Excellent new read by Fezzik....
What do you think?
http://www.therx.com/nm/templates/article.asp?articleid=1561&zoneid=2
What do you think?
http://www.therx.com/nm/templates/article.asp?articleid=1561&zoneid=2
He is correct.
To hit over 60 percent in the LONG run is for all practical purposes......IMPOSSIBLE!
By LONG run, I mean 2,000 plays minimum........at -110 vig or less.
Your only chance would be with the obscure wgering sports such as tennis, nascar, handball, olymipic events, etc., etc.
The problem with these sports is that for you to get 2,000 plays in, you may have to live to be 140 AND even then the limits are usually very low.
It may seem like only a mere 2%, but the ability to hit 60% compared to 58% is larger than HUGE.
[This message was edited by FISHHEAD on February 24, 2004 at 09:14 AM.]
To hit over 60 percent in the LONG run is for all practical purposes......IMPOSSIBLE!
By LONG run, I mean 2,000 plays minimum........at -110 vig or less.
Your only chance would be with the obscure wgering sports such as tennis, nascar, handball, olymipic events, etc., etc.
The problem with these sports is that for you to get 2,000 plays in, you may have to live to be 140 AND even then the limits are usually very low.
It may seem like only a mere 2%, but the ability to hit 60% compared to 58% is larger than HUGE.
[This message was edited by FISHHEAD on February 24, 2004 at 09:14 AM.]
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Dante:
I thought this thread was about KEN Striving to be 55 years old...
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
I thought he was talking about the number of men that he's conquered
I thought he was talking about the number of men that he's conquered
By the way, I'd like to thank JR MILLER for providing me the idea to write this article.
In JR's website he cites that he expects to hit 55-58% of his plays, and "True pros" typically bet when they feel they have a 55% or higher chance of winning.
I have a better chance of speaking fluent Russian than JR has of picking 55%. I grow weary of this ridiculous statements made by guys who I seriously doubt could even support themselves with their own bets, but feel that they can shamelessly sell them to the suspect public by promoting pretty websites and overhyping themselves and their competency.
In JR's website he cites that he expects to hit 55-58% of his plays, and "True pros" typically bet when they feel they have a 55% or higher chance of winning.
I have a better chance of speaking fluent Russian than JR has of picking 55%. I grow weary of this ridiculous statements made by guys who I seriously doubt could even support themselves with their own bets, but feel that they can shamelessly sell them to the suspect public by promoting pretty websites and overhyping themselves and their competency.
Agreed, Miller is possibly the biggest scam out there. His selling point is the opposite of most scammers in that he pretends to actually be able to hit 55%, saying tha t60% or more is impossible. Reality is he isn't able to hit more than half his wagers on any type of consistent basis.
Scum.
JP
Scum.
JP
JR MILLER LMAO...I use to monitor him, I have to admit he goes about it the right way, he just sucks though...I have talked to him, as I have many many touts, and alot of times (much to my surprise) these touts never talk about sports, they never get into a heavy sports conversation...obviously they want to avoid blowing their cover...Pork Chop and The Bounty Hunter are two more clown touts I have talked to in depth...neither EVER talk about players, teams , etc...
Some curious results occur when you overbet your bankroll.
Bet 10% of bankroll on each play. Pick 55% ATS. AND YOU GET SHREDDED. You wind up bankrupt with 100% probability.
Not intuitively obvious at all! How can a sum of positive expectation bets lead to ruin? Easy. You are playing off a finite bankroll vs. an infinite one of the house. Therefore, when you greatly exceed what Kelly tells you what to bet, you actually go broke.
Bet 10% of bankroll on each play. Pick 55% ATS. AND YOU GET SHREDDED. You wind up bankrupt with 100% probability.
Not intuitively obvious at all! How can a sum of positive expectation bets lead to ruin? Easy. You are playing off a finite bankroll vs. an infinite one of the house. Therefore, when you greatly exceed what Kelly tells you what to bet, you actually go broke.
