SportSavant Thursday 03/11

[SportSavant]

getting the thread started here, gotta go to bed so am not gonna see the result of all of Wed's action as I write this, gotta get up at 530am as the hot water is broken here

so I am going to the gym in the AM, also in sales & have been slacking as of late which hurts the pocketbook so it will be hard for me to post during the day...

That being said there is a good line right now at Pinny

Dallas +6.5 +101

Now in this case I am gonna pay the 10 cents & get + 7 -109 (still cheaper than 110).

7 is a key # in basketball.

Anytime you can get a team the caliber of the Dallas Mavericks + 7 points, take it & run...they are sure to be up for the game as they know that a possible playoff showdown is in the not so distant future...I do not see a blow out but rather a heated affair & I will take a 7 point cushion with pleasure...I know that dallas is woeful on the road which explains the inflated line, but remember they dont need a victory, far from it.

Usually as a general rule I say play fav's as early as possible & dogs at the last minute, in this case however I beleive this is the best # to be had on this game (I have been wrong before as we saw the other night i hesitated on the raptors game)...tonight I will not hesitate...

1% Dallas + 7 -109

 

[SportSavant]

Well, I was wrong about the line movement

available @ + 7.5 -110 at Pinny right now if you buy the 1/2 point....

congrats to those who waited & are on Dallas tonight...I wonder if this means the smart money is on the Kings? who knows....may get much better value if we wait right till game time? who knows....

good luck to all

I am looking At NO right now + 7 -102 right now...if I can get +7.5 -110 I might bight...I am sure those of you that have skybook could get it.

 

[WilliamMoney]

why is 7 a key # in basketball?

 

[~Falco~]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by William Money:
why is 7 a key # in basketball?<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Because 2+2+3=7. 1 is also key number cause thats the value of 1 freethrow. 2 is key cause thats the value of 1 basket. 3 is key cause thats the value of a 3 point basket. So you see with 1,2, and 3 being key that means that ALL numbers are key in basketball.

For example lets say you bet a game at -9 the final score is 108-100 and you loose, well you should bought down to -8 cause 1 is a key number and so is 9 for that matter. With all numbers being key you should always buy down from the number that you are betting or buy up or not buy at all cause your just buying from one key number to another. You're better off betting the tie in Soccer specially in Italy cause
I-talians know how to fix games so that they end in ties.

 

[SportSavant]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> why is 7 a key # in basketball? <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

I have no evidence, just something I have heard that more games by a winning margin of 7 points more than any other margin of victory...may be tru...may be not...

I should qualify my statement to "I heard that 7 was a key # in basket's" however I do not have the empiracal data to support this...
sorry

as I write this + 7.5 -105 available at Pinny

or + 7 +105

we may see 8 by game time?

 

[Kodiak7]

the extra point makes it a key number...

i'm a pass for the NBA TONIGHT..

 

[SportSavant]

Going into Tonite:

YTD 31-21-2 (Began Posting/Tracking NBA plays at RX just before the ALLSTAR break) Every play thusfar for 1 Unit. (1 Unit = 1% of bankroll).

 

[SportSavant]

1% Dallas + 8 -110 (Pinny)
1% Dallas @ Sacrramento Under 218.5 (Pinny)


well the line moved against the kings & towards the mav's further evidence that one should wait when playing home favorites...especially teams like the kings & the lakers, I thought the + 7 last nite was attractive & thought that the line would move against the mav's as I thought the public would see value in all those points. Guess I was wrong & guess Dirk's status aswell as the Mav's road record was too scary for most.

As for the total, it is a good number, am laying only -104 vig with pinny & is an aswful lot of points...any D whatsoever & we may just stay under...dont have a strong feeling on that play but simply going contrarion as offered up an inviting number from pinny & going (hopefullY) against the public which is always a bonus....

Mavs + 7
Mavs + 8
Mavs Under 218.5

[This message was edited by SportSavant on March 11, 2004 at 10:19 PM.]

 

[SportSavant]

that about describes how I feel about the mavericks performance tonite...at least it did one thing for me...absolutely assured me they have no chance at the Championship this year...definately between LAL, SAC & SA.....care to argue...SAC to me is a team of destiny...

Gonna tread lightly but if I see something I Like I will post.

0-3 for the day