Suckman's first post at the rx

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New to the forum. I wanted to wait until the 2nd round of the playoffs to get in the mix, but can't pass up this game.

Minnesota -4 5 units

I was listening to KFAN out of Mlps. today and radio man Chad Hartman travels with the team and said they are VERY focused. Obviously do not want to go home 2-2. KG came off pissed at the effort and challenged teammates. I like the Wolves by DD.
 

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Lakers were pissed at THEIR effort on Friday night, as well, and have more veterans to sound off than one KG and two old newcomers. Granted KG has the power of two, but... Anyhow, it took a 30 point performance by Malone, some panic by HOU., and a little luck just to win the next game. The Minnesota of the moment is not as good as Detroit or the Pacers, while they face a team which is pretty cohesive at home and ON A ROLL at home. Do not confuse the Nuggets with the Suns or Warriors or Clippers, and certainly not the Celtics or Knicks. And do not confuse the Wolves with the Spurs or possibly the Lakers. If you are right about the Wolves, catching their first road fav cover in a playoff game is worth missing to be sure they are as good as you think.
 

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Adding Miami/New Orleans under 169 3 units.

Last 10 meetings between the two have gone under.
 

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Many good points Dolphin. I didn't compare the Wolves to anybody. I feel that KG will come up big tonight. Sam and Spree both know the importance of this game.
 

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I will spot KG 30 and 20, because I agree he will be a monster. The question remains: At what price is this already in the line, or in the line and then some? Although KG won't cut his team any slack, to be sure, the team has the psychological "luxury" of feeling the Nuggets can't touch them at home, having bested them by 14+ the last 5 meetings.
 

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They MUST go home 3-1. Winning this 1st round is extremely important to this organization. They do not want to turn this into the best of 3 with their past playoff history. Huge effort by the Wolves tonight. Wolves are still looking for respect as you noted above. They won't be in the class of the top teams until they get out of this round.
 

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So no one thinks that Minny pulls it out in the final seconds by 1 or 2???
 

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I think minny get her nuggetts packed in denver tonight

panther
 

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BUT, this is sports, not chess. A chess player improves, he advances further in a tournament of his general category. This may be the best Wolves team, although with Wally and Troy healthy late last year, that team was probably at least as good as this one is tonight. In any event, they don't HAVE to do anything. There is no "due" principle which holds any water in sports betting, and the opponent always have their own psychology to be considered. The Nuggets took down the Sonics once upon a time, when everyone felt pretty sure they would be playing the Bulls in June that year. That doesn't make a Nugget win tonight MORE or LESS likely...it's just a reminder that the "fix" wasn't in and veterans don't have to easily move past younger teams or always win series against them. When the Knicks got to the Finals vs. the Spurs, they had Sprewell, Houston, Camby and not much else. Camby was in his second(?) year. The Pacers were sure it was their time, with MJ finally gone. The Nuggets may not get the cash tonight, but they won't play the Washington Generals to Minnesota as the Globetrotters, conceding that they have not earned the right to interrupt "KG playoff justice." "Have to"s lead to those inflated lines at the end of the NFL seasons. Some still cover, but rarely are you getting value for a fairly common "public" perception. The roll of the favs so far and the absence of any 2-2 series (pre- MIA-NOR tonight) can seduce one into thinking this is the new "order" of things. But the sample size is negligible and has virtually no influence on subsequent games...except to develop value almost only for the dogs, particularly one which has already won one.
 

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