Monday, November 9
DENVER over Pittsburgh by 3
We felt like traitors last week when we ordered up the Ravens against our
Rocky Mountain money train. The feeling was that the week of rest would
prove to be a momentum breaker for Denver and it was. The same can be said
for the Steelers tonight. A 1-2 start was erased with a four-game win streak,
only to have the Bye Week barge in. It’s bad enough that defending Super
Bowl champions are just 7-18 ATS as road favorites when taking on a .727 or
greater foe. It’s even worse when that same opponent is off a loss (0-4 ATS).
Mike Tomlin chips in with a 1-9 ATS mark on the road off a win when taking
on an opponent of a loss. If that’s not enough, the Steelers are 1-8 ATS against
.700 or greater AFC competition. Denver’s 11-4 SU and 12-3 ATS mark against
rested AFC opposition clinches it. Yes, we’re turncoats but at least we admit it.
DENVER over Pittsburgh by 3
We felt like traitors last week when we ordered up the Ravens against our
Rocky Mountain money train. The feeling was that the week of rest would
prove to be a momentum breaker for Denver and it was. The same can be said
for the Steelers tonight. A 1-2 start was erased with a four-game win streak,
only to have the Bye Week barge in. It’s bad enough that defending Super
Bowl champions are just 7-18 ATS as road favorites when taking on a .727 or
greater foe. It’s even worse when that same opponent is off a loss (0-4 ATS).
Mike Tomlin chips in with a 1-9 ATS mark on the road off a win when taking
on an opponent of a loss. If that’s not enough, the Steelers are 1-8 ATS against
.700 or greater AFC competition. Denver’s 11-4 SU and 12-3 ATS mark against
rested AFC opposition clinches it. Yes, we’re turncoats but at least we admit it.
problem with technical capping is the other side...
- Steelers are 22-8 last 30 MNF games, Tomlin 4-0, and 55-22 in week's 5 through 9 including 4-0 off a bye
- Steelers are 8-2 ATS against team with winning record
- Denver is 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 at home and 7-20 ATS in its last 27 after a game they didn't cover
- Denver is 1-9 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
- Denver is 1-11 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons
- Steelers are 22-8 last 30 MNF games, Tomlin 4-0, and 55-22 in week's 5 through 9 including 4-0 off a bye
- Steelers are 8-2 ATS against team with winning record
- Denver is 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 at home and 7-20 ATS in its last 27 after a game they didn't cover
- Denver is 1-9 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
- Denver is 1-11 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons
I tend to pick games like I pick stocks...based on fundamentals. I remember talking to this guy who owned a hedge fund a few years back and he was trying to recruit me from Ag Edwards....The guy had 6 computer screens and every screen had a different chart on it. He said that over 75% of the time he didn't even know the company he was buying, he did quite well at the time and I wonder where he is now. I for one like to know what I'm buying, and tonight I'm gonna buy the steelers. Better coach, better players and coming off a bye week....I'll bite. Based purely on fundamentals I like the defending super bowl champions tonight
My point exactly, all these stats mean next to nothing. The game will be
decided on the field and the better team will win. I just think the Steelers
will be too much for the Broncos after a week of rest. I really like Denver
this year and they've made money for me, I just don't like them in this situation.
Good luck tonight if you're with me, good luck tomorrow if your not.
The way I view this game is very trivial and is as follows: It's almost certain that the Broncos won't rush for 100 yards against this defense, therefore the game will be in Kyle Orton's hands. Do you want the game to be in Kyle Orton's hands especially considering Polamalu had an extra week to rest his knee? I sure hope your answer is no.
GL STEW :toast:
GL STEW :toast:
