here are a few. Closer Kerry Wood has registered a save in seven of his last eight attempts. His ERA since the All Star break is 3.38 which is a drastic improvement over the first half of the season. Chris Perez, who was acquired in the Mark DeRosa deal, gave up six runs in his first three outings. However, since then he has gone 16 straight scoreless innings and dropped his ERA under 3.00. Joe Smith has an ERA of just 3.34 on the year, however since the All Star break that number is just 1.42. Finally, left handed specialist Tony Sipp has allowed only one earned run in 11 August appearances.

Improved starting pitching has also helped the bullpen numbers improve. This team lost Cliff Lee to the Phillies, however Fausto Carmon had pitched very well since returning from the minors in late July. Justin Masterson was acquired from Boston in the Victor Martinez deal and he has shown promise. Aaron Laffey and Jeremy Sowers have been fairly solid starters.

This team can score runs. Their 631 runs place them 7th in the league. They also hit nearly .270 as a team. With the pitching improving lately, especially the bullpen, this team can be a spoiler in the A.L. Central race.


Struggling – San Francisco Giants

In direct contrast to the Indians, the Giants have some of the best bullpen numbers on the season. However, as of late, they have not pitched up to those impressive seasonal numbers. That is partly attributed to AT&T Park which surrenders the second lowest OPS of any ballpark and just 7.85 runs per game.

On Saturday, the Giants bullpen blew a huge game with Colorado allowing eight runs in just three innings of work. Things didn’t get any better for the relievers on Monday as they allowed four runs in the 14th inning, blowing a three run lead and losing to the Rockies. That was the Giants fourth loss for the bullpen in San Francisco’s last nine games. All of those losses have been on the road which lends to the ballpark theory. Monday’s bullpen effort, five earned runs in 7.1 innings, pushed their ERA to near 4.50 over the last 11 games.

Due to poor offensive numbers, this team has been carried for much of the season by their starting pitching and bullpen. Now it looks as if the starters might be beginning to fade which will continue to negatively affect the bullpen. Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain have been Cy Young contenders all season long. However, Lincecum has now not won a start since August 1st and Cain in winless in his last five outings. With Zito, Sanchez and Martinez being up and down, the strain on the bullpen looks like it will continue.

Closer Brian Wilson has 30 saves on the year, however he has blown two of his last five attempts. Veteran Bobby Howry now has a 1-6 record out of the pen after losing another game last week. Even Justin Miller, who has put up fantastic numbers for much of the year is slowing down. On Saturday he allowed four runs while getting only two outs. Monday was worse for Wilson when he gave up three earned runs and failed to retire a batter.

San Fran has a very tough schedule down the stretch. They still face the Dodgers and Rockies six more times. They face off against the Cubs four times and the Brewers and Phillies three more times each. The bullpen will have immense pressure applied down the stretch and I’m not so sure they have the depth or talent to hold up. Especially of the starters continue to struggle.
 

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