Stinkers Week 13

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Dec 11, 2006
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Wk 1 /// 6-4 +191
Wk 2 /// 9-3 +599
Wk 3 /// 5-6 -141
Wk 4 /// 5-6 -129
Wk 5 /// 5-9 -422
Wk 6 /// 5-8 -315
Wk 7 /// 9-3 +584
Wk 8 /// 8-3 +516
Wk 9 /// 5-3-1 +200
Wk 10 /// 6-4 +199
Wk 11 /// 8-4 +393
Wk 12 /// 7-6 +78

///

Thursday:

New England +3' -101 (vs Buff)
I tried looking at this game a lot of different ways. I came across one stat that told me which way to go. These are the games in 2022 and 2021 in which Josh Allen was sacked at least three times:

2021:

12/19 vs Car -14' W 31-14
12/12 @ TBy +3' L 27-33
11/7 @ Jax 14' L 6-9
10/18 @ Ten -6 L 31-34
9/12 vs Pit -6' L 16-23

2022:

11/24 @ Det -9' L 28-25
11/6 @ NYJ -11 L 17-20
9/25 @ Mia -4' L 19-21

1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS on the road.

Now add in that the Pats are second in the NFL (Dal) with 37 sacks.

That's all.
 

Time2shine
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That is some great info. I won't play against the Bills.
Wide receiver John Brown upgraded and playing tonight against the Pats. He is a weapon for sure. 4.3 40yrd dash averages over 14yrds per catch.
I like the over 21 1st half and over 43.5 for the game.
 
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It's becoming clear that with Jones under center the Pats just don't have the offense to match up with the big boys. On to Sunday.

///

Jeez. Some of the lines available to me have too much juice attached. Hate that. I'm gonna post those games without lines. I'll be back near kickoff to let you know if the juice adjusted to where I can play them. THanks.

NYJ +3 ??? (@ Minny
Denver +9' ??? (@ Balty)
Atlanta +1 -104 (vs Pit)
Philly -5 -104 (vs Tenny)
Detroit -1 ??? (vs Jax)
Houston +7' -108 (vs Cle)

Will be back with writeups. And later with definition on the ??? teams I want.
 
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NYJ +3 ??? (@ Minny)
Mike White had a bang up game in his 2022 debut. Guys who Wilson couldn't find all year all of a sudden emerged in the offense. Why can't he do the same against Minny? Their pass D stinks. And the Jets D is pretty damned good.

Denver +9' ??? (@ Balty)
Both Sutton and Jeudy are expected to play today. Gotta go back to Denver's game in London (Wk 8) to find a game where Sutton and Jeudy were on the field together (injuries). The Broncos won that game 21-17 (vs Jax). Balty hasn't by 9' or more since 11/11/21 in Miami where they lost straight up 10-20. I'll take the third best D in the NFL getting 9'.

Atlanta +1 -104 (vs Pit)
Kenny Pickett has 3 TDs to 8 ints and they are now road favorites over a team with a better record? Naw. Stupid line.

Philly -5 -104 (vs Tenny)
The key to beating Tenny is being able to run on them. This Philly line is a road grading machine. Philly runs. Philly wins.

Det -1 ??? (vs Jax)
Since getting whooped on theroad by the Pats and the Cowboys in successive weeks 5 and 6, these Lions have been roaring. Jax is still celebrating last week's win.

Houston +7' -108 (vs Cle)
Jacoby Brissett's (12 TDs; 6 ins) last start in Cleveland will be last week. A week where he won the game by tieing it in regulation with 32 seconds left, and then engineered a 71 yd drive to win it with a Chubb TD in overtime. Is he the problem in Cleveland? The only team the Brownies beat on the road this year was Carolina in the first game of the year when Carolina thought they were still in preseason. Houston's biggest problem is that they have thrown 7 picks in the last four games. Cleveland has 3 total picks all year. The Texans finally get a matchup they can compete with.
 

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M/angelo.....good luck with all your action today buddy....
on Jets, Atl., Det and Hou. with you......sweep'em.....indy
 
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OK guys (gals). Here are the lines I have to tke to ge the juice down to reason.

Denver +9 -110 (@ Balty)
NYJ +2' -103 (@ Minny)
Det -1 -110 (vs Jax)

Thanks. Good luck.
 
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Add late Sunday afternoon:

Seattle -7 +107 (@ LA Ram)
LA Chargers +2' -102 (@ LVR)
Cincy +2' -103 (vs KCy)
 
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Sea -7 +107 (@ LA Ram)
Rams are gonna use two QBs? OK. Gimme the other team.

LA Chargers +2' -102 (@ LVR)
Vegas won two straight. Whoopie! Chargers are the better team.

Cincy +2' -103 (vs KCy)
How many WR TDs does Maholmes have this season to guys who are healthy today? 6. Kelce has 12. Cover Kelce and you beat the Chiefs. Maholmes is missing Tyreek Hill; Mercole Hardiman; and Edwards Hellaire. Those guys were all TD makers. Cincy scores on everyone. The Chiefs won't be able to keep up.
 

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You had the right side in the Browns game, I’m sure you know…21 points on special teams and defense…really not even close to an offensive TD…that being said, the Texans are awful on offense as well…just wasted 3 hours of my life watching this shitshow!
 
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That was one messy game, Piggypete. Watson better come around soon or there's gonna be a lot of shit throwing in Cleveland. Can't even imagine your talkshows.

Hope you killed them, Johnny.

///

Add Sunday night:

Dallas -10' -103 (vs Indy)
Remember what the Cowgirls did to the Vikings? No. Nothing dirty! They're gonna do the same thing to Saturday's Colts on Sunday.
 

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good luck tonight artist!…34-10 would work…easy winner for you, while I sweat bullets on the under!
 
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Add Monday night:

New Orleans +3' -110 (@ TBy)
Tampa had to go to Germany in Week 13 to get their first ATS win since way back in Week 2 when they beat these Aintts 20-10 as 2' point favorites. Jameis Winston was the Aints QB, N'Awfuleans turned the ball over 5 times to Tampa's once. Tampa had 6 sacks to the Aints' one. The game was tied 3-3 into the fourth quarter. One of the Bucs' TDs was a 68 yd TD return. New Orleans did EVERYTHING wrong and yet still only lost by 10. Before that Week 2 loss the Saints were 7-0 SU and 7-0 ATS vs Tampa. Yes. Including both games in Tampa's SB year. Expecting them to clean up their act this time around and maybe even come out of Tampa with a straight up win.
 

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