Stink Week 15

[Michelangelo]

Last Week 6-4 +189
YTD 72-66-5 +335

Copying the running QB study from last week's thread. It went 4-3 last week and I think we can improve on that this week. Kansas City fits tonight.

OK guys. It dawned on me yesterday that this is fast becoming a league with successful running QBs. Here are all the running QBs and their team's SU records when they start:

7-5 Russell Wilson
9-3 De Sean Watson
10-2 Pat Maholmes
6-6 Cam Newton
7-3 Mitch Trubisky
7-5 Dac Prescott
6-6 Marcus Mariotta
3-3 Jameis Winston
3-0 LaMar Jackson
3-5 Josh Allen

Take a hard look at that list. There is only one losing record there of 10 QBs. And the guy who runs the most is 3-0.

So I isolated all their starts and looked at their ATS records. Here's what I got:

11-3 ATS Home Dogs
20-12 ATS Home Favs
20-12 ATS Road Dogs
5-13 ATS Road Favs

Let's take advantage of this phenomenon before the world catches up.

Thursday:

Kansas City -4 -101 (vs LA Ch)

 

[Michelangelo]

Chiefs went to sleep and paid the price.

Saturday:

NYJ +7 (vs Hou)
This is a Taxi system. Bet against a team who just lost at home after a long winning streak and now goes on the road.

Also Houston is a "bet against" in my running QBs as road favs study.

Denver -2' -110 (vs Clev)
I love this Cleveland team. They have some solid young players and they finally got rid of their bad coach. But their reputation is now growing. Denver, a team who has already played five Playoff contenders at home this season will be ready for the young wannabes.

 

[Coldweather]

​BOL and hope u win the football money! cheersgifcheersgifcheersgif

 

[Michelangelo]

You too, CW.

Blew the Jets win when the kicker missed, not one, but two extra points. There's always something new coming at ya in these games.

Add Sunday:

NYG +1 +103 (vs Tenny)
Chicago -5 -101 (vs GBy)
Buffalo -2' -115 (vs Det)
Dallas +3 +106 (@ Indy)
Wash +7' -107 (@ Jax)
San Fran +3' -103 (vs Sea)
New Eng -2' -109 (@ Pit)

The first six plays are running QB plays (explained above). (Josh Johnson got added to the list after his relief appearance last week)

Here is the New England angle I researched:

The Pats have 9 straight up losses in Miami in the B&B era.

In the following game the Pats are 7-2 ATS. 5-1 ATS if the games were in December. 4-0 ATS if the following game is a Road game.

 

[Michelangelo]

Add:

Miami +7' -102 (@ Minny)
Bet ya didn't know that Ryan Tannehill is 12-4 in his last 16 starts. (5-3 this year. And 7-1 his last 8 starts in 2016).

 

[HacheMan]

GL Michel

 

[Michelangelo]

Bad week.

Add Monday:

Carolina +6 -102 (vs NOr)

GL guys