Packers must keep Romo, Owens under wraps
By Keith Kidd
Scouts Inc.
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="4" width="552"><tbody><tr valign="top"><td width="100%"><table id="inlinetable" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" width="100%"><tbody><tr><th colspan="9" style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);" align="center">Dallas at Green Bay</th></tr><tr><td colspan="2" align="center">
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When: 8:15 PM ET
Watch: NBC
Preview
More scouting reports: Week 3
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</th></tr><tr><th style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);" colspan="9">Scouts Inc. Position Advantage</th></tr><tr><td style="background-color: rgb(153, 153, 153);" align="center" width="62">QB</td><td style="background-color: rgb(153, 153, 153);" align="center" width="62">RB</td><td style="background-color: rgb(153, 153, 153);" align="center" width="62">WR</td><td style="background-color: rgb(153, 153, 153);" align="center" width="62">OL</td><td style="background-color: rgb(153, 153, 153);" align="center" width="62">DL</td><td style="background-color: rgb(153, 153, 153);" align="center" width="62">LB</td><td style="background-color: rgb(153, 153, 153);" align="center" width="62">DB</td><td style="background-color: rgb(153, 153, 153);" align="center" width="62">ST</td><td style="background-color: rgb(153, 153, 153);" align="center" width="62">Coach</td></tr><tr style="background-color: rgb(236, 236, 236);" valign="top"><td align="center" width="62">
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</td></tr></tbody></table>Points should come in bunches when these two offenses take their shots Sunday night at Lambeau Field. Cowboys coach Wade Phillips, his defensive coordinator Brian Stewart and Packers defensive coordinator Bob Sanders will have their hands full finding ways to contain these explosive attacks. Expect Cowboys offensive coordinator Jason Garrett to stay aggressive, using his power running game to set up a potent vertical attack. Meanwhile, Packers coach Mike McCarthy will spread the field with three- and four-receiver sets in his version of the West Coast passing game, exploiting matchups in the secondary and setting up RB
Ryan Grant and the zone running game. But amid all the fireworks on offense, the game could be won or lost on the hidden yardage in the kicking game.
When Dallas has the ball
Garrett has blended a power run game led by RB
Marion Barber and a quick-strike timing passing attack to form perhaps the league's most intimidating offense. An aggressive play caller, Garrett loves to throw vertically in nontraditional passing situations. Expect him to incorporate varied personnel groupings with an up-tempo approach to try to keep the Packers' defense off balance. WR
Terrell Owens will continue to move around in the formation, with TE
Jason Witten often flexing out. But that isn't likely to influence Sanders, who routinely plays four across on the back end, with CBs
Charles Woodson and
Al Harris in a physical press mode. Sanders isn't a big fan of the blitz, instead relying on his front four (led by DE
Aaron Kampman) for pressure and LBs
A.J. Hawk and
Nick Barnett to clean things up. But the Packers are versatile, and Sanders will use an array of personnel groupings.
When Green Bay has the ball
McCarthy would love to hammer away with the run and force Dallas to commit to stopping it, which would effectively set up the play-action attack. But Green Bay's finesse zone run scheme and injury concerns along the interior offensive line could be prohibitive. Instead, expect McCarthy to try to slow a strong Cowboys pass rush by spreading the field with multiple groupings, aligning his receivers in different spots and taking full advantage of QB
Aaron Rodgers' quick release, mobility and smarts. Phillips and Stewart will continue to rely on an attacking 3-4 scheme on early downs, using CBs
Anthony Henry,
Terence Newman and
Adam Jones to match up on the back end. In sub packages, the Cowboys will try to pressure Rodgers with a four-man rush while getting physical in the secondary. Expect a lot of maximum-coverage designs intended to disrupt a Packers passing game that depends on good timing and rhythm.<table id="inlinetable" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><th style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Matchup to watch</th> </tr><tr valign="middle"> <td align="center"> <table border="0" cellpadding="6"> <tbody><tr> <td>
</td> <td>Cowboys TE Jason Witten vs. Packers WLB A.J. Hawk</td> <td>
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr valign="top"> <td> Witten has soft hands, runs good routes and is a very good athlete. He has good initial quickness and can bend his release around defensive fronts. He gets into his routes quickly, accelerates well and shows good balance and body control getting in and out of breaks. He has the functional play speed to attack at different levels. The Cowboys will align him in a variety of spots, and Witten handles the various motions and shifts (which help create mismatches) with ease. Hawk is a three-down linebacker who has a solid combination of size, speed and athletic skills. He's instinctive and has a knack for being around the ball. He has impressive body control and change-of-direction agility and explosiveness. Not surprisingly, Hawk is effective and rangy in coverage. Witten played most of last week's game with a separated shoulder that didn't noticeably affect his performance. The injury could play a role in this matchup, but if he's healthy, Witten has a slight edge. </td> </tr></tbody></table> </td></tr> </tbody></table>
Keys to
Success
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Dallas Keys To Success
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1Get the run game going early: The Cowboys have the personnel to run inside or outside and attack on all three levels in the passing game, which places a tremendous amount of pressure on a defense. A balanced, dynamic attack starts with a huge offensive line and Barber, a powerful, slashing runner who can wear down a defense. The Packers' undersized defensive line will be prone to fatigue if Barber has early success, and it will need to control its gap responsibilities to allow Barnett to make plays in the box. Expect Dallas to attack the edges of Green Bay's run defense, where the Cowboys hold a decisive power advantage.
2Adjust outside rush lanes and incorporate more inside games.: Last week the Cowboys too often allowed Eagles QB Donovan McNabb to attack the pocket and extend plays. Rodgers has excelled at using his mobility in the pocket to do the same so far this season. The Cowboys need to show more discipline on the edge pass rush while still containing Rodgers in the pocket. Expect Phillips to dial up a lot of interior games and some single-zone pressures to attack inside to try to bait Rodgers into game-changing mistakes.
3Keep attacking downfield: QB Tony Romo has been a whiz at avoiding pressure in the pocket while maintaining his eye level downfield. Owens is an amazing playmaker who can hurt a defense at all levels, and Witten is a dynamic receiver who puts a lot of pressure on opposing safeties. The Packers aren't switching their corners, as they did a year ago, to align Harris over the opposing No. 1 receiver. Expect Dallas to keep sliding Owens around the formation, but Garrett might use more two-tight end packages to get Witten isolated one-on-one on Hawk on the outside.
Keys to
Success
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Green Bay Keys To Success
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1Rodgers protecting the ball: He has been impressive in his first two outings as QB Brett Favre's successor, but Rodgers will be tested by a fast and talented Dallas defense. He has a great understanding of Green Bay's system and processes his pre-snap reads quickly at the line. Rodgers is a good athlete with a quick set up and release. He's very accurate and throws a catchable ball with nice touch. He can hit receivers in stride, allowing them to get upfield quickly. But Rodgers must make excellent decisions in this matchup and avoid turnovers at all costs. The Packers can't afford to let the Cowboys' offense attack from a short field.
2Pressure Romo with a four-man rush: The Cowboys have a big, physical offensive line that is tough for pass-rushers to get around. But if Romo gets time in the pocket, he can expose the Packers' secondary, starting with Harris. Kampman is a very good edge-rusher, but Green Bay also needs a consistent interior rush from DT
Cullen Jenkins to force Romo off his landmarks. The Packers will need to maintain a deep line rotation to keep everyone fresh up front.
3Coverage from Woodson and Harris: How much longer can the Packers' cornerback duo play at a high level? In Green Bay's first two games, Woodson played left corner while Harris manned the right side. Last season the Packers matched up on the back side with their corners, but Harris has struggled early on while Woodson has been very reliable. Dallas likely will try to isolate Owens on Harris early in the game. Harris is physical and can be effective in press coverage, but Owens has the strength to match him, and Harris is a risk-taker who can be baited by double moves.
Scouts Edge
Both teams are unbeaten and rate among the class of the NFC -- maybe even Nos. 1 and 2 in the conference -- and something has to give. Look for the defenses to protect themselves with safe but physical maximum-coverage designs, which means both will rely on four-man rush schemes and occasional zone blitzes for pressure. McCarthy figures to exploit the Cowboys' secondary based on individual matchups, but it remains to be seen whether Rodgers can continue his early success against the most talented defense he has faced to date. Dallas will lean more heavily on the run, but Romo will undoubtedly get his chances to attack Green Bay's secondary. It should be a dazzling matchup, and though the Cowboys have a clear edge in our Scouts Inc. Advantage, we expect the Packers to find a way to pull off the upset on their home field with a field goal in the final seconds.<table id="inlinetable" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" width="100%"><tbody><tr><th colspan="2" style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Prediction</th></tr><tr valign="top"><td align="center">
</td><td valign="middle" width="100%">Dallas 24
Green Bay 27</td></tr></tbody></table>