Sun Line Talk ...then Poss / Plays

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Lean FIU + 3 ( - 140 ) .... both teams need this one ... Fiu already beat LT at home earlier this year ... so this will be the second meeting at FIU this year .... strange but true .... I won't post this as a play ...but I bought 1 1/2 points at took the home pup here ...trust me ..very small amount ...

Lean Wit St + 3 1/2 ....but wait this should go up to at least + 4 or more if u like the dog here ...People should see value here on Smu with the lower opening number that I had for this game by 4 Points ... I had this game capped Smu - 7 which many will disagree and that's cool ...that's gambling ... On 2/21 ... at home vs U Conn ....Smu opens at - 6 1/2 ... U Conn was a + 6 1/2 dog that day ...and had a Kenpom rank of 95 .... Today a Worst team than U Conn 's 95 Rank comes to down in Wichita St with a Kenpom Rank of 109 .... Wichita St is 14 points worst than Uconn in their ranks with Kenpom ....yet ....Wichita St opens up at + 3 only ...with a worse ranking than U Conn's 95 and they were + 6 1/2 at Smu ???? .......I feel Public should see value here on Smu ....but a bunch of gamblers deny that trap games exist ( which is BS ...because they do ...imo ) ....Been wrong many times before guys ... so beware ...it happens once in awhile where Vegas throws you a gift line ...........You call ......I won't post as a play ...but I was asked how I breakdown a game with line comparison , rather than capping line probably 90% gamblers do every day .... Trust me I'm sure there are many cappers in here that are 10 X better than myself in their approach to any give game , but I cap like this all the time with some decent success .... Just wanted to share 1 Example the way I cap games ... Joe ...this one's for you brotha ...
 

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Love the thought process and analysis here. Great work! I Will be on this myself.
 

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Love the thought process and analysis here. Great work! I Will be on this myself.

Thank u brotha for the kudos on my unorthodox way of capping a game .... just works for me , is all ...Gl today !
 

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Need to win a few units to make up for yesterday. Hope that SMU line goes to 4
 

"Go crazy folks...Go crazy!!"...R.I.P. JB
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Excellent insight, boom.
 

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Interesting the Total Dropping here ....with this trend ..open 136 ... down to 134 ... does it go Under ???

(813) S FLORIDA at (814) CONNECTICUT
* The L6 games of the USF-UConn series went OVER
the total

Added Trends ...yesterday the ones I posted / more of these lost than won ...I believe

(823) CREIGHTON at (824) MARQUETTE
* MARQUETTE is on a 6-0 ATS run vs. Creighton



(829) WASHINGTON at (830) STANFORD
* HOME TEAMS are 7-2 ATS in L9 of WAS-STA h2h
series



(833) NORTHWESTERN at (834) ILLINOIS
* ILLINOIS has won seven straight ATS vs.
Northwestern







 

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Hey Boom! I know, I played them! The first four lost but the last two I had coupled with the two team parlay from your picks put me over the top!!!
Thanks brother!!!!
 

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Hey Boom! I know, I played them! The first four lost but the last two I had coupled with the two team parlay from your picks put me over the top!!!
Thanks brother!!!!


Yea ... at least u ended on a positive note ...

Only one I played was Zags .... per Timmy Rules .... he knows ...

I won't be getting these anymore after Wednesday ....oh well ... nice while it lasted ...
 

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Some trends


UTEP 9-0 UNDER 1H when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Illinois 14-2 OVER 1H in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons
 

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Smu is god awful imo. I'd rather take my chances with Wichita st getting points vs SMU all effin day.
 

kwr

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KB...agree with assessment on SMU game...also, if I can add.... Wichy has gained 18 KP points in last 5 games, and SMU has dropped 9 spots on KP...not a big movement, but something I take into consideration on momentum and how a team has played recently. Just some other info I use.
 

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Some trends


UTEP 9-0 UNDER 1H when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Illinois 14-2 OVER 1H in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons


Anytime bro ...throw em in if u like ...I know u don't post ...so it's cool
 

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KB...agree with assessment on SMU game...also, if I can add.... Wichy has gained 18 KP points in last 5 games, and SMU has dropped 9 spots on KP...not a big movement, but something I take into consideration on momentum and how a team has played recently. Just some other info I use.


Yes Kwr I saw that too ... Sounds like we both use similar methods ... GL 2 Day !!!
 

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Play ... I really was going to pass on posting it as a play ...but wth ??

Wichita St + 3 .... since line looks like it may go to + 2 1/2 any second ...which would a 1-0 Dog Trend that comes rarely for me ...I'm going in ....
 

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Some trends


UTEP 9-0 UNDER 1H when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Illinois 14-2 OVER 1H in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons

Nice. Keep bringing the solid trends or start a thread with these. Thanks Candy!
 

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